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What are the value and form of optimal persuasion when information can be generated only slowly? We study this question in a dynamic model in which a 'sender' provides public information over time subject to a graduality constraint, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-19 Matteo Escudé , Ludvig Sinander

In many real-world machine learning problems, feature values are not readily available. To make predictions, some of the missing features have to be acquired, which can incur a cost in money, computational time, or human time, depending on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-20 Kimmo Kärkkäinen , Mohammad Kachuee , Orpaz Goldstein , Majid Sarrafzadeh

This paper studies a simplicity notion in a mechanism design setting in which agents do not necessarily share a common prior. I develop a model in which agents participate in a prior-free game of (coarse) information acquisition followed by…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-10-10 Joseph Feffer

The setting of an agent making decisions under uncertainty and under dynamic constraints is common for the fields of optimal control, reinforcement learning, and recently also for online learning. In the online learning setting, the quality…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-04-18 Aren Karapetyan , Anastasios Tsiamis , Efe C. Balta , Andrea Iannelli , John Lygeros

We study what changes to an agent's decision problem increase her value for information. We prove that information becomes more valuable if and only if the agent's reduced-form payoff in her belief becomes more convex. When the…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-17 Mark Whitmeyer

We study how a budget-constrained bidder should learn to adaptively bid in repeated first-price auctions to maximize her cumulative payoff. This problem arose due to an industry-wide shift from second-price auctions to first-price auctions…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-04-14 Yige Wang , Jiashuo Jiang

This paper re-examines the use of response time to infer problem complexity. It revisits a canonical Wald model of optimal stopping, taking signal-to-noise ratio as a measure of problem complexity. While choice quality is monotone in…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-06-19 Duarte Gonçalves

In this paper we investigate the potential for persuasion arising from the quantum indeterminacy of a decision-maker's beliefs, a feature that has been proposed as a formal expression of well-known cognitive limitations. We focus on a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-25 Vladimir I. Danilov , Ariane Lambert-Mogiliansky

Decision-making AI agents are often faced with two important challenges: the depth of the planning horizon, and the branching factor due to having many choices. Hierarchical reinforcement learning methods aim to solve the first problem, by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-25 Andrei Nica , Khimya Khetarpal , Doina Precup

An agent operating in an unknown dynamical system must learn its dynamics from observations. Active information gathering accelerates this learning, but existing methods derive bespoke costs for specific modeling choices: dynamics models,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Fernando Palafox , Jingqi Li , Jesse Milzman , David Fridovich-Keil

We consider a dynamic Bayesian persuasion setting where a single long-lived sender persuades a stream of ``short-lived'' agents (receivers) by sharing information about a payoff-relevant state. The state transitions are Markovian and the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-07-17 Krishnamurthy Iyer , Haifeng Xu , You Zu

Peer prediction refers to a collection of mechanisms for eliciting information from human agents when direct verification of the obtained information is unavailable. They are designed to have a game-theoretic equilibrium where everyone…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Shi Feng , Fang-Yi Yu , Yiling Chen

Bayesian persuasion studies how an informed sender should influence beliefs of rational receivers who take decisions through Bayesian updating of a common prior. We focus on the online Bayesian persuasion framework, in which the sender…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-03 Martino Bernasconi , Matteo Castiglioni , Andrea Celli , Alberto Marchesi , Nicola Gatti , Francesco Trovò

We study how partial information about scoring rules affects fairness in strategic learning settings. In strategic learning, a learner deploys a scoring rule, and agents respond strategically by modifying their features -- at some cost --…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Srikanth Avasarala , Serena Wang , Juba Ziani

The hidden-action model captures a fundamental problem of principal-agent theory and provides an optimal sharing rule when only the outcome but not the effort can be observed. However, the hidden-action model builds on various explicit and…

General Economics · Economics 2020-04-15 Stephan Leitner , Friederike Wall

Persuasion is the process of changing an agent's belief distribution from a given (or estimated) prior to a desired posterior. A common assumption in the acceptance of information or misinformation as fact is that the (mis)information must…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-10-11 Geoff Goehle , Christopher Griffin

This paper examines a heterogeneous beliefs model in which there is a process that is only partially observed by the agents. The economy contains a risky asset producing dividends continuously in time. The dividends are observed by the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-29 A. A. Brown

Across a growing number of fields, human decision making is supported by predictions from AI models. However, we still lack a deep understanding of the effects of adoption of these technologies. In this paper, we introduce a general…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-26 Otto Nyberg , Fausto Carcassi , Giovanni Cinà

This paper studies a dynamic information acquisition model with payoff externalities. Two players can acquire costly information about an unknown state before taking a safe or risky action. Both information and the action taken are private.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-07-08 Guo Bai

We consider an outsourcing problem where a software agent procures multiple services from providers with uncertain reliabilities to complete a computational task before a strict deadline. The service consumer requires a procurement strategy…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2021-10-26 Farzaneh Farhadi , Maria Chli , Nicholas R. Jennings