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Median absolute deviation (hereafter MAD) is known as a robust alternative to the ordinary variance. It has been widely utilized to induce robust statistical inferential procedures. In this paper, we investigate the strong and weak Bahadur…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-03-01 Qing Liu , Xiaohui Liu

In this paper, we address the problem of uncertainty propagation through nonlinear stochastic dynamical systems. More precisely, given a discrete-time continuous-state probabilistic nonlinear dynamical system, we aim at finding the sequence…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-01 Ashkan Jasour , Allen Wang , Brian C. Williams

We introduce new estimators for robust machine learning based on median-of-means (MOM) estimators of the mean of real valued random variables. These estimators achieve optimal rates of convergence under minimal assumptions on the dataset.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Guillaume Lecué , Matthieu Lerasle

This paper presents a new method for anomaly detection in automated systems with time and compute sensitive requirements, such as autonomous driving, with unparalleled efficiency. As systems like autonomous driving become increasingly…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Andrew Gao , Jun Liu

There are several applications of stochastic optimization where one can benefit from a robust estimate of the gradient. For example, domains such as distributed learning with corrupted nodes, the presence of large outliers in the training…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-30 Fabian Schaipp , Guillaume Garrigos , Umut Simsekli , Robert Gower

The mean-squared displacement (MSD) is an averaged quantity widely used to assess anomalous diffusion. In many cases, such as molecular motors with finite processivity, dynamics of the system of interest produce trajectories of varying…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-10-07 Chapin S. Korosec , David A. Sivak , Nancy R. Forde

In this paper, we consider the problem of linear regression with heavy-tailed distributions. Different from previous studies that use the squared loss to measure the performance, we choose the absolute loss, which is capable of estimating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-26 Lijun Zhang , Zhi-Hua Zhou

Quantiles and expectiles, which are two important concepts and tools in tail risk measurements, can be regarded as an extension of median and mean, respectively. Both of these tail risk measurers can actually be embedded in a common…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-22 Keming Yu , Rong Jiang , Chi Tim Ng

We study the fundamental task of outlier-robust mean estimation for heavy-tailed distributions in the presence of sparsity. Specifically, given a small number of corrupted samples from a high-dimensional heavy-tailed distribution whose mean…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-11-30 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Jasper C. H. Lee , Ankit Pensia

Given a dataset an outlier can be defined as an observation that it is unlikely to follow the statistical properties of the majority of the data. Computation of the location estimate of is fundamental in data analysis, and it is well known…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-16 G. Zioutas , C. Chatzinakos , T. D. Nguyen , L. Pitsoulis

For probabilistic programs, it is usually not possible to automatically derive exact information about their properties, such as the distribution of states at a given program point. Instead, one can attempt to derive approximations, such as…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2021-04-09 Di Wang , Jan Hoffmann , Thomas Reps

The transverse-momentum-dependent distributions (TMDs), which are defined by gauge-invariant 3D parton correlators with staple-shaped lightlike Wilson lines, can be calculated from quark and gluon correlators fixed in the Coulomb gauge on a…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-12-04 Yong Zhao

Stable distribution is one of the attractive models that well describes fat-tail behaviors and scaling phenomena in various scientific fields. The approach based upon the method of moments yields a simple procedure for estimating stable law…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-24 Shinji Kakinaka , Ken Umeno

Robust Bayesian linear regression is a classical but essential statistical tool. Although novel robustness properties of posterior distributions have been proved recently under a certain class of error distributions, their sufficient…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-23 Yasuyuki Hamura , Kaoru Irie , Shonosuke Sugasawa

We propose an approach to compute the conditional moments of fat-tailed phenomena that, only looking at data, could be mistakenly considered as having infinite mean. This type of problems manifests itself when a random variable Y has a…

Applications · Statistics 2018-08-02 Nassim Nicholas Taleb , Pasquale Cirillo

Multivariate time series anomaly detection (MTSAD) aims to accurately identify and localize complex abnormal patterns in the large-scale industrial control systems. While existing approaches excel in recognizing the distinct patterns under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Xuechun Liu , Heli Sun , Xuecheng Wu , Ruichen Cao , Yunyun Shi , Dingkang Yang , Haoran Li

Massive machine-type communications (mMTC) are fundamental to the Internet of Things (IoT) framework in future wireless networks, involving the connection of a vast number of devices with sporadic transmission patterns. Traditional device…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-22 Xinjue Wang , Esa Ollila , Sergiy A. Vorobyov

Recent studies have provided both empirical and theoretical evidence illustrating that heavy tails can emerge in stochastic gradient descent (SGD) in various scenarios. Such heavy tails potentially result in iterates with diverging…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Hongjian Wang , Mert Gürbüzbalaban , Lingjiong Zhu , Umut Şimşekli , Murat A. Erdogdu

Traditional mediation models in both the frequentist and Bayesian frameworks typically assume normality of the error terms. Violations of this assumption can impair the estimation and hypothesis testing of the mediation effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-04 Zongyu Li , Mark Steel , Zhiyong Zhang

High-dimensional data subject to heavy-tailed phenomena and heterogeneity are commonly encountered in various scientific fields and bring new challenges to the classical statistical methods. In this paper, we combine the asymmetric square…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-02 Jun Zhao , Guan'ao Yan , Yi Zhang