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A reliable deep learning system should be able to accurately express its confidence with respect to its predictions, a quality known as calibration. One of the most effective ways to produce reliable confidence estimates with a pre-trained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Thomas P. Zollo , Zhun Deng , Jake C. Snell , Toniann Pitassi , Richard Zemel

Stochastic simulation aims to compute output performance for complex models that lack analytical tractability. To ensure accurate prediction, the model needs to be calibrated and validated against real data. Conventional methods approach…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-28 Yuanlu Bai , Tucker Balch , Haoxian Chen , Danial Dervovic , Henry Lam , Svitlana Vyetrenko

Machine learning applications often require calibrated predictions, e.g. a 90\% credible interval should contain the true outcome 90\% of the times. However, typical definitions of calibration only require this to hold on average, and offer…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-10 Shengjia Zhao , Tengyu Ma , Stefano Ermon

Multi-class classification methods that produce sets of probabilistic classifiers, such as ensemble learning methods, are able to model aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatoric uncertainty is then typically quantified via the Bayes…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-20 Thomas Mortier , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Stijn Luca , Willem Waegeman

In this work, we perform safety analysis of linear dynamical systems with uncertainties. Instead of computing a conservative overapproximation of the reachable set, our approach involves computing a statistical approximate reachable set. As…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-09-17 Bineet Ghosh , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

This work proposes a procedure for designing algorithms for specific adaptive data collection tasks like active learning and pure-exploration multi-armed bandits. Unlike the design of traditional adaptive algorithms that rely on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Jifan Zhang , Lalit Jain , Kevin Jamieson

Analyzing classification model performance is a crucial task for machine learning practitioners. While practitioners often use count-based metrics derived from confusion matrices, like accuracy, many applications, such as weather…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2022-07-29 Peter Xenopoulos , Joao Rulff , Luis Gustavo Nonato , Brian Barr , Claudio Silva

We present a method that allows efficient and safe approximation of model predictive controllers using kernel interpolation. Since the computational complexity of the approximating function scales linearly with the number of data points, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-22 Alexander Rose , Philipp Schaub , Rolf Findeisen

Data driven models of dynamical systems help planners and controllers to provide more precise and accurate motions. Most model learning algorithms will try to minimize a loss function between the observed data and the model's predictions.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Clark Zhang , Santiago Paternain , Alejandro Ribeiro

Reachability analysis is a formal method to guarantee safety of dynamical systems under the influence of uncertainties. A substantial bottleneck of all reachability algorithms is the necessity to adequately tune specific algorithm…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-23 Mark Wetzlinger , Niklas Kochdumper , Stanley Bak , Matthias Althoff

Real-world applications of machine learning models are often subject to legal or policy-based regulations. Some of these regulations require ensuring the validity of the model, i.e., the approximation error being smaller than a threshold. A…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-06-18 Sven Lämmle , Can Bogoclu , Robert Voßhall , Anselm Haselhoff , Dirk Roos

Generative classifiers are constructed on the basis of a joint probability distribution and are typically learned using closed-form procedures that rely on data statistics and maximize scores related to data fitting. However, these scores…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-31 Aritz Pérez , Carlos Echegoyen , Guzmán Santafé

Overconfidence and underconfidence in machine learning classifiers is measured by calibration: the degree to which the probabilities predicted for each class match the accuracy of the classifier on that prediction. How one measures…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Jeremy Nixon , Mike Dusenberry , Ghassen Jerfel , Timothy Nguyen , Jeremiah Liu , Linchuan Zhang , Dustin Tran

Approximating the set of reachable states of a dynamical system is an algorithmic yet mathematically rigorous way to reason about its safety. Although progress has been made in the development of efficient algorithms for affine dynamical…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2022-05-03 Sergiy Bogomolov , Marcelo Forets , Goran Frehse , Andreas Podelski , Christian Schilling , Frédéric Viry

Hamilton-Jacobi (HJ) reachability provides formal safety guarantees for nonlinear systems. However, it becomes computationally intractable in high-dimensional settings, motivating learning-based approximations that may introduce unsafe…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-27 Ebonye Smith , Sampada Deglurkar , Jingqi Li , Gechen Qu , Claire J. Tomlin

We introduce a framework for calibrating machine learning models so that their predictions satisfy explicit, finite-sample statistical guarantees. Our calibration algorithms work with any underlying model and (unknown) data-generating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-03 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates , Emmanuel J. Candès , Michael I. Jordan , Lihua Lei

Active Learning (AL) has emerged as a powerful approach for minimizing labeling costs by selectively sampling the most informative data for neural network model development. Effective AL for large-scale vision-language models necessitates…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Athmanarayanan Lakshmi Narayanan , Amrutha Machireddy , Ranganath Krishnan

Reachability analysis is at the core of many applications, from neural network verification, to safe trajectory planning of uncertain systems. However, this problem is notoriously challenging, and current approaches tend to be either too…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-10 Thomas Lew , Marco Pavone

Active learning aims to select a small subset of data for annotation such that a classifier learned on the data is highly accurate. This is usually done using heuristic selection methods, however the effectiveness of such methods is limited…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-08-09 Meng Fang , Yuan Li , Trevor Cohn

Chance constrained program where one seeks to minimize an objective over decisions which satisfy randomly disturbed constraints with a given probability is computationally intractable. This paper proposes an approximate approach to address…

Computation · Statistics 2019-12-23 Xun Shen , Jiancang Zhuang , Xingguo Zhang