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Related papers: Sequential Transport for Causal Mediation Analysis

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Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) are a standard tool in causal modeling, but their suitability for capturing the complexity of large-scale multimodal data is questionable. In practice, real-world multimodal datasets are often collected from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Yuhang Liu , Zhen Zhang , Dong Gong , Erdun Gao , Biwei Huang , Mingming Gong , Anton van den Hengel , Kun Zhang , Javen Qinfeng Shi

We propose a nonlinear difference-in-differences method to estimate multivariate counterfactual distributions in classical treatment and control study designs with observational data. Our approach sheds a new light on existing approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 William Torous , Florian Gunsilius , Philippe Rigollet

Optimal transport (OT) defines a powerful framework to compare probability distributions in a geometrically faithful way. However, the practical impact of OT is still limited because of its computational burden. We propose a new class of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-05-30 Genevay Aude , Marco Cuturi , Gabriel Peyré , Francis Bach

Estimating joint distributions (a.k.a. couplings) over counterfactual outcomes is central to personalized decision-making and treatment risk assessment. Two emergent frameworks with identifiability guarantees are: (i) bijective structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-26 Hugh Dance , Benjamin Bloem-Reddy

The objective in statistical Optimal Transport (OT) is to consistently estimate the optimal transport plan/map solely using samples from the given source and target marginal distributions. This work takes the novel approach of posing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-11 J. Saketha Nath , Pratik Jawanpuria

This paper addresses the limitations of standard uncertainty models, e.g., robust (norm-bounded) and stochastic (one fixed distribution, e.g., Gaussian), and proposes to model uncertainty via Optimal Transport (OT) ambiguity sets. These…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-09-08 Liviu Aolaritei , Nicolas Lanzetti , Hongruyu Chen , Florian Dörfler

Spatio-temporal (ST) prediction is an important and widely used technique in data mining and analytics, especially for ST data in urban systems such as transportation data. In practice, the ST data generation is usually influenced by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Jiahao Ji , Jingyuan Wang , Yu Mou , Cheng Long

Spatio-Temporal Graph (STG) forecasting is a fundamental task in many real-world applications. Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks have emerged as the most popular method for STG forecasting, but they often struggle with temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-26 Yutong Xia , Yuxuan Liang , Haomin Wen , Xu Liu , Kun Wang , Zhengyang Zhou , Roger Zimmermann

Modern operational systems ranging from logistics and cloud infrastructure to industrial IoT, are governed by complex, interdependent processes. Understanding how interventions propagate through such systems requires causal inference…

The optimal transport (OT) map offers the most economical way to transfer one probability measure distribution to another. Classical OT theory does not involve a discussion of preserving topological connections and orientations in…

General Topology · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Yuping Lv , Qi Zhao , Xuebin Chang , Wei Zeng

Learning a transport model that maps a source distribution to a target distribution is a canonical problem in machine learning, but scientific applications increasingly require models that can generalize to source and target distributions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Nic Fishman , Gokul Gowri , Paolo L. B. Fischer , Marinka Zitnik , Omar Abudayyeh , Jonathan Gootenberg

We present a flexible method for computing Bayesian optimal experimental designs (BOEDs) for inverse problems with intractable posteriors. The approach is applicable to a wide range of BOED problems and can accommodate various optimality…

Computation · Statistics 2024-08-20 Karina Koval , Roland Herzog , Robert Scheichl

We present a neural framework for learning conditional optimal transport (OT) maps between probability distributions. Our approach introduces a conditioning mechanism capable of processing both categorical and continuous conditioning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-02 Carlos Rodriguez-Pardo , Leonardo Chiani , Emanuele Borgonovo , Massimo Tavoni

We investigate the problem of sampling from posterior distributions with intractable normalizing constants in Bayesian inference. Our solution is a new generative modeling approach based on optimal transport (OT) that learns a deterministic…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-03 Ke Li , Wei Han , Yuexi Wang , Yun Yang

We study the use of amortized optimization to predict optimal transport (OT) maps from the input measures, which we call Meta OT. This helps repeatedly solve similar OT problems between different measures by leveraging the knowledge and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Brandon Amos , Samuel Cohen , Giulia Luise , Ievgen Redko

We investigate the semi-discrete Optimal Transport (OT) problem, where a continuous source measure $\mu$ is transported to a discrete target measure $\nu$, with particular attention to the OT map approximation. In this setting, Stochastic…

Estimating direct and indirect causal effects from observational data is crucial to understanding the causal mechanisms and predicting the behaviour under different interventions. Causal mediation analysis is a method that is often used to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Ziqi Xu , Debo Cheng , Jiuyong Li , Jixue Liu , Lin Liu , Ke Wang

We formulate a new model for transport in stochastic media with long-range spatial correlations where exponential attenuation (controlling the propagation part of the transport) becomes power law. Direct transmission over optical distance…

Optics · Physics 2021-07-13 Anthony B. Davis , Feng Xu

The same intervention can produce different effects in different sites. Transport mediation estimators can estimate the extent to which such differences can be explained by differences in compositional factors and the mechanisms by which…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-16 Kara E. Rudolph , Ivan Diaz

Bi-causal optimal transport (OT) is a natural framework for comparing and coupling stochastic processes under nonanticipative information constraints, with important applications in robust finance, sequential uncertainty quantification, and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Haoyang Cao , Jesse Hoekstra , Renyuan Xu , Yumin Xu , Ruixun Zhang