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Rare events in molecular dynamics are often related to noise-induced transitions between different macroscopic states (e.g., in protein folding). A common feature of these rare transitions is that they happen on timescales that are on…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Carsten Hartmann , Annika Jöster , Christof Schütte , Alexander Sikorski , Marcus Weber

Bayesian analysis plays a crucial role in estimating distribution of unknown parameters for given data and model. Due to the curse of dimensionality, it becomes difficult for high-dimensional problems, especially when multiple modes exist.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-18 Zihan Liao , Binbin Li , Hua-Ping Wan

We discuss the development of reliability acceptance sampling plans under progressive Type-I interval censoring schemes in the presence of competing causes of failure. We consider a general framework to accommodate the presence of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-22 Rathin Das , Soumya Roy , Biswabrata Pradhan

An open question in autonomous driving is how best to use simulation to validate the safety of autonomous vehicles. Existing techniques rely on simulated rollouts, which can be inefficient for finding rare failure events, while other…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-29 Anthony Corso , Ritchie Lee , Mykel J. Kochenderfer

Ensuring string stability is critical for the safety and efficiency of large-scale interconnected systems. Although learning-based controllers (e.g., those based on reinforcement learning) have demonstrated strong performance in complex…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Jingyuan Zhou , Haoze Wu , Haokun Yu , Kaidi Yang

Instance segmentation, a cornerstone task in computer vision, has wide-ranging applications in diverse industries. The advent of deep learning and artificial intelligence has underscored the criticality of training effective models,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Chih-Chung Hsu , Chia-Ming Lee

Reliable estimation of predictive performance is essential for spatial environmental modeling, where machine-learning models are used to generate maps from unevenly distributed observations. Standard cross-validation (CV) assumes that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Alexander Brenning , Thomas Suesse

Vision systems, i.e., systems that allow to detect and track objects in images, have gained substantial importance over the past decades. They are used in quality assurance applications, e.g., for finding surface defects in products during…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Franz Wotawa , Lorenz Klampfl , Ledio Jahaj

In the context of reinforcement learning we introduce the concept of criticality of a state, which indicates the extent to which the choice of action in that particular state influences the expected return. That is, a state in which the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-14 Yitzhak Spielberg , Amos Azaria

Many systems contain latent variables that make their dynamics partially unidentifiable or cause distribution shifts in the observed statistics between offline and online data. However, existing control techniques often assume access to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-24 Haoming Jing , Yorie Nakahira

Importance sampling (IS) is a widely used simulation method for estimating rare event probabilities. In IS, the relative variance of an estimator is the most common measure of estimator accuracy, and the focus of existing literature is on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Julie Choi , Peter Glynn

Importance Sampling methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or some of their moments. In its standard approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted properly. However, since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

In this paper, probabilistic guarantees for constraint sampling of multistage robust convex optimization problems are derived. The dynamic nature of these problems is tackled via the so-called scenario-with-certificates approach. This…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Francesca Maggioni , Marida Bertocchi , Fabrizio Dabbene , Roberto Tempo

Navigation in unknown, chaotic environments continues to present a significant challenge for the robotics community. Lighting changes, self-similar textures, motion blur, and moving objects are all considerable stumbling blocks for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-08-06 Valentin Peretroukhin , Lee Clement , Matthew Giamou , Jonathan Kelly

With an increasing use of data-driven models to control robotic systems, it has become important to develop a methodology for validating such models before they can be deployed to design a controller for the actual system. Specifically, it…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-03-28 Somil Bansal , Shromona Ghosh , Alberto Sangiovanni-Vincentelli , Sanjit A. Seshia , Claire J. Tomlin

With the rapid development of automated vehicles (AVs) in recent years, commercially available AVs are increasingly demonstrating high-level automation capabilities. However, most existing AV safety evaluation methods are primarily designed…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Hang Zhou , Chengyuan Ma , Shiyu Shen , Zhaohui Liang , Xiaopeng Li

A fundamental challenge in robust visual-inertial odometry (VIO) is to dynamically assess the reliability of sensor measurements. This assessment is crucial for properly weighting the contribution of each measurement to the state estimate.…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Seungwon Choi , Donggyu Park , Seo-Yeon Hwang , Tae-Wan Kim

Importance sampling (IS) is a Monte Carlo technique for the approximation of intractable distributions and integrals with respect to them. The origin of IS dates from the early 1950s. In the last decades, the rise of the Bayesian paradigm…

Computation · Statistics 2024-06-21 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino

The well-known quote from George Box states that: "All models are wrong, but some are useful." To develop more useful models, we quantify the inaccuracy with which a given model represents a system of interest, so that we may leverage this…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-09-21 Prithvi Akella , Wyatt Ubellacker , Aaron D. Ames

In this paper, we introduce Context-Aware Priority Sampling (CAPS), a novel method designed to enhance data efficiency in learning-based autonomous driving systems. CAPS addresses the challenge of imbalanced datasets in imitation learning…

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