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It is often observed that the probabilistic predictions given by a machine learning model can disagree with averaged actual outcomes on specific subsets of data, which is also known as the issue of miscalibration. It is responsible for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-28 Feiyang Pan , Xiang Ao , Pingzhong Tang , Min Lu , Dapeng Liu , Lei Xiao , Qing He

Hyperdimensional Computing (HDC) offers a computationally efficient paradigm for neuromorphic learning. Yet, it lacks rigorous uncertainty quantification, leading to open decision boundaries and, consequently, vulnerability to outliers,…

We introduce $\textit{Backward Conformal Prediction}$, a method that guarantees conformal coverage while providing flexible control over the size of prediction sets. Unlike standard conformal prediction, which fixes the coverage level and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-13 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

In this paper, we present a novel approach for conformal prediction (CP), in which we aim to identify a set of promising prediction candidates -- in place of a single prediction. This set is guaranteed to contain a correct answer with high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-03 Adam Fisch , Tal Schuster , Tommi Jaakkola , Regina Barzilay

Model calibration aims to align confidence with prediction correctness. The Cross-Entropy (CE) loss is widely used for calibrator training, which enforces the model to increase confidence on the ground truth class. However, we find the CE…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Yuchi Liu , Lei Wang , Yuli Zou , James Zou , Liang Zheng

A new online multiple testing procedure is described in the context of anomaly detection, which controls the False Discovery Rate (FDR). An accurate anomaly detector must control the false positive rate at a prescribed level while keeping…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Etienne Krönert , Alain Célisse , Dalila Hattab

While deep learning models often achieve high predictive accuracy, their predictions typically do not come with any provable guarantees on risk or reliability, which are critical for deployment in high-stakes applications. The framework of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-13 Christopher Yeh , Nicolas Christianson , Adam Wierman , Yisong Yue

Differentially private multiple testing procedures can protect the information of individuals used in hypothesis tests while guaranteeing a small fraction of false discoveries. In this paper, we propose a differentially private adaptive FDR…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-06-01 Xintao Xia , Zhanrui Cai

Conformal prediction builds marginally valid prediction intervals that cover the unknown outcome of a randomly drawn test point with a prescribed probability. However, in practice, data-driven methods are often used to identify specific…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-21 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren

Conformal prediction is widely adopted in uncertainty quantification, due to its post-hoc, distribution-free, and model-agnostic properties. In the realm of modern deep learning, researchers have proposed Feature Conformal Prediction (FCP),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-03 Zihao Tang , Boyuan Wang , Chuan Wen , Jiaye Teng

Feature screening for ultrahigh-dimension, in general, proceeds with two essential steps. The first step is measuring and ranking the marginal dependence between response and covariates, and the second is determining the threshold. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-28 Linsui Deng , Yilin Zhang

Conformal Prediction (CP) is a widely used technique for quantifying uncertainty in machine learning models. In its standard form, CP offers probabilistic guarantees on the coverage of the true label, but it is agnostic to sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Anutam Srinivasan , Aditya T. Vadlamani , Amin Meghrazi , Srinivasan Parthasarathy

In the context of high-dimensional Gaussian linear regression for ordered variables, we study the variable selection procedure via the minimization of the penalized least-squares criterion. We focus on model selection where the penalty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Perrine Lacroix , Marie-Laure Martin

Multiple hypothesis testing is a fundamental problem in high dimensional inference, with wide applications in many scientific fields. In genome-wide association studies, tens of thousands of tests are performed simultaneously to find if any…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-21 Xu Han , Weijie Gu , Jianqing Fan

Cross-domain recommendation (CDR) aims to improve recommendation accuracy in sparse domains by transferring knowledge from data-rich domains. However, existing CDR approaches often assume that user-item interaction data across domains is…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-05-16 Li Wang , Qiang Wu , Min Xu

In recent years, multiple hypothesis testing has come to the forefront of statistical research, ostensibly in relation to applications in genomics and some other emerging fields. The false discovery rate (FDR) and its variants provide very…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Subhashis Ghosal , Anindya Roy , Yongqiang Tang

Conformal methods provide prediction sets for outcomes with confidence guarantees. We study their use in a selective inference setting, where inference is performed only when the prediction set is informative. The analyst may consider as…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Israela Solomon , Etienne Roquain , Saharon Rosset , Ruth Heller

This paper investigates sequential change-point detection in reconfigurable sensor networks. In this problem, data from multiple sensors are observed sequentially. Each sensor can have a unique change point, and the data distribution…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-10 Seungwon Lee , Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li

Conformal prediction is a popular technique for constructing prediction intervals with distribution-free coverage guarantees. The coverage is marginal, meaning it only holds on average over the entire population but not necessarily for any…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Yao Zhang , Emmanuel J. Candès

Multiple hypothesis testing is a core problem in statistical inference and arises in almost every scientific field. Given a set of null hypotheses $\mathcal{H}(n) = (H_1,\dotsc, H_n)$, Benjamini and Hochberg introduced the false discovery…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-10 Adel Javanmard , Andrea Montanari
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