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Related papers: Evaluating Targeted Mobility Restrictions on COVID…

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Urban mobility is central to economic activity, social inclusion, and access to essential services. COVID-19 caused disruptions to mobility globally, yet its long-term impacts in less developed countries remain poorly understood. Using over…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-16 Carmen Cabrera , Miguel González-Leonardo , Andrea Nasuto , Ruth Neville , Francisco Rowe

The swift relaxation of the zero-COVID policy in December 2022 led to an unprecedented surge in Omicron variant infections in China. With the suspension of mandatory testing, tracking this epidemic outbreak was challenging because…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-07-13 Xiaorui Yan , Ci Song , Tao Pei , Erjia Ge , Le Liu , Xi Wang , Linfeng Jiang

We develop a minimalist compartmental model to study the impact of mobility restrictions in Italy during the Covid-19 outbreak. We show that an early lockdown shifts the epidemic in time, while that beyond a critical value of the lockdown…

This study examines the effectiveness of regional lockdown strategies in mitigating pathogen spread across regional units, termed cities hereinafter. We develop simplified models to analyze infection spread across cities within a country…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-07-30 Viktor Bezborodov , Tyll Krueger , Cornelia Pokalyuk , Piotr Szymański , Aurélien Velleret

The spread of COVID-19 has been thwarted in most countries through non-pharmaceutical interventions. In particular, the most effective measures in this direction have been the stay-at-home and closure strategies of businesses and schools.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-04 G. Dimarco , G. Toscani , M. Zanella

During the COVID-19 pandemic, built environments in dense urban settings become major sources of infection. This study tests the difference of demographics and surrounding built environments across high-, medium- and low-infection…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-02-21 Weipan Xu , Ying Li , Xun Li

We demonstrate that the epidemic renormalisation group approach to pandemics provides an effective and simple way to investigate the dynamics of disease transmission and spreading across different regions of the world. The framework also…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Giacomo Cacciapaglia , Francesco Sannino

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic radically impacts our lives, while the transmission/infection and recovery dynamics of COVID-19 remain obscure. A time-dependent Susceptible, Exposed, Infectious, and Recovered (SEIR) model…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yong Zhang , Xiangnan Yu , HongGuang Sun , Geoffrey R. Tick , Wei Wei , Bin Jin

Understanding collective mobility patterns is crucial to plan the restart of production and economic activities, which are currently put in stand-by to fight the diffusion of the epidemics. In this report, we use mobile phone data to infer…

During 2020, the infection rate of COVID-19 has been investigated by many scholars from different research fields. In this context, reliable and interpretable forecasts of disease incidents are a vital tool for policymakers to manage…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Cornelius Fritz , Emilio Dorigatti , David Rügamer

Infectious diseases usually originate from a specific location within a city. Due to the heterogenous distribution of population and public facilities, and the structural heterogeneity of human mobility network embedded in space, infectious…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-04-25 Kang Liu , Ling Yin , Jianzhang Xue

Given the growth of urbanization and emerging pandemic threats, more sophisticated models are required to understand disease propagation and investigate the impacts of intervention strategies across various city types. We introduce a fully…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-08-03 Nishant Kumar , Jimi B. Oke , Bat-hen Nahmias-Biran

Despite commercial airlines mandating masks, there have been multiple documented events of COVID-19 superspreading on flights. We used available data from three flights, including cabin layout and seat locations of infected and uninfected…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sirish Namilae , Yuxuan Wu , Anuj Mubayi , Ashok Srinivasan , Matthew Scotch

Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving epidemic control policies, but may be hindered by incomplete…

We develop a multiple-events model and exploit within and between country variation in the timing, type and level of intensity of various public policies to study their dynamic effects on the daily incidence of COVID-19 and on population…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-03 Nikos Askitas , Konstantinos Tatsiramos , Bertrand Verheyden

Contagious respiratory diseases, such as COVID-19, depend on sufficiently prolonged exposures for the successful transmission of the underlying pathogen. It is important for organizations to evaluate the efficacy of interventions aiming at…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-08-26 Chathika Gunaratne , Rene Reyes , Erik Hemberg , Una-May O'Reilly

This study leverages mobile phone data for 5.4 million users to unveil the complex dynamics of internal migration and daily mobility in Santiago de Chile during the global COVID-19 pandemic, with a focus on socioeconomic differentials.…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Erick Elejalde , Leo Ferres , Víctor Navarro , Loreto Bravo , Emilio Zagheni

In this paper, a mathematical model is proposed to analyze the dynamic behavior of COVID-19. Based on inter-city networked coupling effects, a fractional-order SEIHDR system with the real-data from 23 January to 18 March, 2020 of COVID-19…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-01 Zhenzhen Lu , Yongguang Yu , YangQuan Chen , Guojian Ren , Conghui Xu , Shuhui Wang , Zhe Yin

In this paper, we present a method to forecast the spread of SARS-CoV-2 across regions with a focus on the role of mobility. Mobility has previously been shown to play a significant role in the spread of the virus, particularly between…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Martijn H. H. Schoot Uiterkamp , Martijn Gösgens , Hans Heesterbeek , Remco van der Hofstad , Nelly Litvak

Commuting is an important part of daily life. With the gradual recovery from COVID-19 and more people returning to work from the office, the transmission of COVID-19 during commuting becomes a concern. Recent emerging mobility services…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-09 Baichuan Mo , Peyman Noursalehi , Haris N. Koutsopoulos , Jinhua Zhao