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Contagious diseases can spread quickly in human populations, either through airborne transmission or if some other spreading vectors are abundantly accessible. They can be particularly devastating if the impact on individuals' health has…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-07-20 Bram A. Siebert , James P. Gleeson , M. Asllani

In this work, we simulate the COVID-19 pandemic dynamics in a population modeled as a network of groups wherein infection can propagate both via intra-group and via inter-group interactions. Our results emphasize the importance of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-12-24 Ioan Baldea

Objectives. Public health officials need tools to assist with anticipating the healthcare resources required to confront the SARS-COV-2 pandemic. We built a modeling tool to aid practicing public health officials with estimating healthcare…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-14 Gabriel Rainisch , Eduardo A. Undurraga , Gerardo Chowell

The COVID19 pandemic highlighted the importance of non-traditional data sources, such as mobile phone data, to inform effective public health interventions and monitor adherence to such measures. Previous studies showed how socioeconomic…

The fast transmission rate of COVID-19 worldwide has made this virus the most important challenge of year 2020. Many mitigation policies have been imposed by the governments at different regional levels (country, state, county, and city) to…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-04 Yue Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

A central feature of an emerging infectious disease in a pandemic scenario is the spread through geographical scales and the impacts on different locations according to the adopted mitigation protocols. We investigated a stochastic epidemic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 Guilherme S. Costa , Wesley Cota , Silvio C. Ferreira

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

Non-pharmacologic interventions (NPIs) are one method to mitigate the spread and effects of the COVID-19 pandemic in the United States. NPIs promote protective actions to reduce exposure risk and can reduce mobility patterns within…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-07-16 Natalie Coleman , Xinyu Gao , Jared DeLeon , Ali Mostafavi

This study investigates the influence of infection cases of COVID-19 and two non-compulsory lockdowns on human mobility within the Tokyo metropolitan area. Using the data of hourly staying population in each 500m$\times$500m cell and their…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-11 Kazufumi Tsuboi , Naoya Fujiwara , Ryo Itoh

Most of the studies related to human mobility are focused on intra-country mobility. However, there are many scenarios (e.g., spreading diseases, migration) in which timely data on international commuters are vital. Mobile phones represent…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Massimiliano Luca , Bruno Lepri , Enrique Frias-Martinez , Andra Lutu

Pandemic(epidemic) modeling, aiming at disease spreading analysis, has always been a popular research topic especially following the outbreak of COVID-19 in 2019. Some representative models including SIR-based deep learning prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Danfeng Guo , Zijie Huang , Junheng Hao , Yizhou Sun , Wei Wang , Demetri Terzopoulos

This study develops a new method to quantify neighborhood activity levels at high spatial and temporal resolutions and test whether, and to what extent, behavioral responses to social distancing policies vary with socioeconomic and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-08-05 Boyeong Hong , Bartosz Bonczak , Arpit Gupta , Lorna Thorpe , Constantine E. Kontokosta

When considering airborne epidemic spreading in social systems, a natural connection arises between mobility and epidemic contacts. As individuals travel, possibilities to encounter new people either at the final destination or during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-05-10 Jesús A. Moreno López , Sandro Meloni , Jose J. Ramasco

The rapid transmission of the highly contagious novel coronavirus has been represented through several data-guided approaches across targeted geographies, in an attempt to understand when the pandemic will be under control and imposed…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-05-05 Joydeep Munshi , Indranil Roy , Ganesh Balasubramanian

This work aims to assess the risks of Covid-19 disease spread in diverse daily-life situations (referred to as scenarios) involving crowds of maskless pedestrians, mostly outdoors. More concretely, we develop a method to infer the global…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-04 Willy Garcia , Simon Mendez , Baptiste Fray , Alexandre Nicolas

Contacts between people are the absolute drivers of contagious respiratory infections. For this reason, limiting and tracking contacts is a key strategy for the control of the COVID-19 epidemic. Digital contact tracing has been proposed as…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2022-12-01 Chiara Boldrini , Andrea Passarella , Marco Conti

A transmission interval for an infectious disease is important to understand epidemic processes in complex networks. The transmission interval is defined as a time interval between one person's infection and their infection to another…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-08-14 Yeonji Seo , Okyu Kwon , Hang-Hyun Jo

Due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the focus on everydays mobility has been shifted from traditional means of transport to how to safely commute for work and/or move around the neighbourhood. Maintaining the safe distance among pedestrian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-12 Veronica Dal Sasso , Valentina Morandi

The coronavirus disease (COVID-19) has spread worldwide with an unprecedented impact on society. In the Philippines, several interventions such as mobility restrictions for different age groups and vaccination prioritization programs have…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-02-10 Roel F. Ceballos

Understanding influencing factors is essential for the surveillance and prevention of infectious diseases, and the factors are likely to vary spatially and temporally as the disease progresses. Taking daily cases and deaths data during the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-28 Lu Ling , Xinwu Qian , Satish V. Ukkusuri , Shuocheng Guo