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The effect of spatial correlations on the spread of infectious diseases was investigated using a stochastic SIR (Susceptible-Infective-Recovered) model on complex networks. It was found that in addition to the reduction of the effective…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 J. Verdasca , M. M. Telo da Gama , A. Nunes , N. R. Bernardino , J. M. Pacheco , M. C. Gomes

Viral campaigns are crucial methods for word-of-mouth marketing in social communities. The goal of these campaigns is to encourage people for activity. The problem of incentivised and non-incentivised campaigns is studied in the paper.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-12 Radosław Michalski , Jarosław Jankowski , Przemysław Kazienko

Understanding the dynamics of passenger interactions and their epidemiological impact throughout public transportation systems is crucial for both service efficiency and public health. High passenger density and close physical proximity has…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-28 László Hajdu , Jovan Pavlović , Miklós Krész , András Bóta

During the early months of the current COVID-19 pandemic, social-distancing measures effectively slowed disease transmission in many countries in Europe and Asia, but the same benefits have not been observed in some developing countries…

By convention, and even more often, as an unintentional consequence of design, time distributions of latency and infectious durations in stochastic epidemic simulations are often exponential. The skewed distribtion typically leads to…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-18 Martin Camitz , Ake Svensson

In epidemic or pandemic situations, resources for testing the infection status of individuals may be scarce. Although group testing can help to significantly increase testing capabilities, the (repeated) testing of entire populations can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-29 Günther Koliander , Georg Pichler

This paper compares quantitatively the spread of Ukraine-related disinformation and its corresponding debunks, first by considering re-tweets, replies, and favourites, which demonstrate that despite platform efforts Ukraine-related…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-16 Iknoor Singh , Kalina Bontcheva , Xingyi Song , Carolina Scarton

Accurate estimates of the reproduction ratio are crucial to project infectious disease epidemic evolution and guide public health response. Here, we prove that estimates of the reproduction ratio based on inference from surveillance data…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-01-08 Piero Birello , Michele Re Fiorentin , Boxuan Wang , Vittoria Colizza , Eugenio Valdano

Polarization of opinions about vaccination can have a negative impact on pandemic control. In this work we quantify this negative impact for the transmission of COVID-19, using an agent based simulation in an heterogeneous population with…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-02 Ixandra Achitouv

We assess the impact of COVID-19 response measures implemented in Germany and Switzerland on cumulative COVID-19-related hospitalization and death rates. Our analysis exploits the fact that the epidemic was more advanced in some regions…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-22 Martin Huber , Henrika Langen

Purpose of Review: Negative controls are a powerful tool to detect and adjust for bias in epidemiological research. This paper introduces negative controls to a broader audience and provides guidance on principled design and causal analysis…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-20 Xu Shi , Wang Miao , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen

Monitoring the evolution of the Covid19 pandemic constitutes a critical step in sanitary policy design. Yet, the assessment of the pandemic intensity within the pandemic period remains a challenging task because of the limited quality of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-14 Patrice Abry , Gersende Fort , Barbara Pascal , Nelly Pustelnik

I study the co-evolution between public opinion and party policy in situations of crises by investigating a policy U-turn of a major Austrian right-wing party (FPOE) during the Covid-19 pandemic. My analysis suggests the existence of both…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-16 Patrick Mellacher

Information regarding vaccines from sources such as health services, media, and social networks can significantly shape vaccination decisions. In particular, the dissemination of negative information can contribute to vaccine hesitancy,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-07-04 Sarah Alahmadi , Rebecca Hoyle , Michael Head , Markus Brede

Attempts to control the epidemic spread of COVID19 in the different countries often involve imposing restrictions to the mobility of citizens. Recent examples demonstrate that the effectiveness of these policies strongly depends on the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-07-10 Alejandro Carballosa , Mariamo Mussa-Juane , Alberto P. Muñuzuri

Observed gonorrhea case rates (number of positive tests per 100,000 individuals) increased by 75 percent in the United States between 2009 and 2017, predominantly among men. However, testing recommendations by the Centers for Disease…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-04-16 Jessica G. Young , Sarah J. Willis , Katherine Hsu , Michael Klompas , Julia L. Marcus

We develop an agent-based model to assess the cumulative number of deaths during hypothetical Covid-19-like epidemics for various non-pharmaceutical intervention strategies. We consider local and non-local modes of disease transmission. The…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-11-16 Zdzislaw Burda

Epidemic modelling on complex networks has been studied intensively all the time. The majority of relative research assumes that the time scale of the underlying network evolution is much larger compared to the propagation dynamics on it,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-04-14 Minyu Feng , Yuhan Li , Jürgen Kurths

The recent spreading of coronavirus made many countries impose restrictions in order to control its dangerous effect on the citizens. We developed a theoretical dynamical model based on compartmental SIR system with additional adjustment…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-08 Victoria Lopez , Milena Čukić

For many health conditions, there are highly efficacious treatment and prevention products. Maximizing their impact requires strategies that improve the reach of health screening in order to establish who could benefit. For example, HIV…