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Using a panel payment system dataset of thirty-three provinces in Indonesia, we examine the impact of digital payment on the regional economy, considering structural breaks induced by unprecedented events and policies. Digital payments were…

General Economics · Economics 2025-08-05 Wishnu Badrawani , Citra Amanda , Novi Maryaningsih , Carla Sheila Wulandari

This study aims to analyze the methodologies that can be used to estimate the total number of unemployed, as well as the unemployment rates for 28 regions of Portugal, designated as NUTS III regions, using model based approaches as compared…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-20 Soraia Pereira , Feridun Turkman , Luis Correia

This paper evaluates the short and medium-term effectiveness of payroll tax reductions aimed at promoting the permanent conversion of temporary contracts through social contribution exemptions. Using rich administrative data from Tuscany,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-18 Michele Cantarella , Maria Cristina Maurizio , Francesco Serti

This paper aims to review the different impacts of income inequality drivers on the Gini coefficient, depending on institutional specificities. In this context, we divided the European Union member states in two clusters (the cluster of…

The COVID-19 pandemic has caused a massive economic shock across the world due to business interruptions and shutdowns from social-distancing measures. To evaluate the socio-economic impact of COVID-19 on individuals, a micro-economic model…

General Economics · Economics 2020-08-06 Amory Martin , Maryia Markhvida , Stéphane Hallegatte , Brian Walsh

Our paper presents a methodology to study the heterogeneous effects of economy-wide shocks and applies it to the case of the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on exports. This methodology is applicable in scenarios where the pervasive nature of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-11 Marco Dueñas , Federico Nutarelli , Víctor Ortiz , Massimo Riccaboni , Francesco Serti

We use regression discontinuity design and difference-in-differences methods to estimate the impact of a one-time hiring subsidy for low-educated unemployed youths in Belgium during the recovery from the Great Recession. Within a year of…

General Economics · Economics 2024-06-13 Andrea Albanese , Bart Cockx , Muriel Dejemeppe

This paper evaluates the redistributive and efficiency impacts of expanding access to positive credit information in a financially excluded economy. Using microdata from Uruguay's 2021 household survey, we simulate three data regimes…

General Economics · Economics 2025-10-21 Diego Vallarino

An information entropy statistical methodology was used to evaluate the growth of the UK economy over the period 2000 to 2019, with an emphasis on the impact of labour productivity on gross domestic product (GDP) per capita and the average…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-09 Laurence Francis Lacey

I devise a novel approach to evaluate the effectiveness of fiscal policy in the short run with multi-category treatment effects and inverse probability weighting based on the potential outcome framework. This study's main contribution to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-08-11 Koiti Yano

We extend the generalised functional additive mixed model to include (functional) compositional covariates carrying relative information of a whole. Relying on the isometric isomorphism of the Bayes Hilbert space of probability densities…

Applications · Statistics 2022-01-21 Matthias Eckardt , Jorge Mateu , Sonja Greven

Previous research has shown mixed evidence on the associations between mobility data and COVID-19 case rates, analysis of which is complicated by differences between places on factors influencing both behavior and health outcomes. We aimed…

Applications · Statistics 2022-03-17 Joshua R. Nugent , Laura B. Balzer

This paper examines the incidence and persistence of overeducation in the early careers of Spanish university graduates. We investigate the role played by the business cycle and field of study and their interaction in shaping both…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-08 Maite Blázquez Cuesta , Marco A. Pérez Navarro , Rocío Sánchez-Mangas

This paper relies on a microsimulation framework to undertake an analysis of the distributional implications of the COVID-19 crisis over three waves. Given the lack of real-time survey data during the fast moving crisis, it applies a…

General Economics · Economics 2021-03-16 Cathal O'Donoghue , Denisa M. Sologon , Iryna Kyzyma , John McHale

We study a panel data model with general heterogeneous effects where slopes are allowed to vary across both individuals and over time. The key dimension reduction assumption we employ is that the heterogeneous slopes can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-05 Victor Chernozhukov , Christian Hansen , Yuan Liao , Yinchu Zhu

This paper studies inflation in small open economies with production networks. I show that the production network alters the elasticity of the consumer price index (CPI) to changes in sectoral technology, factor prices, and import prices.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-02 Alvaro Silva

The severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), which causes the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has led to the deepest global health and economic crisis of the current century. This dramatic situation has forced the…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-22 Álvaro Briz-Redón , Ángel Serrano-Aroca

This paper studies staggered Difference-in-Differences (DiD) design when there is a second event confounding the target event. When the events are correlated, the treatment and the control group are unevenly exposed to the effects of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Lin-Tung Tsai

Voluntary shelter-in-place directives and lockdowns are the main non-pharmaceutical interventions that governments around the globe have used to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. In this paper we study the impact of such interventions in the…

Workers without formal credentials experience substantially lower employment rates than their credentialed counterparts, but the extent to which information frictions contribute to these disparities remains unclear. We conducted a…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-06 Susan Athey , Emil Palikot
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