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Continual learning for large language models is typically evaluated through accuracy retention under sequential fine-tuning. We argue that this perspective is incomplete, because uncertainty reliability can degrade earlier and more sharply…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Ibne Farabi Shihab , Sanjeda Akter , Anuj Sharma

Calibration has emerged as a foundational goal in ``trustworthy machine learning'', in part because of its strong decision theoretic semantics. Independent of the underlying distribution, and independent of the decision maker's utility…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-28 Shayan Kiyani , Hamed Hassani , George Pappas , Aaron Roth

Machine learning models deployed in real-world applications are often evaluated with precision-based metrics such as F1-score or AUC-PR (Area Under the Curve of Precision Recall). Heavily dependent on the class prior, such metrics make it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Wissam Siblini , Jordan Fréry , Liyun He-Guelton , Frédéric Oblé , Yi-Qing Wang

Deep predictive models rely on human supervision in the form of labeled training data. Obtaining large amounts of annotated training data can be expensive and time consuming, and this becomes a critical bottleneck while building such models…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-01 Bindya Venkatesh , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Active learning is a machine learning method aiming at optimal design for model training. At variance with supervised learning, which labels all samples, active learning provides an improved model by labeling samples with maximal…

Computing reachability probabilities is at the heart of probabilistic model checking. All model checkers compute these probabilities in an iterative fashion using value iteration. This technique approximates a fixed point from below by…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-04-16 Tim Quatmann , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Reliable uncertainty estimation is crucial for perception systems in safe autonomous driving. Recently, many methods have been proposed to model uncertainties in deep learning based object detectors. However, the estimated probabilities are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-09-30 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Claudius Glaeser , Fabian Timm , Klaus Dietmayer

Typical analysis of content caching algorithms using the metric of steady state hit probability under a stationary request process does not account for performance loss under a variable request arrival process. In this work, we consider…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-04-10 Jian Li , Srinivas Shakkottai , John C. S. Lui , Vijay Subramanian

This short study presents an opportunistic approach to a (more) reliable validation method for prediction uncertainty average calibration. Considering that variance-based calibration metrics (ZMS, NLL, RCE...) are quite sensitive to the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Pascal Pernot

Prediction sets provide a means of quantifying the uncertainty in predictive tasks. Using held out calibration data, conformal prediction and risk control can produce prediction sets that exhibit statistically valid error control in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-05 Bror Hultberg , Dave Zachariah , Antônio H. Ribeiro

Effective learning of user preferences is critical to easing user burden in various types of matching problems. Equally important is active query selection to further reduce the amount of preference information users must provide. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-06-22 Laurent Charlin , Rich Zemel , Craig Boutilier

Reachable set computation is an important tool for analyzing control systems. Simulating a control system can show general trends, but a formal tool like reachability analysis can provide guarantees of correctness. Reachability analysis for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-07 Chelsea Sidrane , Jana Tumova

Q-learning is widely used algorithm in reinforcement learning community. Under the lookup table setting, its convergence is well established. However, its behavior is known to be unstable with the linear function approximation case. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Han-Dong Lim , Donghwan Lee

Active learning enables efficient model training by leveraging interactions between machine learning agents and human annotators. We study and propose a novel framework that formulates batch active learning from the sparse approximation's…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-08 Maohao Shen , Bowen Jiang , Jacky Yibo Zhang , Oluwasanmi Koyejo

Deep active learning aims to reduce the annotation cost for the training of deep models, which is notoriously data-hungry. Until recently, deep active learning methods were ineffectual in the low-budget regime, where only a small number of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Ofer Yehuda , Avihu Dekel , Guy Hacohen , Daphna Weinshall

Model predictive control allows solving complex control tasks with control and state constraints. However, an optimal control problem must be solved in real-time to predict the future system behavior, which is hardly possible on embedded…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-13 Jan Olucak , Walter Fichter , Torbjørn Cunis

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

In the drug discovery process, where experiments can be costly and time-consuming, computational models that predict drug-target interactions are valuable tools to accelerate the development of new therapeutic agents. Estimating the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Hannah Rosa Friesacher , Ola Engkvist , Lewis Mervin , Yves Moreau , Adam Arany

Consider a multi-class labelling problem, where the labels can take values in $[k]$, and a predictor predicts a distribution over the labels. In this work, we study the following foundational question: Are there notions of multi-class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-11 Parikshit Gopalan , Lunjia Hu , Guy N. Rothblum

In this article we consider the problem of choosing an optimal sampling scheme for the regression problem simultaneously with that of model selection. We consider a batch type approach and an on-line approach following algorithms recently…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-30 Ana Karina Fermin , Carenne Ludeña
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