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The estimation of the amount of uncertainty featured by predictive machine learning models has acquired a great momentum in recent years. Uncertainty estimation provides the user with augmented information about the model's confidence in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Ibai Laña , Ignacio , Olabarrieta , Javier Del Ser

In this paper we study how to optimally balance cheap inflexible resources with more expensive, reconfigurable resources despite uncertainty in the input problem. Specifically, we introduce the MinEMax model to study "build versus rent"…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-07-23 D Ellis Hershkowitz , R. Ravi , Sahil Singla

We study the optimal power flow problem with switching (or, equivalently, the line expansion problem) under demand uncertainty. Specifically, we consider the line-use variables at the first stage and the current- or power-flow at the second…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-01-26 Jakub Marecek , Adam Ouorou , Guanglei Wang

Long-term reservoir management often uses bounds on the reservoir level, between which the operator can work. However, these bounds are not always kept up-to-date with the latest knowledge about the reservoir drainage area, and thus become…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-01-29 Thibaut Cuvelier , Pierre Archambeau , Benjamin Dewals , Quentin Louveaux

Recently, deep learning has emerged as a promising tool for statistical downscaling, the set of methods for generating high-resolution climate fields from coarse low-resolution variables. Nevertheless, their ability to generalize to climate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina

The high dynamics and heterogeneous interactions in the complicated urban systems have raised the issue of uncertainty quantification in spatiotemporal human mobility, to support critical decision-makings in risk-aware web applications such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Zhengyang Zhou , Yang Wang , Xike Xie , Lei Qiao , Yuantao Li

Energy systems modellers often resort to simplified system representations and deterministic model formulations (i.e., not considering uncertainty) to preserve computational tractability. However, reduced levels of detail and neglected…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-18 Maria Yliruka , Stefano Moret , Nilay Shah

Due to the established energy production methods contribution to the climate crisis, renewable energy is to replace a substantial part of coal or nuclear plants to prevent greenhouse gases or toxic waste entering the atmosphere. This…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2022-04-05 Vincent Meilinger

When a machine learning model is deployed, its predictions can alter its environment, as better informed agents strategize to suit their own interests. With such alterations in mind, existing approaches to uncertainty quantification break.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Csillag , Claudio José Struchiner , Guilherme Tegoni Goedert

As renewable energy integration, sector coupling, and spatiotemporal detail increase, energy system optimization models grow in size and complexity, often pushing solvers to their performance limits. This systematic review explores…

This paper presents considerations towards an information and control architecture for future electric energy systems driven by massive changes resulting from the societal goals of decarbonization and electrification. This paper describes…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Le Xie , Tong Huang , P. R. Kumar , Anupam A. Thatte , Sanjoy K. Mitter

E-powertrain of future electric vehicles could consist of energy generation units (e.g., fuel cells and photovoltaic modules), energy storage systems (e.g., batteries and supercapacitors), energy conversion units (e.g., bidirectional DC/DC…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Erfan Mohagheghi , Joan Gubianes Gasso , Abebe Geletu , Pu Li

Dispatchability of renewable energy sources and inflexible loads can be achieved using a volatility-compensating energy storage. However, as the future power outputs of the inflexible devices are uncertain, the computation of a dispatch…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-05-25 R. R. Appino , J. Á. González Ordiano , R. Mikut , V. Hagenmeyer , T. Faulwasser

Load forecasting has long been recognized as an important building block for all utility operational planning efforts. Over the recent years, it has become ever more challenging to make accurate forecasts due to the proliferation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-05-17 Guangrui Xie , Xi Chen , Yang Weng

Forecasting electricity prices is a challenging task and an active area of research since the 1990s and the deregulation of the traditionally monopolistic and government-controlled power sectors. Although it aims at predicting both spot and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-23 Katarzyna Maciejowska , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

This paper introduces a new approach to quantify the impact of forward propagated demand and weather uncertainty on power system planning and operation models. Recent studies indicate that such sampling uncertainty, originating from demand…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-17 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

A novel data-driven stochastic robust optimization (DDSRO) framework is proposed for optimization under uncertainty leveraging labeled multi-class uncertainty data. Uncertainty data in large datasets are often collected from various…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Chao Ning , Fengqi You

Extreme weather is straining electricity systems, exposing the limitations of reactive responses, and prompting the need for proactive resilience planning. Most existing approaches to enhance electricity system resilience employ simplified…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Shuyi Chen , Shixiang Zhu , Ramteen Sioshansi

Potential of electrical loads in providing grid ancillary services is often limited due to the uncertainties associated with the load behavior. A knowledge of the expected uncertainties with a load control program would invariably yield to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Soumya Kundu , Jacob Hansen , Jianming Lian , Karan Kalsi

This paper considers safe robot mission planning in uncertain dynamical environments. This problem arises in applications such as surveillance, emergency rescue, and autonomous driving. It is a challenging problem due to modeling and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Yimeng Lu , Maryam Kamgarpour