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In this paper, we investigate the robust models for $\Lambda$-quantiles with partial information regarding the loss distribution, where $\Lambda$-quantiles extend the classical quantiles by replacing the fixed probability level with a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-28 Xia Han , Peng Liu

In this paper non-asymptotic moment estimates are derived for tail of distribution for discrete time polynomial martingale by means of martingale differences as a rule in the terms of unconditional and unconditional relative moments and…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-10-06 E. Ostrovsky , L. Sirota

High-dimensional datasets are frequently subject to contamination by outliers and heavy-tailed noise, which can severely bias standard regularized estimators like the Lasso. While Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) has recently been introduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-25 Xiaoning Kang , Lulu Kang

This paper is motivated by a regression analysis of electroencephalography (EEG) neuroimaging data with high-dimensional correlated responses with multi-level nested correlations. We develop a divide-and-conquer procedure implemented in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-29 Emily C. Hector , Peter X. -K. Song

A new efficient ensemble prediction strategy is developed for a general turbulent model framework with emphasis on the nonlinear interactions between large and small scale variables. The high computational cost in running large ensemble…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2023-02-22 Di Qi , Jian-Guo Liu

Two major momentum-based techniques that have achieved tremendous success in optimization are Polyak's heavy ball method and Nesterov's accelerated gradient. A crucial step in all momentum-based methods is the choice of the momentum…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-21 Vishwak Srinivasan , Adepu Ravi Sankar , Vineeth N Balasubramanian

Large deviation theory and instanton calculus for stochastic systems are widely used to gain insight into the evolution and probability of rare events. At its core lies the realization that rare events are, under the right circumstances,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Mnerh Alqahtani , Tobias Grafke

In risk management, tail risks are of crucial importance. The quality of a tail model, which is determined by data from an unknown distribution, depends critically on the subset of data used to model the tail. Based on a suitably weighted…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-19 Ingo Hoffmann , Christoph J. Börner

Big data can easily be contaminated by outliers or contain variables with heavy-tailed distributions, which makes many conventional methods inadequate. To address this challenge, we propose the adaptive Huber regression for robust…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-11 Qiang Sun , Wenxin Zhou , Jianqing Fan

We offer a survey of recent results on covariance estimation for heavy-tailed distributions. By unifying ideas scattered in the literature, we propose user-friendly methods that facilitate practical implementation. Specifically, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Yuan Ke , Stanislav Minsker , Zhao Ren , Qiang Sun , Wen-Xin Zhou

Stochastic gradient descent with momentum (SGDm) is one of the most popular optimization algorithms in deep learning. While there is a rich theory of SGDm for convex problems, the theory is considerably less developed in the context of deep…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-05 Umut Şimşekli , Lingjiong Zhu , Yee Whye Teh , Mert Gürbüzbalaban

We propose two robust methods for testing hypotheses on unknown parameters of predictive regression models under heterogeneous and persistent volatility as well as endogenous, persistent and/or fat-tailed regressors and errors. The proposed…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-25 Rustam Ibragimov , Jihyun Kim , Anton Skrobotov

Independence analysis is an indispensable step before regression analysis to find out essential factors that influence the objects. With many applications in machine Learning, medical Learning and a variety of disciplines, statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-08 Wenliang Pan , Yujue Li , Jianwu Liu , Pei Dang , Weixiong Mai

Anomaly detection is crucial for ensuring the stability and reliability of web service systems. Logs and metrics contain multiple information that can reflect the system's operational state and potential anomalies. Thus, existing anomaly…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Xixuan Yang , Xin Huang , Chiming Duan , Tong Jia , Shandong Dong , Ying Li , Gang Huang

The Adaptive Momentum Estimation (Adam) algorithm is highly effective in training various deep learning tasks. Despite this, there's limited theoretical understanding for Adam, especially when focusing on its vanilla form in non-convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Yusu Hong , Junhong Lin

Learning a good distance measure for distance-based classification in time series leads to significant performance improvement in many tasks. Specifically, it is critical to effectively deal with variations and temporal dependencies in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Dongmin Park , Susik Yoon , Hwanjun Song , Jae-Gil Lee

We study scalable alternatives to robust gradient descent (RGD) techniques that can be used when the losses and/or gradients can be heavy-tailed, though this will be unknown to the learner. The core technique is simple: instead of trying to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-15 Matthew J. Holland

We use Stein characterisations to derive new moment-type estimators for the parameters of several truncated multivariate distributions in the i.i.d. case; we also derive the asymptotic properties of these estimators. Our examples include…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Adrian Fischer , Robert E. Gaunt , Yvik Swan

This paper is devoted to the statistical and numerical properties of the geometric median, and its applications to the problem of robust mean estimation via the median of means principle. Our main theoretical results include (a) an upper…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Stanislav Minsker , Nate Strawn

Central moments and cumulants are often employed to characterize the distribution of data. The skewness and kurtosis are particularly useful for the detection of outliers, the assessment of departures from normally distributed data,…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2014-03-24 Lorenzo Rimoldini
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