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We present a new approach to semiparametric inference using corrected posterior distributions. The method allows us to leverage the adaptivity, regularization and predictive power of nonparametric Bayesian procedures to estimate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Andrew Yiu , Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes , Judith Rousseau

This work develops formal statistical inference procedures for machine learning ensemble methods. Ensemble methods based on bootstrapping, such as bagging and random forests, have improved the predictive accuracy of individual trees, but…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-09-11 Lucas Mentch , Giles Hooker

Cosmological experiments often employ Bayesian workflows to derive constraints on cosmological and astrophysical parameters from their data. It has been shown that these constraints can be combined across different probes such as Planck and…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-11-28 Harry Bevins , Will Handley , Pablo Lemos , Peter Sims , Eloy de Lera Acedo , Anastasia Fialkov

We consider the issue of performing accurate small sample inference in beta autoregressive moving average model, which is useful for modeling and forecasting continuous variables that assumes values in the interval $(0,1)$. The inferences…

Computation · Statistics 2017-02-16 Bruna Gregory Palm , Fábio M. Bayer

We present large sample results for partitioning-based least squares nonparametric regression, a popular method for approximating conditional expectation functions in statistics, econometrics, and machine learning. First, we obtain a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-07-20 Matias D. Cattaneo , Max H. Farrell , Yingjie Feng

Consider estimation of the regression function based on a model with equidistant design and measurement errors generated from a fractional Gaussian noise process. In previous literature, this model has been heuristically linked to an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-12-02 Johannes Schmidt-Hieber

We propose a novel Bayesian methodology for inference in functional linear and logistic regression models based on the theory of reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHS's). We introduce general models that build upon the RKHS generated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 José R. Berrendero , Antonio Coín , Antonio Cuevas

Beta coefficients for linear regression models represent the ideal form of an interpretable feature effect. However, for non-linear models and especially generalized linear models, the estimated coefficients cannot be interpreted as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-24 Christian A. Scholbeck , Giuseppe Casalicchio , Christoph Molnar , Bernd Bischl , Christian Heumann

We propose multiplier bootstrap procedures for nonparametric inference and uncertainty quantification of the target mean function, based on a novel framework of integrating target and source data. We begin with the relatively easier…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Zuofeng Shang , Peijun Sang , Chong Jin

We propose a new method of histogram construction, providing a fully Bayesian approach to irregular histograms. Our procedure applies Bayesian model selection to a piecewise constant model of the underlying distribution, resulting in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Oskar Høgberg Simensen , Dennis Christensen , Nils Lid Hjort

We propose a novel regression adjustment method designed for estimating distributional treatment effect parameters in randomized experiments. Randomized experiments have been extensively used to estimate treatment effects in various…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-24 Undral Byambadalai , Tatsushi Oka , Shota Yasui

Regularized kernel methods such as, e.g., support vector machines and least-squares support vector regression constitute an important class of standard learning algorithms in machine learning. Theoretical investigations concerning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-03-21 Robert Hable

In recent years, transfer learning has garnered significant attention. Its ability to leverage knowledge from related studies to improve generalization performance in a target study has made it highly appealing. This paper focuses on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Chao Wang , Caixing Wang , Xin He , Xingdong Feng

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

We propose an estimator of the kernel-based conditional mean dependence measure obtained from an appropriate modification of a naive estimator based on usual empirical estimators. We then get asymptotic normality of this estimator both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Terence Kevin Manfoumbi Djonguet , Guy Martial Nkiet

The paper deals with generalized functional regression. The aim is to estimate the influence of covariates on observations, drawn from an exponential distribution. The link considered has a semiparametric expression: if we are interested in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-20 Irène Gannaz

In this paper we apply proof mining techniques to compute, in the setting of CAT$(\kappa)$ spaces (with $\kappa >0$), effective and highly uniform rates of asymptotic regularity and metastability for a nonlinear generalization of the…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Laurentiu Leustean , Adriana Nicolae

This paper is devoted to the estimation of the common marginal density function of weakly dependent processes. The accuracy of estimation is measured using pointwise risks. We propose a datadriven procedure using kernel rules. The bandwidth…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-04 Karine Bertin , Nicolas Klutchnikoff

We propose a novel test for assessing partial effects in Frechet regression on Bures Wasserstein manifolds. Our approach employs a sample splitting strategy: the first subsample is used to fit the Frechet regression model, yielding…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-01 Haoshu Xu , Hongzhe Li

This paper investigates a general regularization framework for unsupervised domain adaptation in vector-valued regression under the covariate shift assumption, utilizing vector-valued reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (vRKHS). Covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Markus Holzleitner , Sergiy Pereverzyev , Sergei V. Pereverzyev , Vaibhav Silmana , S. Sivananthan
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