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Researchers often have to deal with heterogeneous population with mixed regression relationships, increasingly so in the era of data explosion. In such problems, when there are many candidate predictors, it is not only of interest to…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-05 Yan Li , Chun Yu , Yize Zhao , Robert H. Aseltine , Weixin Yao , Kun Chen

We introduce a conditional generative model for learning to disentangle the hidden factors of variation within a set of labeled observations, and separate them into complementary codes. One code summarizes the specified factors of variation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-11 Michael Mathieu , Junbo Zhao , Pablo Sprechmann , Aditya Ramesh , Yann LeCun

The increasing multiplicity of data sources offers exciting possibilities in estimating the effects of a treatment, intervention, or exposure, particularly if observational and experimental sources could be used simultaneously. Borrowing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-24 Jeffrey A. Boatman , David M. Vock , Joseph S. Koopmeiners

Existing model-based value expansion methods typically leverage a world model for value estimation with a fixed rollout horizon to assist policy learning. However, the fixed rollout with an inaccurate model has a potential to harm the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Junjie Wang , Qichao Zhang , Dongbin Zhao , Mengchen Zhao , Jianye Hao

A significant obstacle in the development of robust machine learning models is covariate shift, a form of distribution shift that occurs when the input distributions of the training and test sets differ while the conditional label…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-11-17 Nilesh Tripuraneni , Ben Adlam , Jeffrey Pennington

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A central problem in data science is to use potentially noisy samples of an unknown function to predict values for unseen inputs. In classical statistics, predictive error is understood as a trade-off between the bias and the variance that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Mark K. Transtrum , Gus L. W. Hart , Tyler J. Jarvis , Jared P. Whitehead

Estimating personalized effects of treatments is a complex, yet pervasive problem. To tackle it, recent developments in the machine learning (ML) literature on heterogeneous treatment effect estimation gave rise to many sophisticated, but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-17 Jonathan Crabbé , Alicia Curth , Ioana Bica , Mihaela van der Schaar

A key condition for obtaining reliable estimates of the causal effect of a treatment is overlap (a.k.a. positivity): the distributions of the features used to perform causal adjustment cannot be too different in the treated and control…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-14 Alexander D'Amour , Alexander Franks

When a source-trained model $Q$ is replaced by a model $\tilde{Q}$ trained on shifted data, its performance on the source domain can change unpredictably. To address this, we study the two-model risk change, $\Delta R := R_P(\tilde{Q}) -…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-12 Hosein Anjidani , S. Yahya S. R. Tehrani , Mohammad Mahdi Mojahedian , Mohammad Hossein Yassaee

Developing tools for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects (HTE) and individualized treatment effects has been an area of active research in recent years. While these tools have proven to be useful in many contexts, a concern when…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-07 Mahsa Ashouri , Nicholas C. Henderson

The Global Precedence Effect (GPE) suggests that the processing of global properties of a visual stimulus precedes the processing of local properties. The generality of this theory was argued for four decades during different known…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-11 Zahra Rezvani , Ali Katanforoush , Richard van Wezel , Hamidreza Pouretemad

Regression discontinuity designs are widely used when treatment assignment is determined by whether a running variable exceeds a predefined threshold. However, most research focuses on estimating local causal effects at the threshold,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-06 Xinqin Feng , Wenjie Hu , Pu Yang , Tingyu Li , Xiao-Hua Zhou

Visual error metrics play a fundamental role in the quantification of perceived image similarity. Most recently, use cases for them in real-time applications have emerged, such as content-adaptive shading and shading reuse to increase…

Graphics · Computer Science 2023-10-16 João Libório Cardoso , Bernhard Kerbl , Lei Yang , Yury Uralsky , Michael Wimmer

Analytical expressions for covariances of weak lensing statistics related to the aperture mass $\Map$ are derived for realistic survey geometries such as SNAP for a range of smoothing angles and redshift bins. We incorporate the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-10 Dipak Munshi , Patrick Valageas

We develop a new, principled algorithm for estimating the contribution of training data points to the behavior of a deep learning model, such as a specific prediction it makes. Our algorithm estimates the AME, a quantity that measures the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jinkun Lin , Anqi Zhang , Mathias Lecuyer , Jinyang Li , Aurojit Panda , Siddhartha Sen

Deep convolutional neural networks have recently achieved great success on image aesthetics assessment task. In this paper, we propose an efficient method which takes the global, local and scene-aware information of images into…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Xin Fu , Jia Yan , Cien Fan

Functional data analysis has been extensively conducted. In this study, we consider a partially functional model, under which some covariates are scalars and have linear effects, while some other variables are functional and have…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Weijuan Liang , Qingzhao Zhang , Shuangge Ma

Regression analysis is a standard supervised machine learning method used to model an outcome variable in terms of a set of predictor variables. In most real-world applications we do not know the true value of the outcome variable being…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-10 Henri Tiittanen , Emilia Oikarinen , Andreas Henelius , Kai Puolamäki

Randomized experiments are an excellent tool for estimating internally valid causal effects with the sample at hand, but their external validity is frequently debated. While classical results on the estimation of Population Average…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-13 Apoorva Lal , Wenjing Zheng , Simon Ejdemyr