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Bayesian methods are actively used for parameter identification and uncertainty quantification when solving nonlinear inverse problems with random noise. However, there are only few theoretical results justifying the Bayesian approach.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Vladimir Spokoiny

Prior information often takes the form of parameter constraints. Bayesian methods include such information through prior distributions having constrained support. By using posterior sampling algorithms, one can quantify uncertainty without…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-25 Leo L Duan , Alexander L Young , Akihiko Nishimura , David B Dunson

The marginal likelihood is a well established model selection criterion in Bayesian statistics. It also allows to efficiently calculate the marginal posterior model probabilities that can be used for Bayesian model averaging of quantities…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-07 Aliaksandr Hubin , Geir Storvik

The marginal likelihood, or Bayesian evidence, is a crucial quantity for Bayesian model comparison but its computation can be challenging for complex models, even in parameters space of moderate dimension. The learned harmonic mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Alicja Polanska , Jason D. McEwen

Modern simulation-based inference techniques use neural networks to solve inverse problems efficiently. One notable strategy is neural posterior estimation (NPE), wherein a neural network parameterizes a distribution to approximate the…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2024-03-06 Alex Kolmus , Justin Janquart , Tomasz Baka , Twan van Laarhoven , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tom Heskes

This paper addresses classification problems with matrix-valued data, which commonly arise in applications such as neuroimaging and signal processing. Building on the assumption that the data from each class follows a matrix normal…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Seungyeon Oh , Seongoh Park , Hoyoung Park

When recovering an unknown signal from noisy measurements, the computational difficulty of performing optimal Bayesian MMSE (minimum mean squared error) inference often necessitates the use of maximum a posteriori (MAP) inference, a special…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-23 Madhu Advani , Surya Ganguli

In this paper we propose a wavelet-based methodology for estimation and variable selection in partially linear models. The inference is conducted in the wavelet domain, which provides a sparse and localized decomposition appropriate for…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-26 Norbert Remenyi

Due to their conjugate posteriors, Gaussian process priors are attractive for estimating the drift of stochastic differential equations with continuous time observations. However, their performance strongly depends on the choice of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Jan van Waaij

Multiple generalized additive models (GAMs) are a type of distributional regression wherein parameters of probability distributions depend on predictors through smooth functions, with selection of the degree of smoothness via $L_2$…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-09-26 Yousra El-Bachir , Anthony C. Davison

We consider the so-called unfolding problem in experimental high energy physics, where the goal is to estimate the true spectrum of elementary particles given observations distorted by measurement error due to the limited resolution of a…

Applications · Statistics 2014-02-03 Mikael Kuusela , Victor M. Panaretos

Neural Posterior Estimation (NPE) enables rapid parameter inference for complex simulators with intractable likelihoods. NPE trains an inference network to estimate a probability density over parameters given data, typically assumed to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Jan Boelts , Cornelius Schröder , Jonas Beck , Jakob H. Macke , Michael Deistler , Daniel Gedon

Gaussian Process (GPs) models are a rich distribution over functions with inductive biases controlled by a kernel function. Learning occurs through the optimisation of kernel hyperparameters using the marginal likelihood as the objective.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-22 Fergus Simpson , Vidhi Lalchand , Carl Edward Rasmussen

In many statistical problems, stochastic signals can be represented as a sequence of noisy wavelet coefficients. In this paper, we develop general empirical Bayes methods for the estimation of true signal. Our estimators approximate certain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Cun-Hui Zhang

Let $f(y|\theta), \; \theta \in \Omega$ be a parametric family, $\eta(\theta)$ a given function, and $G$ an unknown mixing distribution. It is desired to estimate $E_G (\eta(\theta))\equiv \eta_G$ based on independent observations…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-29 Eitan Greenshtein , Ya'acov Ritov

We consider nonparametric Bayesian inference in a multidimensional diffusion model with reflecting boundary conditions based on discrete high-frequency observations. We prove a general posterior contraction rate theorem in $L^2$-loss, which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Marc Hoffmann , Kolyan Ray

Likelihood-based inference for multivariate extreme-value models is often unreliable or infeasible when likelihoods are intractable or supports are discrete. This challenge is particularly acute for multivariate discrete generalized Pareto…

Applications · Statistics 2026-05-28 Samira Aka , Marie Kratz , Philippe Naveau

In a mixture of linear regression model, the regression coefficients are treated as random vectors that may follow either a continuous or discrete distribution. We propose two Expectation-Maximization (EM) algorithms to estimate this prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Andrew Welbaum , Wanli Qiao

We propose a novel Bayesian wavelet regression approach using a three-component spike-and-slab prior for wavelet coefficients, combining a point mass at zero, a moment (MOM) prior, and an inverse moment (IMOM) prior. This flexible prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Nilotpal Sanyal

A nonparametric Bayes approach is proposed for the problem of estimating a sparse sequence based on Gaussian random variables. We adopt the popular two-group prior with one component being a point mass at zero, and the other component being…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-31 Yunbo Ouyang , Feng Liang