Multivariate time series forecasting is crucial across a wide range of domains. While presenting notable progress for the Transformer architecture, iTransformer still lags behind the latest MLP-based models. We attribute this performance gap to unstable inter-channel relationships. To bridge this gap, we propose EMAformer, a simple yet effective model that enhances the Transformer with an auxiliary embedding suite, akin to armor that reinforces its ability. By introducing three key inductive biases, i.e., \textit{global stability}, \textit{phase sensitivity}, and \textit{cross-axis specificity}, EMAformer unlocks the further potential of the Transformer architecture, achieving state-of-the-art performance on 12 real-world benchmarks and reducing forecasting errors by an average of 2.73\% in MSE and 5.15\% in MAE. This significantly advances the practical applicability of Transformer-based approaches for multivariate time series forecasting. The code is available on https://github.com/PlanckChang/EMAformer.
@article{arxiv.2511.08396,
title = {EMAformer: Enhancing Transformer through Embedding Armor for Time Series Forecasting},
author = {Zhiwei Zhang and Xinyi Du and Xuanchi Guo and Weihao Wang and Wenjuan Han},
journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2511.08396},
year = {2025}
}
Comments
14 pages, 9 figures, 6 tables, accepted by AAAI2026