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This paper introduces novel weighted conformal p-values and methods for model-free selective inference. The problem is as follows: given test units with covariates $X$ and missing responses $Y$, how do we select units for which the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-27 Ying Jin , Emmanuel J. Candès

Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) have achieved state-of-the-art performance in many computer vision tasks. However, high computational and storage demands hinder their deployment into resource-constrained environments, such as embedded…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Pallavi Mitra , Gesina Schwalbe , Nadja Klein

In the online false discovery rate (FDR) problem, one observes a possibly infinite sequence of $p$-values $P_1,P_2,\dots$, each testing a different null hypothesis, and an algorithm must pick a sequence of rejection thresholds…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-12 Aaditya Ramdas , Tijana Zrnic , Martin Wainwright , Michael Jordan

We consider the problem of multiple hypothesis testing with generic side information: for each hypothesis $H_i$ we observe both a p-value $p_i$ and some predictor $x_i$ encoding contextual information about the hypothesis. For large-scale…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-26 Lihua Lei , William Fithian

The horseshoe prior, a widely used handy alternative to the spike-and-slab prior, has proven to be an exceptional default global-local shrinkage prior in Bayesian inference and machine learning. However, designing tests with frequentist…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-19 Qiaoyu Liang , Zihan Zhu , Ziang Fu , Michael Evans

We propose sequential multiple testing procedures which control the false discover rate (FDR) or the positive false discovery rate (pFDR) under arbitrary dependence between the data streams. This is accomplished by "optimizing" an upper…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Michael Hankin , Jay Bartroff

Simultaneously performing variable selection and inference in high-dimensional regression models is an open challenge in statistics and machine learning. The increasing availability of vast amounts of variables requires the adoption of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-08 Marco Molinari , Magne Thoresen

In online selective conformal inference, data arrives sequentially, and prediction intervals are constructed only when an online selection rule is met. Since online selections may break the exchangeability between the selected test datum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-24 Yusuf Sale , Aaditya Ramdas

HF-DFT, the practice of evaluating approximate density functionals on Hartree-Fock densities, has long been used in testing density functional approximations. Density-corrected DFT (DC-DFT) is a general theoretical framework for identifying…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2021-10-18 Suhwan Song , Stefan Vuckovic , Eunji Sim , Kieron Burke

False discovery rate (FDR) is commonly used for correction for multiple testing in neuroimaging studies. However, when using two-tailed tests, making directional inferences about the results can lead to a vastly inflated error rate, even…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Anderson M. Winkler , Paul A. Taylor , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris Rorden

After the seminal Benjamini-Hochberg (BH) procedure for controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) was proposed, dozens of papers have attempted to improve its power by adapting to the unknown proportion of nulls. We observe that most null…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Nikolaos Ignatiadis , Ruodu Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

The uncertainty quantification and error control of classifiers are crucial in many high-consequence decision-making scenarios. We propose a selective classification framework that provides an indecision option for any observations that…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-11 Bowen Gang , Yuantao Shi , Wenguang Sun

In this work we study an adaptive step-down procedure for testing $m$ hypotheses. It stems from the repeated use of the false discovery rate controlling the linear step-up procedure (sometimes called BH), and makes use of the critical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-01 Yulia Gavrilov , Yoav Benjamini , Sanat K. Sarkar

Calibrating deep learning models to yield uncertainty-aware predictions is crucial as deep neural networks get increasingly deployed in safety-critical applications. While existing post-hoc calibration methods achieve impressive results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Christian Tomani , Futa Waseda , Yuesong Shen , Daniel Cremers

In 2015, Barber and Candes introduced a new variable selection procedure called the knockoff filter to control the false discovery rate (FDR) and prove that this method achieves exact FDR control. Inspired by the work of Barber and Candes…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Jiajie Chen , Anthony Hou , Thomas Y. Hou

We consider statistical hypothesis testing simultaneously over a fairly general, possibly uncountably infinite, set of null hypotheses, under the assumption that a suitable single test (and corresponding $p$-value) is known for each…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-10 Gilles Blanchard , Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

Deep neural networks have demonstrated remarkable performance across numerous learning tasks but often suffer from miscalibration, resulting in unreliable probability outputs. This has inspired many recent works on mitigating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Wenjian Huang , Guiping Cao , Jiahao Xia , Jingkun Chen , Hao Wang , Jianguo Zhang

The false discovery proportion (FDP) is a convenient way to account for false positives when a large number $m$ of tests are performed simultaneously. Romano and Wolf [Ann. Statist. 35 (2007) 1378-1408] have proposed a general principle…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-06-08 Sylvain Delattre , Etienne Roquain

A decision-theoretic characterization of perfect calibration is that an agent seeking to minimize a proper loss in expectation cannot improve their outcome by post-processing a perfectly calibrated predictor. Hu and Wu (FOCS'24) use this to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Parikshit Gopalan , Konstantinos Stavropoulos , Kunal Talwar , Pranay Tankala

We propose a new method for predicting multiple missing links in partially observed networks while controlling the false discovery rate (FDR), a largely unresolved challenge in network analysis. The main difficulty lies in handling complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-10 Wenqin Du , Wanteng Ma , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Wen Zhou