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Related papers: Generative Unsupervised Downscaling of Climate Mod…

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Effective adaptation and mitigation strategies for climate change require high-resolution projections to inform strategic decision-making. Conventional global climate models, which typically operate at resolutions of 150 to 200 kilometers,…

Earth system models (ESMs), which simulate the physics and chemistry of the global atmosphere, land, and ocean, are often used to generate future projections of climate change scenarios. These models are far too computationally intensive to…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Alexandra Puchko , Robert Link , Brian Hutchinson , Ben Kravitz , Abigail Snyder

Deterministic regression-based downscaling models for climate variables often suffer from spectral bias, which can be mitigated by generative models like diffusion models. To enable efficient and reliable simulation of extreme weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Rahul Sundar , Yucong Hu , Nishant Parashar , Antoine Blanchard , Boyko Dodov

Machine learning models have been employed to perform either physics-free data-driven or hybrid dynamical downscaling of climate data. Most of these implementations operate over relatively small downscaling factors because of the challenge…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-02-24 Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac , Johann Rudi , Yan Feng

Windstorms significantly impact the UK, causing extensive damage to property, disrupting society, and potentially resulting in loss of life. Accurate modelling and understanding of such events are essential for effective risk assessment and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-18 Etron Yee Chun Tsoi

Kilometer-scale weather data is crucial for real-world applications but remains computationally intensive to produce using traditional weather simulations. An emerging solution is to use deep learning models, which offer a faster…

Quantifying uncertainty in future climate projections is hindered by the prohibitive computational cost of running physical climate models, which severely limits the availability of training data. We propose a data-efficient framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-27 Johannes Brachem , Paul F. V. Wiemann , Matthias Katzfuss

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

Policy targets evolve faster than the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project cycles, complicating adaptation and mitigation planning that must often contend with outdated projections. Climate model output emulators address this gap by…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Shahine Bouabid , Andre Nogueira Souza , Raffaele Ferrari

Deep generative models provide state-of-the-art performance across a wide array of applications, with recent studies showing increasing applicability for science and engineering. Despite a growing corpus of literature focused on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jacob K. Christopher , James E. Warner , Ferdinando Fioretto

A new probabilistic post-processing method for wind vectors is presented in a distributional regression framework employing the bivariate Gaussian distribution. In contrast to previous studies all parameters of the distribution are…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-26 Moritz N. Lang , Georg J. Mayr , Reto Stauffer , Achim Zeileis

Climate hazards can cause major disasters when they occur simultaneously as compound hazards. To understand the distribution of climate risk and inform adaptation policies, scientists need to simulate a large number of physically realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alison Peard , Jim Hall

We introduce Flux Matching, a new paradigm for generative modeling that generalizes existing score-based models to a broader family of vector fields that need not be conservative. Rather than requiring the model to equal the data score, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Peter Pao-Huang , Xiaojie Qiu , Stefano Ermon

Sensitivity analysis is a cornerstone of climate science, essential for understanding phenomena ranging from storm intensity to long-term climate feedbacks. However, computing these sensitivities using traditional physical models is often…

Ensemble weather forecasts based on multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models typically show systematic errors and require post-processing to obtain reliable forecasts. Accurately modeling multivariate dependencies is crucial in…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-02-02 Jieyu Chen , Tim Janke , Florian Steinke , Sebastian Lerch

Traditional general circulation models, or GCMs -- i.e. 3D dynamical models with unresolved terms represented in equations with tunable parameters -- have been a mainstay of climate research for several decades, and some of the pioneering…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-21 V. Balaji , Fleur Couvreux , Julie Deshayes , Jacques Gautrais , Frédéric Hourdin , Catherine Rio

Seismic data often face challenges in their utilization due to noise contamination, incomplete acquisition, and limited low-frequency information, which hinder accurate subsurface imaging and interpretation. Traditional processing methods…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-02-04 Shijun Cheng , Randy Harsuko , Tariq Alkhalifah

Approximating wind flows using computational fluid dynamics (CFD) methods can be time-consuming. Creating a tool for interactively designing prototypes while observing the wind flow change requires simpler models to simulate faster. Instead…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-01-05 Henrik Hoeiness , Kristoffer Gjerde , Luca Oggiano , Knut Erik Teigen Giljarhus , Massimiliano Ruocco

Regional climate models (RCMs) are essential tools for simulating and studying regional climate variability and change. However, their high computational cost limits the production of comprehensive ensembles of regional climate projections…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-11-08 Jorge Bano-Medina , Maialen Iturbide , Jesus Fernandez , Jose Manuel Gutierrez

Generative models have enjoyed widespread success in a variety of applications. However, they encounter inherent mathematical limitations in modeling distributions where samples are constrained by equalities, as is frequently the setting in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Katherine Keegan , Lars Ruthotto