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Hosting capacity (HC) assessment for electric vehicles (EVs) is crucial for EV secure integration and reliable power system operation. Existing methods primarily focus on a long-term perspective (e.g., system planning), and consider the EV…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Yingrui Zhuang , Lin Cheng , Ning Qi , Xinyi Wang , Yue Chen

From an operational and planning perspective, it is important to quantify the impact of increasing penetration of photovoltaics on the distribution system. Most existing impact assessment studies are scenario-based where derived results are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-30 Sai Munikoti , Balasubramaniam Natarajan , Kumarsinh Jhala , Kexing Lai

The energy landscape for the Low-Voltage (LV) networks are beginning to change; changes resulted from the increase penetration of renewables and/or the predicted increase of electric vehicles charging at home. The previously passive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-21 Maizura Mokhtar , Valentin Robu , David Flynn , Ciaran Higgins , Jim Whyte , Caroline Loughran , Fiona Fulton

Extreme events, exacerbated by climate change, pose significant risks to the energy system and its consumers. However there are natural limits to the degree of protection that can be delivered from a centralised market architecture.…

General Economics · Economics 2023-02-06 Farhad Billimoria , Filiberto Fele , Iacopo Savelli , Thomas Morstyn , Malcolm McCulloch

It is estimated that about 40%-50% of total electricity consumption in commercial buildings can be attributed to Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems. Minimizing the energy cost while considering the thermal comfort of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-27 Vinay Hanumaiah , Sahika Genc

This paper addresses the energy dispatch of a virtual power plant comprising renewable generation, energy storage, and thermal units under uncertainty in renewable output, energy prices, and energy demand. The nonlinear dynamics and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-20 Luca Santosuosso , Fei Teng , Sonja Wogrin

Demand forecasting is a central component of the replenishment process for retailers, as it provides crucial input for subsequent decision making like ordering processes. In contrast to point estimates, such as the conditional mean of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 F. Wick , U. Kerzel , M. Hahn , M. Wolf , T. Singhal , D. Stemmer , J. Ernst , M. Feindt

In this paper a new method for heat load prediction in district energy systems is proposed. The method uses a nominal model for the prediction of the outdoor temperature dependent space heating load, and a data driven latent variable model…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-14 Johan Simonsson , Khalid Tourkey Atta , Dave Zachariah , Wolfgang Birk

The increasing penetration of renewable energy resources in distribution systems necessitates high-speed monitoring and control of voltage for ensuring reliable system operation. However, existing voltage control algorithms often make…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-03 Mohammad Golgol , Anamitra Pal

With the rapid increase in residential heat pump (HP) installations, optimizing hot water production in households is essential, yet it faces major technical and scalability challenges. Adapting production to actual household needs requires…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Manal Rahal , Bestoun S. Ahmed , Roger Renström , Robert Stener

With the popularity of electric vehicles, the demand for lithium-ion batteries is increasing. Temperature significantly influences the performance and safety of batteries. Battery thermal management systems can effectively control the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Zheng Liu , Yuan Jiang , Yumeng Li , Pingfeng Wang

This paper investigates the joint optimization of condition-based maintenance and spare provisioning, incorporating insights obtained from sensor data. Prognostic models estimate components' remaining lifetime distributions (RLDs), which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Heraldo Rozas , Weijun Xie , Nagi Gebraeel , Stephen Robinson

The joint management of heat and power systems is believed to be key to the integration of renewables into energy systems with a large penetration of district heating. Determining the day-ahead unit commitment and production schedules for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-22 Marco Zugno , Juan M. Morales , Henrik Madsen

Probabilistic prediction of stochastic dynamical systems (SDSs) aims to accurately predict the conditional probability distributions of future states. However, accurate probabilistic predictions tightly hinge on accurate distributional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Tao Xu , Jianping He

Conservation Voltage Reduction (CVR) relies on the effective coordination of slow-acting devices, such as OLTCs and CBs, and fast-acting devices, such as SVGs and PV inverters, typically implemented through a hierarchical multi-stage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-09 Qintao Du , Ran Li , Weiyi Lv , Huan Zhou , Moduo Yu , Jianzhe Liu

This paper proposes a generalised and robust multi-factor Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) based Deep Learning (DL) model to forecast electricity load in distribution networks during wildfire seasons. The flexible modelling methods consider data…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-24 Weijia Yang , Sarah N. Sparrow , David C. H. Wallom

Unbalanced power, due to high penetration of single-phase PV rooftops into a four-wire multi-grounded LV distribution system, can result in significant rise in the neutral current and neutral voltage. This preprint proposes a distributed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-13 Watcharakorn Pinthurat , Branislav Hredzak

The long-term forecasting of electricity demand has been a prevalent research topic, primarily because of its economic and strategic relevance. Several machine learning as well as deep learning techniques have been developed in parallel…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-01 Vishvaditya Luhach , Shashwat Jha

The rapid deployment of distributed energy resources (DERs) is one of the essential efforts to mitigate global climate change. However, a vast number of small-scale DERs are difficult to manage individually, motivating the introduction of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-26 Tao Tan , Rui Xie , Meng Yang , Yue Chen

Electricity price forecasting supports decision-making in energy markets and asset operation. Probabilistic forecasts are increasingly adopted to explicitly quantify uncertainty, typically issued as quantile predictions or ensembles of the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Simon Hirsch , Florian Ziel