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The heating, ventilation and air condition (HVAC) system consumes the most energy in commercial buildings, consisting over 60% of total energy usage in the U.S. Flexible HVAC system setpoint scheduling could potentially save building energy…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-11 Guanyu Tian , Qun Zhou , Samy Faddel , Wenyi Wang

We present a case study applying learning-based distributionally robust model predictive control to highway motion planning under stochastic uncertainty of the lane change behavior of surrounding road users. The dynamics of road users are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Mathijs Schuurmans , Alexander Katriniok , Christopher Meissen , H. Eric Tseng , Panagiotis Patrinos

With the growing share of renewable energy sources, the uncertainty in power supply is increasing. In addition to the inherent fluctuations in the renewables, this is due to the threat of deliberate malicious attacks, which may become more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-15 Sarah Braun , Sebastian Albrecht , Sergio Lucia

A well-performing prediction model is vital for a recommendation system suggesting actions for energy-efficient consumer behavior. However, reliable and accurate predictions depend on informative features and a suitable model design to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Alona Zharova , Antonia Scherz

Obtaining an accurate short-term forecasting for heat demand is an essential part of operating district heating networks cost-efficient and reliable. Heat consumption time series at the building level are highly dependent on exogenous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Marja Wahl , Daniel R. Bayer , Sven Rausch , Marco Pruckner

We estimate the temperature sensitivity of residential electricity demand during extreme temperature events using the distribution-to-scalar regression model. Rather than relying on simple averages or individual quantile statistics of raw…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-11 Kyungsik Nam , Won-Ki Seo

Load-forecasting problems have already been widely addressed with different approaches, granularities and objectives. Recent studies focus not only on deep learning methods but also on forecasting loads on single building level. This study…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Thomas Steens , Jan-Simon Telle , Benedikt Hanke , Karsten von Maydell , Carsten Agert , Gian-Luca di Modica , Bernd Engel , Matthias Grottke

In South Korea, power grid is currently operated based on the static line rating (SLR) method, where the transmission line capacity is determined based on extreme weather conditions. However, with global warming, there is a concern that the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-19 Junseon Park , Junhyun Lee , Hyeongon Park

Operational decisions relying on predictive distributions of electricity prices can result in significantly higher profits compared to those based solely on point forecasts. However, the majority of models developed in both academic and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-08 Arkadiusz Lipiecki , Bartosz Uniejewski , Rafał Weron

With the continuous increase in the penetration of renewable energy in the emerging power systems, the pressure on system peak regulation has been significantly intensified. Against this backdrop, demand side resources particularly air…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-15 Jinhua He , Tingzhe Pan , Chao Li , Xin Jin , Zijie Meng , Wei Zhou

Limited visibility of distribution network power flows at the low voltage level presents challenges to both distribution network operators from a planning perspective and distribution system operators from a congestion management…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-11 Alistair Brash , Junyi Lu , Bruce Stephen , Blair Brown , Robert Atkinson , Craig Michie , Fraser MacIntyre , Christos Tachtatzis

The rapid integration of inverter-based resources (IBRs) into power systems has identified frequency security challenges due to reduced inertia and increased load volatility. This paper proposes a robust power reserve decision-making…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-16 Xiang Zhu , Hua Geng , Hongyang Qing , Guangchun , Ruan , Xiuqiang He

Temporal distribution shift (TDS) erodes the long-term accuracy of recommender systems, yet industrial practice still relies on periodic incremental training, which struggles to capture both stable and transient patterns. Existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-27 Yuxuan Zhu , Cong Fu , Yabo Ni , Anxiang Zeng , Yuan Fang

Increasing penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) and electrification of energy systems necessitates the engagement of demand-side management (DSM) to help alleviate congestion in electricity grid. Heat pump and thermal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-24 Weihong Tang , Yun Li , Shalika Walker , Tamas Keviczky

Photovoltaic (PV) energy grows rapidly and is crucial for the decarbonization of electric systems. However, centralized registries recording the technical characteristifs of rooftop PV systems are often missing, making it difficult to…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Gabriel Kasmi , Laurent Dubus , Yves-Marie Saint Drenan , Philippe Blanc

The uncertainty in the power supply due to fluctuating Renewable Energy Sources (RES) has severe (financial and other) implications for energy market players. In this paper, we present a device-level Demand Response (DR) scheme that…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-05-03 Bijay Neupane , Torben Bach Pedersen , Bo Thiesson

The performance of model-based control techniques strongly depends on the quality of the employed dynamics model. If strong guarantees are desired, it is therefore common to robustly treat all possible sources of uncertainty, such as model…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-23 Elena Arcari , Andrea Iannelli , Andrea Carron , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper presents a method to handle renewable source and load uncertainties in Dynamic Day-ahead Optimal Power Flow (DA-OPF) using post-optimal analysis of linear programming problem. The method does not require the uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-18 Parikshit Pareek , Ashu Verma

Heat, Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems play a critical role in maintaining a comfortable thermal environment and cost approximately 40% of primary energy usage in the building sector. For smart energy management in buildings,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Dafang Zhao , Zheng Chen , Zhengmao Li , Xiaolei Yuan , Ittetsu Taniguchi

Measurement-rich power distribution networks may enable distribution system operators (DSOs) to adopt model-less and measurement-based monitoring and control of distributed energy resources (DERs) for mitigating grid issues such as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-03 Rahul Gupta , Fabrizio Sossan , Mario Paolone
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