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Probabilistic intraday electricity price forecasting is becoming increasingly important for short-term power-system operation. With increasing renewable generation, demand-side flexibility, and storage assets, market participants need to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Runyao Yu , Yuchen Tao , Fabian Leimgruber , Tara Esterl , Jochen Stiasny , Derek W. Bunn , Qingsong Wen , Hongye Guo , Jochen L. Cremer

Our paper aims to model and forecast the electricity price by taking a completely new perspective on the data. It will be the first approach which is able to combine the insights of market structure models with extensive and modern…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-18 Florian Ziel , Rick Steinert

The rapid proliferation of data centers is reshaping modern power system dynamics. Unlike legacy industrial loads, data centers have power-electronic interfaces whose multi-timescale dynamics can interact strongly with the grid, inducing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Xingyu Zhao , Junbo Zhao

One of the fundamental concerns in the operation of modern power systems is the assessment of their frequency stability in case of inertia-reduction induced by the large share of power electronic interfaced resources. Within this context,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Francesco Conte , Stefano Massucco , Mario Paolone , Giacomo-Piero Schiapparelli , Federico Silvestro , Yihui Zuo

In this paper a unifying energy-based approach is provided to the modeling and stability analysis of power systems coupled with market dynamics. We consider a standard model of the power network with a third-order model for the synchronous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-07-28 Tjerk Stegink , Claudio De Persis , Arjan van der Schaft

Mobile data demand is increasing tremendously in wireless social networks, and thus an efficient pricing scheme for social-enabled services is urgently needed. Though static pricing is dominant in the actual data market, price intuitively…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-08-14 Zehui Xiong , Dusit Niyato , Ping Wang , Zhu Han , Yang Zhang

Intra-day price variations in financial markets are driven by the sequence of orders, called the order flow, that is submitted at high frequency by traders. This paper introduces a novel application of the Sequence Generative Adversarial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-29 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Electricity supply is not simply a matter of quantity, but a time lasting service that matches with a wave-like load curve. It logically deserves a pricing based on the curve per se rather than simply integral of load. This paper introduces…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-02 Jinghuan Ma , Jie Gu , Zhijian Jin

We present a distributed and price-based control approach for frequency regulation in power grids with nonzero line conductances. Both grid and controller are modeled as a port-Hamiltonian system, where the grid model consists of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-20 Lukas Kölsch , Kirtan Bhatt , Stefan Krebs , Sören Hohmann

We explore nature of price formation in financial markets and develop a theory of bid and ask price dynamics in which the two prices form due to quantum-chaotic interaction between buy and sell orders. In this model bid and ask prices are…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-15 Jack Sarkissian

Statistical mechanics provides a useful analog for understanding the behavior of complex adaptive systems, including power markets and the power systems they intend to govern. Transaction-based control is founded on the conjecture that the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2007-05-23 David P. Chassin

Electricity market mechanisms designed to steer sustainable generation of electricity play an important role for the energy transition intended to mitigate climate change. One of the major problems is to complement volatile renewable energy…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-05-01 Cem Kiyak , Andreas de Vries

Dynamic pricing is both an opportunity and a challenge to the demand side. It is an opportunity as it better reflects the real time market conditions and hence enables an active demand side. However, demand's active participation does not…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-04 Jiaman Wu , Zhiqi Wang , Chenye Wu , Kui Wang , Yang Yu

The intraday (ID) electricity market has received an increasing attention in the recent EU electricity-market discussions. This is partly because the uncertainty in the underlying power system is growing and the ID market provides an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-03-14 Saeed Mohammadi , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh

The power-grid frequency reflects the balance between electricity supply and demand. Measuring the frequency and its variations allows monitoring of the power balance in the system and, thus, the grid stability. In addition, gaining insight…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-01 Xinyi Wen , Mehrnaz Anvari , Leonardo Rydin Gorjao , G. Cigdem Yalcin , Veit Hagenmeyer , Benjamin Schafer

With the increasing integration of power plants into the frequency-regulation markets, the importance of optimal trading has grown substantially. This paper conducts an in-depth analysis of their optimal trading behavior in sequential…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-30 Saeed Nordin , Abolfazl Khodadadi , Priyanka Shinde , Evelin Blom , Mohammad Reza Hesamzadeh , Lennart Söder

In the information-based approach to asset pricing the market filtration is modelled explicitly as a superposition of signals concerning relevant market factors and independent noise. The rate at which the signal is revealed to the market…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-09-21 Dorje C. Brody , Yan Tai Law

This review presents the set of electricity price models proposed in the literature since the opening of power markets. We focus on price models applied to financial pricing and risk management. We classify these models according to their…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-30 Thomas Deschatre , Olivier Féron , Pierre Gruet

The new technologies emerging in the energy sector pose new requirements for both the regulation and operation of the electricity grid. Revised tariff structures and the introduction of local markets are two approaches that could tackle the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-19 Bence Suto , Daniel Divenyi

This paper analyses an emerging real-world phenomena in inverter-based renewable-dominated power systems, namely, asymmetry of frequency distribution. The paper first provides a rationale on why asymmetry reduces the "quality" of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-01-22 Taulant Kerci , Federico Milano