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Recent studies document strong empirical support for multifactor models that aim to explain the cross-sectional variation in corporate bond expected excess returns. We revisit these findings and provide evidence that common factor pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-08 Alexander Dickerson , Philippe Mueller , Cesare Robotti

We propose a characteristics-augmented quantile factor (QCF) model, where unknown factor loading functions are linked to a large set of observed individual-level (e.g., bond- or stock-specific) covariates via a single-index projection. The…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-25 Ruofan Xu , Qingliang Fan

We derive simple return models for several classes of bond portfolios. With only one or two risk factors our models are able to explain most of the return variations in portfolios of fixed rate government bonds, inflation linked government…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-16 Matti Koivu , Teemu Pennanen

The valuation process that economic agents undergo for investments with uncertain payoff typically depends on their statistical views on possible future outcomes, their attitudes toward risk, and, of course, the payoff structure itself.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-01-11 Constantinos Kardaras

We study factor models augmented by observed covariates that have explanatory powers on the unknown factors. In financial factor models, the unknown factors can be reasonably well explained by a few observable proxies, such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-18 Jianqing Fan , Yuan Ke , Yuan Liao

We consider a conditional factor model for a multivariate portfolio of United States equities in the context of analysing a statistical arbitrage trading strategy. A state space framework underlies the factor model whereby asset returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

Corporate bond factor research faces a replication crisis. The crisis stems from two sources that inflate reported factor premia: transaction prices whose measurement error enters both sorting signals and return denominators, creating a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-10 Alexander Dickerson , Cesare Robotti , Giulio Rossetti

This study provides the solution to the equity premium puzzle. The new model was developed by including the behavior of investors toward risk in financial markets in prior studies. The calculations of this newly tested model show that the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-05 Atilla Aras

This paper presents an augmented deep factor model that generates latent factors for cross-sectional asset pricing. The conventional security sorting on firm characteristics for constructing long-short factor portfolio weights is nonlinear…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-11 Guanhao Feng , Jingyu He , Nicholas G. Polson , Jianeng Xu

This paper develops a unified framework that links firm-level predictive signals, cross-asset spillovers, and the stochastic discount factor (SDF). Signals and spillovers are jointly estimated by maximizing the Sharpe ratio, yielding an…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-25 Doron Avramov , Xin He

Latent factor model estimation typically relies on either using domain knowledge to manually pick several observed covariates as factor proxies, or purely conducting multivariate analysis such as principal component analysis. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-04 Runzhe Wan , Yingying Li , Wenbin Lu , Rui Song

This paper investigates the high-dimensional linear regression with highly correlated covariates. In this setup, the traditional sparsity assumption on the regression coefficients often fails to hold, and consequently many model selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Jianqing Fan , Bai Jiang , Qiang Sun

This study investigates whether international equity markets systematically price global macroeconomic risks. The empirical analysis is conducted using monthly excess returns for ten G20 countries over the period 2000-2024. A Dynamic Factor…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Vivek Mishra

Given the success and almost universal acceptance of the simple linear regression three-factor model, it is interesting to analyze the informational content of the three factors in explaining stock returns when the analysis is allowed to…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-17 Vassilis Polimenis

This article's aim is to provide the solution to the equity premium puzzle without using calibrated values. Calibrated values of subjective time discount factor were used in my prior derived models because 4 variables were determined from 3…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-16 Atilla Aras

Risk-averse investors often wish to exclude stocks from their portfolios that bear high credit risk, which is a measure of a firm's likelihood of bankruptcy. This risk is commonly estimated by constructing signals from quarterly accounting…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-06 Maksim Papenkov , Beau Robinette

By analysing the restrictions that ensure the existence of capital market equilibrium, we show that the coefficient of relative risk aversion and the subjective discount factor cannot be high simultaneously as they are supposed to be to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-06-30 Dominique Pepin

We compare observed corporate cumulative default probabilities to those calculated using a stochastic model based on an extension of the work of Black and Cox and find that corporations default as if via diffusive dynamics. The model, based…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-02 Ting Lei , Raymond J. Hawkins

We explore the statistical and economic importance of restrictions on the dynamics of risk compensation from the perspective of a real-time Bayesian learner who predicts bond excess returns using dynamic term structure models (DTSMs). The…

The article's aim is to provide a solution to the equity premium puzzle with a derived model. The derived model which depends on Consumption Capital Asset Pricing Model gives a solution to the puzzle with the values of coefficient of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-03 Atilla Aras
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