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The advent of renewable energy has huge implications for the design and control of power grids. Due to increasing supply-side uncertainty, traditional reliability constraints such as strict bounds on current, voltage and temperature in a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-24 Tommaso Nesti , Jayakrishnan Nair , Bert Zwart

This paper proposes a novel methodology for probabilistic dynamic security assessment and enhancement of power systems that considers load and generation variability, N-2 contingencies, and uncertain cascade propagation caused by uncertain…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-05 Frédéric Sabot , Pierre-Etienne Labeau , Pierre Henneaux

Short-term forecasts of energy consumption are invaluable for the operation of energy systems, including low voltage electricity networks. However, network loads are challenging to predict when highly desegregated to small numbers of…

Applications · Statistics 2023-01-10 Ciaran Gilbert , Jethro Browell , Bruce Stephen

Power transformers are subjected to electrical currents and temperature fluctuations that, if not properly controlled, can lead to major deterioration of their insulation system. Therefore, monitoring the temperature of a power transformer…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-29 Francis Tembo , Federica Bragone , Tor Laneryd , Matthieu Barreau , Kateryna Morozovska

Short-term load forecasting is a critical element of power systems energy management systems. In recent years, probabilistic load forecasting (PLF) has gained increased attention for its ability to provide uncertainty information that helps…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-27 Qicheng Chang , Yishen Wang , Xiao Lu , Di Shi , Haifeng Li , Jiajun Duan , Zhiwei Wang

Static transmission line ratings may lead to underutilization of line capacity due to overly conservative assumptions. Grid-enhancing technologies (GETs) such as dynamic line ratings (DLRs), which adjust line capacity based on real-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-27 Zhiyi Zhou , Christoph Graf , Yury Dvorkin

We present a comparative study of different probabilistic forecasting techniques on the task of predicting the electrical load of secondary substations and cabinets located in a low voltage distribution grid, as well as their aggregated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Lorenzo Nespoli , Vasco Medici , Kristijan Lopatichki , Fabrizio Sossan

Increased distributed Photo-Voltaic (PV) generation leads to an increase in voltages and unwarranted backflows into the grid. This paper investigates Demand Response (DR) with Electric Water Heaters (EWHs) as a way to increase the PV…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-08-08 Xiangkun Li , Theodor Borsche , Göran Andersson

This paper examines the integrated generation and transmission expansion planning problem to address the growing challenges associated with increasing power network loads. The proposed approach optimizes the operation and investment costs…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-22 Arash Baharvandi , Duong Tung Nguyen

As power systems become more complex with the continuous integration of intelligent distributed energy resources (DERs), new risks and uncertainties arise. Consequently, to enhance system resiliency, it is essential to account for various…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-30 Md Isfakul Anam , Tuyen Vu , Jianhua Zhang

Smart grids are envisioned to accommodate high penetration of distributed photovoltaic (PV) generation, which may cause adverse grid impacts in terms of voltage violations. Therefore, PV Hosting capacity (HC) is being used as a planning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-31 Sai Munikoti , Mohammad Abujubbeh , Kumarsinh Jhala , Balasubramaniam Natarajan

The reliable operation of modern power grids requires probabilistic load forecasts with well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, existing deep learning models produce overconfident point predictions that fail catastrophically under…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Sajib Debnath , Md. Uzzal Mia

Short term load forecasting has an essential medium for the reliable, economical and efficient operation of the power system. Most of the existing forecasting approaches utilize fixed statistical models with large historical data for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-05-21 Irfan Ahmad Khan , Adnan Akber , Yinliang Xu

Distribution system end users are transforming from passive to active participants, marked by the push towards widespread adoption of edge-level Distributed Energy Resources (DERs). This paper addresses the challenges in distribution system…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-28 Arun Kumar Karngala , Chanan Singh , Le Xie

We propose a neural network approach to produce probabilistic weather forecasts from a deterministic numerical weather prediction. Our approach is applied to operational surface temperature outputs from the Global Deterministic Prediction…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-04-07 David Landry , Anastase Charantonis , Claire Monteleoni

Performative prediction aims to model scenarios where predictive outcomes subsequently influence the very systems they target. The pursuit of a performative optimum (PO) -- minimizing performative risk -- is generally reliant on modeling of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-11 Songkai Xue , Yuekai Sun

Increasing shares of fluctuating renewable energy sources induce higher and higher power flow variability at the transmission level. The question arises as to what extent existing networks can absorb additional fluctuating power injection…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-11-18 Markus Schläpfer , Pierluigi Mancarella

Dynamic Line Rating (DLR) systems are crucial for renewable energy integration in transmission networks. However, traditional methods relying on sensor data face challenges due to the impracticality of installing sensors on every pole or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-22 Henri Manninen , Markus Lippus , Georg Rute

High variability of solar PV and sudden changes in load (e.g., electric vehicles and storage) can lead to large voltage fluctuations in the distribution system. In recent years, a number of controllers have been designed to optimize voltage…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-15 Wenqi Cui , Yiheng Xie , Steven Low , Adam Wierman , Baosen Zhang

The objective of this paper is to improve the accuracy and robustness of optimal power flow (OPF) formulations for distribution systems modeled down to the low-voltage point of connection of individual buildings. An approach for addressing…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-11 Dakota Hamilton , Loraine Navarro , Dionysios Aliprantis