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Time series forecasting has received wide interest from existing research due to its broad applications and inherent challenging. The research challenge lies in identifying effective patterns in historical series and applying them to future…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-14 Tianlong Zhao , Xiang Ma , Xuemei Li , Caiming Zhang

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting is vital across various domains but remains challenging due to the need to simultaneously model temporal and inter-variate dependencies. Existing channel-dependent models, where Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-03 Junwoo Ha , Hyukjae Kwon , Sungsoo Kim , Kisu Lee , Seungjae Park , Ha Young Kim

Probabilistic forecasting of multivariate time series is essential for various downstream tasks. Most existing approaches rely on the sequences being uniformly spaced and aligned across all variables. However, real-world multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-18 Yijun Li , Cheuk Hang Leung , Qi Wu

Real-world time-series data often exhibit non-stationarity, including changing trends, irregular seasonality, and residuals. In terms of changing trends, recently proposed multi-layer perceptron (MLP)-based models have shown excellent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Gawon Lee , Hanbyeol Park , Minseop Kim , Dohee Kim , Hyerim Bae

Vision Transformers have achieved great success in computer visions, delivering exceptional performance across various tasks. However, their inherent reliance on sequential input enforces the manual partitioning of images into patch…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-22 Changzhen Li , Jie Zhang , Yang Wei , Zhilong Ji , Jinfeng Bai , Shiguang Shan

Modern Internet of Things (IoT) environments are monitored via a large number of IoT enabled sensing devices, with the data acquisition and processing infrastructure setting restrictions in terms of computational power and energy resources.…

Time series forecasting remains a critical challenge across various domains, often complicated by high-dimensional data and long-term dependencies. This paper presents a novel transformer architecture for time series forecasting,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Yanlong Wang , Jian Xu , Fei Ma , Shao-Lun Huang , Danny Dongning Sun , Xiao-Ping Zhang

Multivariate time series forecasting (MTSF) plays a vital role in a wide range of real-world applications, such as weather prediction and traffic flow forecasting. Although recent advances have significantly improved the modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-03 Beiliang Wu , Peiyuan Liu , Yifan Hu , Luyan Zhang , Ao Hu , Zenglin Xu

Energy forecasting is pivotal in energy systems, by providing fundamentals for operation, with different horizons and resolutions. Though energy forecasting has been widely studied for capturing temporal information, very few works…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-12 Chenxi Wang , Pierre Pinson , Yi Wang

Modeling of longitudinal cohort data typically involves complex temporal dependencies between multiple variables. There, the transformer architecture, which has been highly successful in language and vision applications, allows us to…

Transformer-based architectures achieved breakthrough performance in natural language processing and computer vision, yet they remain inferior to simpler linear baselines in multivariate long-term forecasting. To better understand this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Romain Ilbert , Ambroise Odonnat , Vasilii Feofanov , Aladin Virmaux , Giuseppe Paolo , Themis Palpanas , Ievgen Redko

Time series forecasting is a critical task for artificial intelligence with numerous real-world applications. Traditional approaches primarily rely on historical time series data to predict the future values. However, in practical…

Time series forecasting is widely used in extensive applications, such as traffic planning and weather forecasting. However, real-world time series usually present intricate temporal variations, making forecasting extremely challenging.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Shiyu Wang , Haixu Wu , Xiaoming Shi , Tengge Hu , Huakun Luo , Lintao Ma , James Y. Zhang , Jun Zhou

Transformer-based models have recently become dominant in Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF), yet the variations in their architecture, such as encoder-only, encoder-decoder, and decoder-only designs, raise a crucial question: What…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-18 Lefei Shen , Mouxiang Chen , Han Fu , Xiaoxue Ren , Xiaoyun Joy Wang , Jianling Sun , Zhuo Li , Chenghao Liu

Long-term time-series forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term dependencies, achieving linear scalability, and maintaining computational efficiency. We introduce TimeMachine, an innovative model that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-26 Md Atik Ahamed , Qiang Cheng

Accurate weather forecasting across time scales is critical for anticipating and mitigating the impacts of climate change. Recent data-driven methods based on deep learning have achieved significant success in the medium range, but struggle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Tung Nguyen , Tuan Pham , Troy Arcomano , Veerabhadra Kotamarthi , Ian Foster , Sandeep Madireddy , Aditya Grover

Time series forecasting is a fundamental tool with wide ranging applications, yet recent debates question whether complex nonlinear architectures truly outperform simple linear models. Prior claims of dominance of the linear model often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-13 Md Rakibul Haque , Vishwa Goudar , Shireen Elhabian , Warren Woodrich Pettine

The Transformer architecture yields state-of-the-art results in many tasks such as natural language processing (NLP) and computer vision (CV), since the ability to efficiently capture the precise long-range dependency coupling between input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Peiwang Tang , Xianchao Zhang

Forecast combinations have been widely applied in the last few decades to improve forecasting. Estimating optimal weights that can outperform simple averages is not always an easy task. In recent years, the idea of using time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-22 Yanfei Kang , Wei Cao , Fotios Petropoulos , Feng Li

Transformer is the state-of-the-art model for many natural language processing, computer vision, and audio analysis problems. Transformer effectively combines information from the past input and output samples in auto-regressive manner so…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-14 Joni-Kristian Kämäräinen
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