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Related papers: Rough volatility dynamics in commodity markets

200 papers

In this chapter, we consider volatility swap, variance swap and VIX future pricing under different stochastic volatility models and jump diffusion models which are commonly used in financial market. We use convexity correction approximation…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-12-08 Anatoliy Swishchuk , Zijia Wang

This study focuses on the application of the Heston model to option pricing, employing both theoretical derivations and empirical validations. The Heston model, known for its ability to incorporate stochastic volatility, is derived and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-22 Zheng Cao , Xinhao Lin

Rough Volterra volatility models are a progressive and promising field of research in derivative pricing. Although rough fractional stochastic volatility models already proved to be superior in real market data fitting, techniques used in…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-04 Jan Matas , Jan Pospíšil

In this paper we show that Hilbert space-valued stochastic models are robust with respect to perturbation, due to measurement or approximation errors, in the underlying volatility process. Within the class of stochastic volatility modulated…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-30 Fred Espen Benth , Heidar Eyjolfsson

We discuss the pricing and hedging of volatility options in some rough volatility models. First, we develop efficient Monte Carlo methods and asymptotic approximations for computing option prices and hedge ratios in models where…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-31 Blanka Horvath , Antoine Jacquier , Peter Tankov

This paper investigates how realized and option implied volatilities are related to the future quantiles of commodity returns. Whereas realized volatility measures ex-post uncertainty, volatility implied by option prices reveals the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 František Čech , Jozef Baruník

Using microscopic price models based on Hawkes processes, it has been shown that under some no-arbitrage condition, the high degree of endogeneity of markets together with the phenomenon of metaorders splitting generate rough Heston-type…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-20 Aditi Dandapani , Paul Jusselin , Mathieu Rosenbaum

In this paper we show how to approximate a Heath-Jarrow-Morton dynamics for the forward prices in commodity markets with arbitrage-free models which have a finite dimensional state space. Moreover, we recover a closed form representation of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-21 Fred Espen Benth , Paul Krühner

We consider rough stochastic volatility models where the driving noise of volatility has fractional scaling, in the "rough" regime of Hurst parameter $H < 1/2$. This regime recently attracted a lot of attention both from the statistical and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-12 Christian Bayer , Peter K. Friz , Archil Gulisashvili , Blanka Horvath , Benjamin Stemper

We model the dynamics of asset prices and associated derivatives by consideration of the dynamics of the conditional probability density process for the value of an asset at some specified time in the future. In the case where the price…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-14 Damir Filipović , Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

This paper analyses the implementation and calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model. We first explain how characteristic functions can be used to estimate option prices. Then we consider the implementation of the Heston model,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-18 Ricardo Crisostomo

In recent years, there has been a substantive interest in rough volatility models. In this class of models, the local behavior of stochastic volatility is much more irregular than semimartingales and resembles that of a fractional Brownian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-17 Carsten Chong , Marc Hoffmann , Yanghui Liu , Mathieu Rosenbaum , Grégoire Szymanski

In the analysis of commodity futures, it is commonly assumed that futures prices are driven by two latent factors: short-term fluctuations and long-term equilibrium price levels. In this study, we extend this framework by introducing a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-10 Peilun He , Gareth W. Peters , Nino Kordzakhia , Pavel V. Shevchenko

It has been recently shown that rough volatility models, where the volatility is driven by a fractional Brownian motion with small Hurst parameter, provide very relevant dynamics in order to reproduce the behavior of both historical and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-08 Omar El Euch , Mathieu Rosenbaum

We introduce a novel stochastic volatility model where the squared volatility of the asset return follows a Jacobi process. It contains the Heston model as a limit case. We show that the joint density of any finite sequence of log returns…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-10-31 Damien Ackerer , Damir Filipović , Sergio Pulido

Rough volatility is a well-established statistical stylised fact of financial assets. This property has lead to the design and analysis of various new rough stochastic volatility models. However, most of these developments have been carried…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-31 Mehdi Tomas , Mathieu Rosenbaum

Despite the empirical success of the rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model in modeling volatility dynamics, its practical use remains challenging due to high computational complexity in both pricing and calibration arising from its non-Markovian…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-09 Changqing Teng , Guanglian Li

The Nelson-Siegel framework is employed to model the term structure of commodity futures prices. Exploiting the information embedded in the level, slope and curvature parameters, we develop novel investment strategies that assume short-term…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-08-02 Robert J Bianchi , John Hua Fan , Joelle Miffre , Tingxi Zhang

We describe the pricing and hedging of financial options without the use of probability using rough paths. By encoding the volatility of assets in an enhancement of the price trajectory, we give a pathwise presentation of the replication of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-09 John Armstrong , Claudio Bellani , Damiano Brigo , Thomas Cass

The rough Bergomi (rBergomi) model, introduced recently in [5], is a promising rough volatility model in quantitative finance. It is a parsimonious model depending on only three parameters, and yet remarkably fits with empirical implied…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-13 Christian Bayer , Chiheb Ben Hammouda , Raul Tempone