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The exponential surge in high-resolution remote sensing data faces a severe bottleneck in satellite-to-ground transmission. Limited downlink bandwidth forces the use of extreme high-ratio compression, which irreversibly destroys…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-04-29 Yun Li , Xianju Li

Sudden Stratospheric Warmings (SSWs) are key sources of subseasonal predictability and major drivers of extreme weather in winter. Accurate and efficient probabilistic forecasting of these events remains a persistent challenge for Numerical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Ningning Tao , Fei Xie , Baoxiang Pan , Hongyu Wang , Han Huang , Zhongpu Qiu , Ke Gui , Jiali Luo , Xiaosong Chen

Accurate forecasting of spatiotemporal data remains challenging due to complex spatial dependencies and temporal dynamics. The inherent uncertainty and variability in such data often render deterministic models insufficient, prompting a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Mingze Gong , Lei Chen , Jia Li

Uncertainty quantification is crucial to decision-making. A prominent example is probabilistic forecasting in numerical weather prediction. The dominant approach to representing uncertainty in weather forecasting is to generate an ensemble…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-10 Lizao Li , Rob Carver , Ignacio Lopez-Gomez , Fei Sha , John Anderson

Downscaling, or super-resolution, provides decision-makers with detailed, high-resolution information about the potential risks and impacts of climate change, based on climate model output. Machine learning algorithms are proving themselves…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Robbie A. Watt , Laura A. Mansfield

Predicting sea surface temperature (SST) within the El Ni\~no-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) region has been extensively studied due to its significant influence on global temperature and precipitation patterns. Statistical models such as…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-21 Lingda Wang , Savana Ammons , Vera Mikyoung Hur , Ryan L. Sriver , Zhizhen Zhao

Urbanization, climate change, and agricultural stress are increasing the demand for precise and timely environmental monitoring. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is a key variable in this context and is retrieved from remote sensing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-12-11 Sofiane Bouaziz , Adel Hafiane , Raphael Canals , Rachid Nedjai

Sea surface temperature (SST) is a fundamental determinant of global climate dynamics and economic activity. Reliable projections of future SST patterns depend critically on a rigorous characterization of the underlying spatial random…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Leonardo Marchesin , Alessandra Menafoglio , Piercesare Secchi

Accurate regional ocean forecasting requires models that are both computationally efficient and capable of representing predictive uncertainty. This work investigates ensemble learning strategies for sea surface temperature (SST)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Alejandro J. González-Santana , Giovanny A. Cuervo-Londoño , Javier Sánchez

A generative diffusion model is used to produce probabilistic ensembles of precipitation intensity maps at the 1-hour 5-km resolution. The generation is conditioned on infrared and microwave radiometric measurements from the GOES and DMSP…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-26 Clement Guilloteau , Gavin Kerrigan , Kai Nelson , Giosue Migliorini , Padhraic Smyth , Runze Li , Efi Foufoula-Georgiou

Improving the representation of precipitation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical for assessing the impacts of climate change and especially of extreme events like floods and droughts. In existing ESMs, precipitation is not resolved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Michael Aich , Sebastian Bathiany , Philipp Hess , Yu Huang , Niklas Boers

For over 40 years, remote sensing observations of the Earth's oceans have yielded global measurements of sea surface temperature (SST). With a resolution of approximately 1km, these data trace physical processes like western boundary…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-03-23 J. Xavier Prochaska , Erdong Guo , Peter C. Cornillon , Christian E. Buckingham

A recent report from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) highlights that water-related disasters have caused the highest human losses among natural disasters over the past 50 years, with over 91\% of deaths occurring in low-income…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Ting-Yu Dai , Hayato Ushijima-Mwesigwa

Stratospheric aerosol injection (SAI), a possible climate engineering strategy where reflective particles are injected into the stratosphere, has been explored to mitigate global warming and its associated risks, such as the intensification…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-25 Cameron Dong , James W. Hurrell , Elizabeth A. Barnes

Earth observation satellites like Sentinel-1 (S1) and Sentinel-2 (S2) provide complementary remote sensing (RS) data, but S2 images are often unavailable due to cloud cover or data gaps. To address this, we propose a diffusion model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Kaan Aydin , Joelle Hanna , Damian Borth

In recent years traditional numerical methods for accurate weather prediction have been increasingly challenged by deep learning methods. Numerous historical datasets used for short and medium-range weather forecasts are typically organized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Andrea Asperti , Fabio Merizzi , Alberto Paparella , Giorgio Pedrazzi , Matteo Angelinelli , Stefano Colamonaco

Diffusion models have achieved state-of-the-art results on many modalities including images, speech, and video. However, existing models are not tailored to support remote sensing data, which is widely used in important applications…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-05-28 Samar Khanna , Patrick Liu , Linqi Zhou , Chenlin Meng , Robin Rombach , Marshall Burke , David Lobell , Stefano Ermon

The forecasting and reconstruction of ocean and atmosphere dynamics from satellite observation time series are key challenges. While model-driven representations remain the classic approaches, data-driven representations become more and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-04 Said Ouala , Cedric Herzet , Ronan Fablet

Satellite altimetry has been widely utilized to monitor global sea surface dynamics, enabling investigation of upper ocean variability from basin-scale to localized eddy ranges. However, the sparse spatial resolution of observational…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-26 Qiuchang Han , Xingliang Jiang , Yang Zhao , Xudong Wang , Zhijin Li , Renhe Zhang

Satellite-based estimates of greenhouse gas (GHG) properties from observations of reflected solar spectra are integral for understanding and monitoring complex terrestrial systems and their impact on the carbon cycle due to their near…