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The Cox regression model is a popular model for analyzing the relationship between a covariate and a survival endpoint. The standard Cox model assumes a constant covariate effect across the entire covariate domain. However, in many…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-02 Sarit Agami , David M. Zucker , Donna Spiegelman

Addressing the challenge of multimodal data fusion in high-dimensional biomedical informatics, we propose MMCTOP, a MultiModal Clinical-Trial Outcome Prediction framework that integrates heterogeneous biomedical signals spanning (i)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-29 Carolina Aparício , Qi Shi , Bo Wen , Tesfaye Yadete , Qiwei Han

Generating probabilistic forecasts of potential outcomes and individual treatment effects (ITE) is essential for risk-aware decision-making in domains such as healthcare, policy, marketing, and finance. We propose two novel methods: the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Jef Jonkers , Jarne Verhaeghe , Glenn Van Wallendael , Luc Duchateau , Sofie Van Hoecke

Background Survival extrapolation is essential in the cost-effectiveness analysis to quantify the lifetime survival benefit associated with a new intervention, due to the restricted duration of randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Current…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-02 Zhaojing Che , Nathan Green , Gianluca Baio

This thesis develops methods for causal inference and causal representation learning (CRL) in high-dimensional, time-varying data. The first contribution introduces the Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE), a model for estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Mouad EL Bouchattaoui

Externally controlled trials are crucial in clinical development when randomized controlled trials are unethical or impractical. These trials consist of a full treatment arm with the experimental treatment and a full external control arm.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-11 Chenyin Gao , Xiang Zhang , Shu Yang

Safety evaluation is an essential component of clinical trials. To protect study participants, these studies often implement safety stopping rules that will halt the trial if an excessive number of toxicity events occur. Existing safety…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Michael J. Martens , Qinghua Lian , Brent R. Logan

Valid statistical inference is crucial for decision-making but difficult to obtain in supervised learning with multimodal data, e.g., combinations of clinical features, genomic data, and medical images. Multimodal data often warrants the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-13 Lucas Kook , Anton Rask Lundborg

Causal effect estimation from observational data requires careful adjustment for confounding. Classical estimators such as inverse probability weighting and augmented inverse probability weighting are effective under favorable model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-28 Lei Wang , Debashis Ghosh

A complete understanding of heterogeneous treatment effects involves characterizing the full conditional distribution of potential outcomes. To this end, we propose the Conditional Counterfactual Mean Embeddings (CCME), a framework that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Thatchanon Anancharoenkij , Donlapark Ponnoprat

Multispectral pedestrian detection is essential to various tasks especially autonomous driving, for which both the accuracy and computational cost are of paramount importance. Most existing approaches treat RGB and infrared modalities…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Xingjian Wang , Li Chai , Jiming Chen , Zhiguo Shi

Over the last couple of decades, there has been a surge in various approaches to multiple-point statistics simulation, commonly referred to as MPS. These methods have aimed to improve several critical aspects of realism in the results,…

Dose optimization in oncology clinical trials has shifted from seeking the maximum tolerated dose to identifying the Optimal Biological Dose (OBD) that balances therapeutic benefits and risks across multiple clinical attributes. Existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-07 Fanni Zhang , Kristine Broglio , Michael Sweeting , Gina D'Angelo

Composite binary endpoints are increasingly used as primary endpoints in clinical trials. When designing a trial, it is crucial to determine the appropriate sample size for testing the statistical differences between treatment groups for…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-15 Marta Bofill Roig , Guadalupe Gómez Melis

Whole-eye optical coherence tomography (WEOCT) has emerged as a transformative imaging modality capable of simultaneously capturing the anterior and posterior segments of the human eye. WEOCT enables comprehensive ocular biometry, which is…

The hazard ratio is routinely used as a summary measure to assess the treatment effect in clinical trials with time-to-event endpoints. It is frequently assumed as constant over time although this assumption often does not hold. When the…

This paper introduces a general framework for analyzing recurrent event data by modeling the conditional mean function of the recurrent event process as the solution to an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE). This approach not only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Bo Meng , Weijing Tang , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-24 Krzysztof Burnecki , Mario Nicoló Giuricich , Zbigniew Palmowski

Standard multiple testing procedures are designed to report a list of discoveries, or suspected false null hypotheses, given the hypotheses' p-values or test scores. Recently there has been a growing interest in enhancing such procedures by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Jack Freestone , William Stafford Noble , Uri Keich

Many applications involve reasoning about time durations before a critical event happens--also called time-to-event outcomes. When will a customer cancel a subscription, a coma patient wake up, or a convicted criminal reoffend?…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-03 George H. Chen