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Many decision problems in science, engineering and economics are affected by uncertain parameters whose distribution is only indirectly observable through samples. The goal of data-driven decision-making is to learn a decision from finitely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh

Regression analysis for responses taking values in general metric spaces has received increasing attention, particularly for settings with Euclidean predictors $X \in \mathbb{R}^p$ and non-Euclidean responses $Y$ in metric spaces. While…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Wookyeong Song , Hans-Georg Müller

Standard stochastic control methods assume that the probability distribution of uncertain variables is available. Unfortunately, in practice, obtaining accurate distribution information is a challenging task. To resolve this issue, we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-13 Insoon Yang

Wasserstein geometry and information geometry are two important structures introduced in a manifold of probability distributions. The former is defined by using the transportation cost between two distributions, so it reflects the metric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-13 Shun-ichi Amari

Wasserstein autoregression provides a robust framework for modeling serial dependence among probability distributions, with wide-ranging applications in economics, finance, and climate science. In this paper, we develop portmanteau-type…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-01 Chenxiao Dai , Feiyu Jiang , Dong Li , Xiaofeng Shao

Despite the remarkable empirical success of generative models, the available theory on their statistical accuracy in scientific computing remains largely pessimistic. This paper develops a theoretical framework for understanding the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Likun Lin , Zhongjian Wang , Jack Xin , Zhiwen Zhang

Variational inference is a technique that approximates a target distribution by optimizing within the parameter space of variational families. On the other hand, Wasserstein gradient flows describe optimization within the space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mingxuan Yi , Song Liu

Wasserstein barycenters provide a principled approach for aggregating probability measures, while preserving the geometry of their ambient space. Existing discrete methods are not scalable as they assume access to the complete set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eduardo Fernandes Montesuma , Yassir Bendou , Mike Gartrell

Numerous biological and physical processes can be modeled as systems of interacting entities evolving continuously over time, e.g. the dynamics of communicating cells or physical particles. Learning the dynamics of such systems is essential…

The theory of optimal transport of probability measures has wide-ranging applications across a number of different fields, including concentration of measure, machine learning, Markov chains, and economics. The generalisation of optimal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-21 Emily Beatty

Graph signal processing (GSP) studies graph-structured data, where the central concept is the vector space of graph signals. To study a vector space, we have many useful tools up our sleeves. However, uncertainty is omnipresent in practice,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-23 Feng Ji , Xingchao Jian , Wee Peng Tay

We present a novel method for efficiently computing optimal transport maps and Wasserstein barycenters in high-dimensional spaces. Our approach uses conditional normalizing flows to approximate the input distributions as invertible…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-29 Gabriele Visentin , Patrick Cheridito

Capturing data from dynamic processes through cross-sectional measurements is seen in many fields, such as computational biology. Trajectory inference deals with the challenge of reconstructing continuous processes from such observations.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Amartya Banerjee , Harlin Lee , Nir Sharon , Caroline Moosmüller

Wasserstein barycenters provide a geometrically meaningful way to aggregate probability distributions, built on the theory of optimal transport. They are difficult to compute in practice, however, leading previous work to restrict their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Lingxiao Li , Aude Genevay , Mikhail Yurochkin , Justin Solomon

In this paper, we propose a new method to measure the probabilistic robustness of stochastic jump linear system with respect to both the initial state uncertainties and the randomness in switching. Wasserstein distance which defines a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-10-03 Kooktae Lee , Abhishek Halder , Raktim Bhattacharya

Inverse problems in physical or biological sciences often involve recovering an unknown parameter that is random. The sought-after quantity is a probability distribution of the unknown parameter, that produces data that aligns with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-02 Qin Li , Maria Oprea , Li Wang , Yunan Yang

A novel variational inference based resampling framework is proposed to evaluate the robustness and generalization capability of deep learning models with respect to distribution shift. We use Auto Encoding Variational Bayes to find a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Xudong Sun , Alexej Gossmann , Yu Wang , Bernd Bischl

Sampling from high-dimensional distributions is a fundamental problem in statistical research and practice. However, great challenges emerge when the target density function is unnormalized and contains isolated modes. We tackle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Yixuan Qiu , Xiao Wang

We study the problem of distributional matrix completion: Given a sparsely observed matrix of empirical distributions, we seek to impute the true distributions associated with both observed and unobserved matrix entries. This is a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-09 Jacob Feitelberg , Kyuseong Choi , Anish Agarwal , Raaz Dwivedi

A common feature of methods for analyzing samples of probability density functions is that they respect the geometry inherent to the space of densities. Once a metric is specified for this space, the Fr\'echet mean is typically used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-20 Alexander Petersen , Hans-Georg Müller