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In recent years, neural networks have demonstrated their remarkable ability to discern intricate patterns and relationships from raw data. However, understanding the inner workings of these black box models remains challenging, yet crucial…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-18 Niklas Koenen , Marvin N. Wright

Reliable detection of bearing faults is essential for maintaining the safety and operational efficiency of rotating machinery. While recent advances in machine learning (ML), particularly deep learning, have shown strong performance in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-18 João Paulo Vieira , Victor Afonso Bauler , Rodrigo Kobashikawa Rosa , Danilo Silva

In the Full-Reference Image Quality Assessment context, Mean Opinion Score values represent subjective evaluations based on retinal perception, while objective metrics assess the reproduced image on the display. Bridging these subjective…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-04 Paolo Giannitrapani , Elio D. Di Claudio , Giovanni Jacovitti

We examine the sources of error in the histogram reweighting method for Monte Carlo data analysis. We demonstrate that, in addition to the standard statistical error which has been studied elsewhere, there are two other sources of error,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 M. E. J. Newman , R. G. Palmer

Background: Pairwise and network meta-analyses using fixed effect and random effects models are commonly applied to synthesise evidence from randomised controlled trials. The models differ in their assumptions and the interpretation of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-04 Shijie Ren , Jeremy E. Oakley , John W. Stevens

The use of deep neural networks to make high risk decisions creates a need for global and local explanations so that users and experts have confidence in the modeling algorithms. We introduce a novel technique to find global and local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Xochitl Watts , Freddy Lecue

In small area estimation different data sources are integrated in order to produce reliable estimates of target parameters (e.g., a mean or a proportion) for a collection of small subsets (areas) of a finite population. Regression models…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Enrico Fabrizi , Nicola Salvati , Martin Slawski

The complexity of linear mixed-effects (LME) models means that traditional diagnostics are rendered less effective. This is due to a breakdown of asymptotic results, boundary issues, and visible patterns in residual plots that are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-08 Adam Loy , Heike Hofmann , Dianne Cook

Off-Policy Evaluation (OPE) serves as one of the cornerstones in Reinforcement Learning (RL). Fitted Q Evaluation (FQE) with various function approximators, especially deep neural networks, has gained practical success. While statistical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-02-11 Ruiqi Zhang , Xuezhou Zhang , Chengzhuo Ni , Mengdi Wang

Accurate heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation is essential for personalized recommendations, making it important to evaluate and compare HTE estimators. Traditional assessment methods are inapplicable due to missing…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-30 Zijun Gao

There is growing interest in extending average treatment effect (ATE) estimation to incorporate non-tabular data, such as images and text, which may act as sources of confounding. Neglecting these effects risks biased results and flawed…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-23 Rickmer Schulte , David Rügamer , Thomas Nagler

Treatment effects in regression discontinuity designs (RDDs) are often estimated using local regression methods. \cite{Hahn:01} demonstrated that the identification of the average treatment effect at the cutoff in RDDs relies on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-30 Weiwei Jiang , Rong J. B. Zhu

In the algorithm selection research, the discussion surrounding algorithm features has been significantly overshadowed by the emphasis on problem features. Although a few empirical studies have yielded evidence regarding the effectiveness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Xingyu Wu , Yan Zhong , Jibin Wu , Yuxiao Huang , Sheng-hao Wu , Kay Chen Tan

Mixed-effect models are flexible tools for researchers in a myriad of fields, but that flexibility comes at the cost of complexity and if users are not careful in how their model is specified, they could be making faulty inferences from…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-28 Keith R. Lohse , Allan J. Kozlowski , Michael J. Strube

Errors might not have the same consequences depending on the task at hand. Nevertheless, there is limited research investigating the impact of imbalance in the contribution of different features in an error vector. Therefore, we propose the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Xavier F. Cadet , Sara Ahmadi-Abhari , Hamed Haddadi

Standard machine learning is unable to accommodate inputs which do not belong to the training distribution. The resulting models often give rise to confident incorrect predictions which may lead to devastating consequences. This problem is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Matej Grcić , Petra Bevandić , Zoran Kalafatić , Siniša Šegvić

Estimates of uncertainty or variance in experimental means are central to physics. This is especially the case for `world averages' of fundamental physical parameters in particle physics, which aggregate results from a number of experiments…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2023-10-13 Fintan Costello , Paul Watts

Understanding the effect of a feature vector $x \in \mathbb{R}^d$ on the response value (label) $y \in \mathbb{R}$ is the cornerstone of many statistical learning problems. Ideally, it is desired to understand how a set of collected…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Mohammad Mehrabi , Ryan A. Rossi

When individuals engage in social or physical interactions, a unit's outcome may depend on the treatments received by others. In such interference environments, we provide a unified framework characterizing a broad class of spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Fei Fang , Laura Forastiere

Machine learning (ML) models can underperform on certain population groups due to choices made during model development and bias inherent in the data. We categorize sources of discrimination in the ML pipeline into two classes: aleatoric…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Hao Wang , Luxi He , Rui Gao , Flavio P. Calmon