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Multivariate long-term and efficient time series forecasting is a key requirement for a variety of practical applications, and there are complex interleaving time dynamics in time series data that require decomposition modeling. Traditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-11 Hang Ye , Gaoxiang Duan , Haoran Zeng , Yangxin Zhu , Lingxue Meng , Xiaoying Zheng , Yongxin Zhu

Short-term precipitation forecasting remains challenging due to the difficulty in capturing long-term spatiotemporal dependencies. Current deep learning methods fall short in establishing effective dependencies between conditions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-18 ChaoRong Li , XuDong Ling , YiLan Xue , Wenjie Luo , LiHong Zhu , FengQing Qin , Yaodong Zhou , Yuanyuan Huang

This paper proposes a simple yet effective convolutional module for long-term time series forecasting. The proposed block, inspired by the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model, consists of two convolutional components:…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-15 Myung Jin Kim , YeongHyeon Park , Il Dong Yun

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) has emerged as one of the most effective, computationally tractable fine-tuning approaches for training Vision-Language Models (VLMs) and Large Language Models (LLMs). LoRA accomplishes this by freezing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-28 Nastaran Saadati , Zhanhong Jiang , Joshua R. Waite , Shreyan Ganguly , Aditya Balu , Chinmay Hegde , Soumik Sarkar

In real-world applications, machine learning models often become obsolete due to shifts in the joint distribution arising from underlying temporal trends, a phenomenon known as the "concept drift". Existing works propose model-specific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-04 Chia-Yuan Chang , Yu-Neng Chuang , Zhimeng Jiang , Kwei-Herng Lai , Anxiao Jiang , Na Zou

Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) offers a cost-effective solution for fine-tuning large language models (LLMs), but it often produces overconfident predictions in data-scarce few-shot settings. To address this issue, several classical statistical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Amir Hossein Rahmati , Sanket Jantre , Weifeng Zhang , Yucheng Wang , Byung-Jun Yoon , Nathan M. Urban , Xiaoning Qian

Audio-visual continual test-time adaptation involves continually adapting a source audio-visual model at test-time, to unlabeled non-stationary domains, where either or both modalities can be distributionally shifted, which hampers online…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Sarthak Kumar Maharana , Akshay Mehra , Bhavya Ramakrishna , Yunhui Guo , Guan-Ming Su

Deep learning has been actively studied for time series forecasting, and the mainstream paradigm is based on the end-to-end training of neural network architectures, ranging from classical LSTM/RNNs to more recent TCNs and Transformers.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-06 Gerald Woo , Chenghao Liu , Doyen Sahoo , Akshat Kumar , Steven Hoi

Continual Test-Time Adaptation (CTA) is a challenging task that aims to adapt a source pre-trained model to continually changing target domains. In the CTA setting, a model does not know when the target domain changes, thus facing a drastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Inseop Chung , Kyomin Hwang , Jayeon Yoo , Nojun Kwak

Recently, representation learning over graph networks has gained popularity, with various models showing promising results. Despite this, several challenges persist: 1) most methods are designed for static or discrete-time dynamic graphs;…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-25 Xiaobo Zhu , Yan Wu , Zhipeng Li , Hailong Su , Jin Che , Zhanheng Chen , Liying Wang

Human trajectory forecasting requires capturing the multimodal nature of pedestrian behavior. However, existing approaches suffer from prior misalignment. Their learned or fixed priors often fail to capture the full distribution of…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Chao Li , Rui Zhang , Siyuan Huang , Xian Zhong , Hongbo Jiang

We introduce a novel framework for temporal causal discovery and inference that addresses two key challenges: complex nonlinear dependencies and spurious correlations. Our approach employs a multi-layer Transformer-based time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-25 Jihua Huang , Yi Yao , Ajay Divakaran

Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across a wide range of domains. While presenting notable progress for the Transformer architecture, iTransformer still lags behind the latest MLP-based models. We attribute this performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Zhiwei Zhang , Xinyi Du , Xuanchi Guo , Weihao Wang , Wenjuan Han

Time series foundation models (TSFMs) such as Lag-Llama, TimeGPT, Chronos, MOMENT, UniTS, and TimesFM have shown strong generalization and zero-shot capabilities for time series forecasting, anomaly detection, classification, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Dhruv D. Modi , Rong Pan

We propose a novel framework that harnesses the power of generative artificial intelligence and copula-based modeling to address two critical challenges in multivariate time-series analysis: delivering accurate predictions and enabling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-30 Nicholas A. Pearson , Francesca Zanello , Davide Russo , Luca Bortolussi , Francesca Cairoli

A new method for combining several initial estimators of the regression function is introduced. Instead of building a linear or convex optimized combination over a collection of basic estimators $r_1,\dots,r_M$, we use them as a collective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Gérard Biau , Aurélie Fischer , Benjamin Guedj , James Malley

The growing interest in Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) stems from their ability to model complex dynamics and deliver superior performance. However, TGNNs encounter fundamental challenges in capturing long-term dependencies and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Hongjiang Chen , Pengfei Jiao , Ming Du , Xuan Guo , Zhidong Zhao , Di Jin , Xiao Liu

Long-term time-series forecasting (LTTF) has become a pressing demand in many applications, such as wind power supply planning. Transformer models have been adopted to deliver high prediction capacity because of the high computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-06 Yan Li , Xinjiang Lu , Haoyi Xiong , Jian Tang , Jiantao Su , Bo Jin , Dejing Dou

In the rapidly evolving field of artificial intelligence, multimodal models, e.g., integrating vision and language into visual-language models (VLMs), have become pivotal for many applications, ranging from image captioning to multimodal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-24 Duy Phuong Nguyen , J. Pablo Munoz , Ali Jannesari

The massive generation of time-series data by largescale Internet of Things (IoT) devices necessitates the exploration of more effective models for multivariate time-series forecasting. In previous models, there was a predominant use of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Wenyong Han , Tao Zhu Member , Liming Chen , Huansheng Ning , Yang Luo , Yaping Wan
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