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In an instrumental variable model, the score statistic can be bounded for any alternative in parts of the parameter space. These regions involve a constraint on the first-stage regression coefficients and the reduced-form covariance matrix.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-13 Marcelo J. Moreira , Geert Ridder

This paper develops permutation versions of identification-robust tests in linear instrumental variables (IV) regression. Unlike the existing randomization and rank-based tests in which independence between the instruments and the error…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-24 Purevdorj Tuvaandorj

This paper proposes an overidentifying restriction test for high-dimensional linear instrumental variable models. The novelty of the proposed test is that it allows the number of covariates and instruments to be larger than the sample size.…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-05-08 Qingliang Fan , Zijian Guo , Ziwei Mei

This paper extends validity of the conditional likelihood ratio (CLR) test developed by Moreira (2003) to instrumental variable regression models with unknown error variance and many weak instruments. In this setting, we argue that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-16 Sreevidya Ayyar , Yukitoshi Matsushita , Taisuke Otsu

We propose a method for setting limits that avoids excluding parameter values for which the sensitivity falls below a specified threshold. These "power-constrained" limits (PCL) address the issue that motivated the widely used CLs…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-17 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

We revisit the fundamental question of simple-versus-simple hypothesis testing with an eye towards computational complexity, as the statistically optimal likelihood ratio test is often computationally intractable in high-dimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Ankur Moitra , Alexander S. Wein

We consider a linear combination of jackknife Anderson-Rubin (AR), jackknife Lagrangian multiplier (LM), and orthogonalized jackknife LM tests for inference in IV regressions with many weak instruments and heteroskedasticity. Following…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-04-21 Dennis Lim , Wenjie Wang , Yichong Zhang

Adapting the final sample size of a trial to the evidence accruing during the trial is a natural way to address planning uncertainty. Designs with adaptive sample size need to account for their optional stopping to guarantee strict type-I…

Limit distributions of likelihood ratio statistics are well-known to be discontinuous in the presence of nuisance parameters at the boundary of the parameter space, which lead to size distortions when standard critical values are used for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Adam McCloskey , Rasmus S. Pedersen , Anders Rahbek

We propose a hypothesis test that allows for many tested restrictions in a heteroskedastic linear regression model. The test compares the conventional F statistic to a critical value that corrects for many restrictions and conditional…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-01-24 Stanislav Anatolyev , Mikkel Sølvsten

The statistics and machine learning communities have recently seen a growing interest in classification-based approaches to two-sample testing. The outcome of a classification-based two-sample test remains a rejection decision, which is not…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-15 Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen

This paper considers two-sided tests for the parameter of an endogenous variable in an instrumental variable (IV) model with heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors. We develop the finite-sample theory of weighted-average power (WAP)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Humberto Moreira , Marcelo J. Moreira

A factor model with a break in its factor loadings is observationally equivalent to a model without changes in the loadings but a change in the variance of its factors. This effectively transforms a structural change problem of high…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-06 Jushan Bai , Jiangtao Duan , Xu Han

This paper uses model symmetries in the instrumental variable (IV) regression to derive an invariant test for the causal structural parameter. Contrary to popular belief, we show that there exist model symmetries when equation errors are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-09-02 Marcelo J. Moreira , Mahrad Sharifvaghefi , Geert Ridder

This paper considers testing a covariance matrix $\Sigma$ in the high dimensional setting where the dimension $p$ can be comparable or much larger than the sample size $n$. The problem of testing the hypothesis $H_0:\Sigma=\Sigma_0$ for a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-12-18 T. Tony Cai , Zongming Ma

We connect the power of Confidence Intervals in different Frequentist methods to their reliability. We show that in the case of a bounded parameter a biased method which near the boundary has large power in testing the parameter against…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Giunti , M. Laveder

Maximum Likelihood (ML) offers attractive alternatives to Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) estimators for dynamic panel data models. However, to date no identification-robust inference methods exist that can be used in conjunction with…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-12-16 Hugo Kruiniger

Linear mixed-effects models have increasingly replaced mixed-model analyses of variance for statistical inference in factorial psycholinguistic experiments. Although LMMs have many advantages over ANOVA, like ANOVAs, setting them up for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-02-14 Hannes Matuschek , Reinhold Kliegl , Shravan Vasishth , Harald Baayen , Douglas Bates

Testing restrictions on regression coefficients in linear models often requires correcting the conventional F-test for potential heteroskedasticity or autocorrelation amongst the disturbances, leading to so-called heteroskedasticity and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-21 David Preinerstorfer , Benedikt M. Pötscher

Testing for a mediation effect is important in many disciplines, but is made difficult - even asymptotically - by the influence of nuisance parameters. Classical tests such as likelihood ratio (LR) and Wald (Sobel) tests have very poor…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-03-05 Grant Hillier , Kees Jan van Garderen , Noud van Giersbergen
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