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Related papers: Sequential Transport for Causal Mediation Analysis

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$\textbf{This is the conference version of our paper: Spatiotemporal Implicit Neural Representation as a Generalized Traffic Data Learner}$. Spatiotemporal Traffic Data (STTD) measures the complex dynamical behaviors of the multiscale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-14 Tong Nie , Guoyang Qin , Wei Ma , Jian Sun

Optimal Transport (OT) has fueled machine learning (ML) across many domains. When paired data measurements $(\boldsymbol{\mu}, \boldsymbol{\nu})$ are coupled to covariates, a challenging conditional distribution learning setting arises.…

We develop a mathematical and interpretative foundation for the enterprise of decision-theoretic statistical causality (DT), which is a straightforward way of representing and addressing causal questions. DT reframes causal inference as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 A. Philip Dawid

Reliable multi-horizon traffic forecasting is challenging because network conditions are stochastic, incident disruptions are intermittent, and effective spatial dependencies vary across time-of-day patterns. This study is conducted on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-18 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler , Stephanie Marik , Allen Sheldon , Rajeev Chhajer , Nithin Santhanam

Group counterfactual explanations find a set of counterfactual instances to explain a group of input instances contrastively. However, existing methods either (i) optimize counterfactuals only for a fixed group and do not generalize to new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Enrique Valero-Leal , Bernd Bischl , Pedro Larrañaga , Concha Bielza , Giuseppe Casalicchio

Understanding user intent is essential for situational and context-aware decision-making. Motivated by a real-world scenario, this work addresses intent predictions of smart device users in the vicinity of vehicles by modeling sequential…

The optimal transport (OT) map is a geometry-driven transformation between high-dimensional probability distributions which underpins a wide range of tasks in statistics, applied probability, and machine learning. However, existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-11 Sloan Nietert , Ziv Goldfeld

We present an efficient approach, based on a number-conditioned master equation, for large-deviation analysis in mesoscopic transports. Beyond the conventional full-counting-statistics study, the large-deviation approach encodes complete…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Jun Li , Yu Liu , Jing Ping , Shu-Shen Li , Xin-Qi Li , YiJing Yan

Understanding causal relationships in multivariate time series is essential for predicting and controlling dynamic systems in fields like economics, neuroscience, and climate science. However, existing causal discovery methods often assume…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-20 Abdellah Rahmani , Pascal Frossard

In this work, we present a theoretical and computational framework for constructing stochastic transport maps between probability distributions using diffusion processes. We begin by proving that the time-marginal distribution of the sum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-27 Xicheng Zhang

The ultimate goal of most scientific studies is to understand the underlying causal mechanism between the involved variables. Structural causal models (SCMs) are widely used to represent such causal mechanisms. Given an SCM, causal queries…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-21 Beate Sick , Oliver Dürr

Transported mediation effects may contribute to understanding how and why interventions may work differently when applied to new populations. However, we are not aware of any estimators for such effects. Thus, we propose several different…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Kara E Rudolph , Jonathan Levy , Mark J van der Laan

Optimal transport maps define a one-to-one correspondence between probability distributions, and as such have grown popular for machine learning applications. However, these maps are generally defined on empirical observations and cannot be…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-18 Lucas de Lara , Alberto González-Sanz , Jean-Michel Loubes

Causal inference methods for observational data are increasingly recognized as a valuable complement to randomized clinical trials (RCTs). They can, under strong assumptions, emulate RCTs or help refine their focus. Our approach to causal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-14 Carlo Berzuini , Davide Luciani , Hiren C. Patel

The stochastic differential and integral equations describing the system of particles weakly interacting among themselves which are absorbed and scattered by particles of a medium are considered. The time-dependent transport equation with…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2010-03-15 Igor Kharin

In distributed and federated learning algorithms, communication overhead is often reduced by performing multiple local updates between communication rounds. However, due to data heterogeneity across nodes and the local gradient noise within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Yan Huang , Jinming Xu , Jiming Chen , Karl Henrik Johansson

Optimal transport (OT) is a widely used technique for distribution alignment, with applications throughout the machine learning, graphics, and vision communities. Without any additional structural assumptions on trans-port, however, OT can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-20 Chi-Heng Lin , Mehdi Azabou , Eva L. Dyer

We present a novel offline-online method to mitigate the computational burden of the characterization of posterior random variables in statistical learning. In the offline phase, the proposed method learns the joint law of the parameter…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-07 Tiangang Cui , Sergey Dolgov , Olivier Zahm

Optimal Transport (OT) problem aims to find a transport plan that bridges two distributions while minimizing a given cost function. OT theory has been widely utilized in generative modeling. In the beginning, OT distance has been used as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jaemoo Choi , Jaewoong Choi , Myungjoo Kang

Optimal transport (OT) is a powerful geometric and probabilistic tool for finding correspondences and measuring similarity between two distributions. Yet, its original formulation relies on the existence of a cost function between the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-09 Ievgen Redko , Titouan Vayer , Rémi Flamary , Nicolas Courty