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We consider the problem of optimal trading for a power producer in the context of intraday electricity markets. The aim is to minimize the imbalance cost induced by the random residual demand in electricity, i.e. the consumption from the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-11-27 René Aïd , Pierre Gruet , Huyên Pham

While deep learning gradually penetrates operational planning, its inherent prediction errors may significantly affect electricity prices. This letter examines how prediction errors propagate into electricity prices, revealing notable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Vladimir Dvorkin , Ferdinando Fioretto

We review the evidence that the erratic dynamics of markets is to a large extent of endogenous origin, i.e. determined by the trading activity itself and not due to the rational processing of exogenous news. In order to understand why and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-16 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We examine market outcomes in energy transport networks with a focus on gas-fired generators, which are producers in a wholesale electricity market and consumers in the natural gas market. Market administrators monitor bids to determine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-21 Noah Rhodes , Sachin Shivakumar , Luke S. Baker , Kaarthik Sundar , Anatoly Zlotnik

Wind energy has emerged as one of the most vital and economically viable forms of renewable energy. The integration of wind energy sources into power grids across the globe has been increasing substantially, largely due to the higher levels…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-16 Narin Nemati , Amin Ahmadi Kasani

The recent research report of U.S. Department of Energy prompts us to re-examine the pricing theories applied in electricity market design. The theory of spot pricing is the basis of electricity market design in many countries, but it has…

Econometrics · Economics 2017-10-24 Haoyong Chen , Lijia Han

Intra-day price spreads are of interest to electricity traders, storage and electric vehicle operators. This paper formulates dynamic density functions, based upon skewed-t and similar representations, to model and forecast the German…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-26 Ekaterina Abramova , Derek Bunn

Precise day-ahead forecasts for electricity prices are crucial to ensure efficient portfolio management, support strategic decision-making for power plant operations, enable efficient battery storage optimization, and facilitate demand…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Btissame El Mahtout , Florian Ziel

Demand response (DR), as one of the important energy resources in the future's grid, provides the services of peak shaving, enhancing the efficiency of renewable energy utilization with a short response period, and low cost. Various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Kuan-Cheng Lee , Hong-Tzer Yang , Wenjun Tang

The integration of renewables into electrical grids calls for optimization-based control schemes requiring reliable grid models. Classically, parameter estimation and optimization-based control is often decoupled, which leads to high system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-22 Xu Du , Alexander Engelmann , Timm Faulwasser , Boris Houska

Intraday electricity markets play an increasingly important role in balancing the intermittent generation of renewable energy resources, which creates a need for accurate probabilistic price forecasts. However, research to date has focused…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-15 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel

The increase in renewable energy on the consumer side gives place to new dynamics in the energy grids. Participants in a microgrid can produce energy and trade it with their peers (peer-to-peer) with the permission of the energy provider.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Nicolas Avila , Shahad Hardan , Elnura Zhalieva , Moayad Aloqaily , Mohsen Guizani

The evolution of smart microgrid and its demand-response characteristics not only will change the paradigms of the century-old electric grid but also will shape the electricity market. In this new market scenario, once always energy…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-04-24 Mosaddek Hossain Kamal Tushar , Chadi Assi

To enable an efficient electricity market, a good pricing scheme is of vital importance. Among many practical schemes, customized pricing is commonly believed to be able to best exploit the flexibility in the demand side. However, due to…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Jingshi Cui , Haoxiang Wang , Chenye Wu , Yang Yu

Accurate and efficient imbalance electricity price forecasting is critical for industrial energy trading systems, especially as battery assets and automated bidding pipelines increasingly participate in balancing markets. However, real-time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Julia Lin , Derek W. Bunn , Jochen Stiasny , Wentao Wang , Yujie Chen , Tara Esterl , Peter Palensky , Jochen L. Cremer

Estimation of sensitivity matrices in electrical transmission systems allows grid operators to evaluate in real-time how changes in power injections reflect into changes in power flows. In this paper, we propose a robust low-rank…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-12 Ana M. Ospina , Emiliano Dall'Anese

An increase in energy production from renewable energy sources is viewed as a crucial achievement in most industrialized countries. The higher variability of power production via renewables leads to a rise in ancillary service costs over…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-25 Mario Mureddu , Hildegard Meyer-Ortmanns

This paper introduces a group of novel datasets representing real-time time-series and streaming data of energy prices in New Zealand, sourced from the Electricity Market Information (EMI) website maintained by the New Zealand government.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-30 Yibin Sun , Heitor Murilo Gomes , Bernhard Pfahringer , Albert Bifet

The increasing attention to environmental issues is forcing the implementation of novel energy models based on renewable sources, fundamentally changing the configuration of energy management and introducing new criticalities that are only…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-09-09 Mario Mureddu , Guido Caldarelli , Alessandro Chessa , Antonio Scala , Alfonso Damiano

Increased share of renewable sources of energy in a power grid leads to larger deviations in grid frequency from the nominal value resulting in more challenging control and its modelling. In this paper we focus on the grid frequency for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-10 David Kraljic