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Mental stress is a largely prevalent condition known to affect many people and could be a serious health concern. The quality of human life can be significantly improved if mental health is properly managed. Towards this, we propose a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-23 Muhammad Majid , Aamir Arsalan , Syed Muhammad Anwar

Data-driven risk analysis involves the inference of probability distributions from measured or simulated data. In the case of a highly reliable system, such as the electricity grid, the amount of relevant data is often exceedingly limited,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-11 Simon H. Tindemans , Goran Strbac

Survival analysis predicts the time until an event of interest, such as failure or death, but faces challenges due to censored data, where some events remain unobserved. Ensemble-based models, like random survival forests and gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-10 Lev V. Utkin , Semen P. Khomets , Vlada A. Efremenko , Andrei V. Konstantinov , Natalya M. Verbova

Active learning is usually applied to acquire labels of informative data points in supervised learning, to maximize accuracy in a sample-efficient way. However, maximizing the accuracy is not the end goal when the results are used for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-22 Louis Filstroff , Iiris Sundin , Petrus Mikkola , Aleksei Tiulpin , Juuso Kylmäoja , Samuel Kaski

We consider tests of hypotheses when the parameters are not identifiable under the null in semiparametric models, where regularity conditions for profile likelihood theory fail. Exponential average tests based on integrated profile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-25 Rui Song , Michael R. Kosorok , Jason P. Fine

The identification of similar patient pathways is a crucial task in healthcare analytics. A flexible tool to address this issue are parametric competing risks models, where transition intensities may be specified by a variety of parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-10 Kathrin Möllenhoff , Nadine Binder , Holger Dette

We show how to estimate a model's test error from unlabeled data, on distributions very different from the training distribution, while assuming only that certain conditional independencies are preserved between train and test. We do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-17 Jacob Steinhardt , Percy Liang

In this paper, we aim at solving a class of multiple testing problems under the Bayesian sequential decision framework. Our motivating application comes from binary labeling tasks in crowdsourcing, where the requestor needs to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-29 Xiaoou Li , Yunxiao Chen , Xi Chen , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

We consider the Bayesian active learning and experimental design problem, where the goal is to learn the value of some unknown target variable through a sequence of informative, noisy tests. In contrast to prior work, we focus on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Yuxin Chen , S. Hamed Hassani , Andreas Krause

This paper introduces a novel multi-stage decision-making model that integrates hypothesis testing and dynamic programming algorithms to address complex decision-making scenarios.Initially,we develop a sampling inspection scheme that…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Ziyang Liu , Yurui Hu , Yihan Deng

Kundu and Gupta (2007, Metrika, 65, 159 - 170) provided the analysis of Type-I hybrid censored competing risks data, when the lifetime distribution of the competing causes of failures follow exponential distribution. In this paper we…

Applications · Statistics 2017-07-18 Arnab Koley , D. Kundu , Ayon Ganguly

Major advances have been made regarding the utilization of artificial intelligence in health care. In particular, deep learning approaches have been successfully applied for automated and assisted disease diagnosis and prognosis based on…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-24 Max Westphal , Antonia Zapf , Werner Brannath

The problem of detecting a single anomalous process among multiple independent processes is considered. Under a constraint on the number of processes that can be probed simultaneously, the decision maker should decide which processes to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Fengfan Qin , Da Chen , Hui Feng , Qing Zhao , Tao Yang , Bo Hu

Conditional Autoregressive Value-at-Risk and Conditional Autoregressive Expectile have become two popular approaches for direct measurement of market risk. Since their introduction several improvements both in the Bayesian and in the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-01 Marco Bottone , Mauro Bernardi , Lea Petrella

Semi-competing risks refers to the survival analysis setting where the occurrence of a non-terminal event is subject to whether a terminal event has occurred, but not vice versa. Semi-competing risks arise in a broad range of clinical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Harrison T. Reeder , Junwei Lu , Sebastien Haneuse

Poisson-distributed latent variable models are widely used in computational neuroscience, but differentiating through discrete stochastic samples remains challenging. Two approaches address this: Exponential Arrival Time (EAT) simulation…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Michael Ibrahim , Hanqi Zhao , Eli Sennesh , Zhi Li , Anqi Wu , Jacob L. Yates , Chengrui Li , Hadi Vafaii

Phase estimation is known to be a robust method for single-qubit gate calibration in quantum computers, while Bayesian estimation is widely used in devising optimal methods for learning in quantum systems. We present Bayesian phase…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-06 Brennan de Neeve , Andrey V. Lebedev , Vlad Negnevitsky , Jonathan P. Home

In many clinical and epidemiological studies, collecting longitudinal measurements together with time-to-event outcomes is essential. Accurately estimating the association between longitudinal markers and event risks, as well as identifying…

An imprecise Bayesian nonparametric approach to system reliability with multiple types of components is developed. This allows modelling partial or imperfect prior knowledge on component failure distributions in a flexible way through…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-19 Gero Walter , Louis J. M. Aslett , Frank P. A. Coolen

We introduce a new framework for sample-efficient model evaluation that we call active testing. While approaches like active learning reduce the number of labels needed for model training, existing literature largely ignores the cost of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-15 Jannik Kossen , Sebastian Farquhar , Yarin Gal , Tom Rainforth