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This paper analyses the impact of credit expansions arising from decreases in collateral requirements or more expansionary monetary policies on long-term productivity in a model with endogenous growth. Credit expansions associated with…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-23 Tomohiro Hirano , Joseph E. Stiglitz

In this paper, we propose a methodology based on piece-wise homogeneous Markov chain for credit ratings and a multivariate model of the credit spreads to evaluate the financial risk in European Union (EU). Two main aspects are considered:…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-05 Guglielmo D'Amico , Filippo Petroni , Philippe Regnault , Stefania Scocchera , Loriano Storchi

We introduce KRED (Korea Research Economic Database), a FRED-MD-compatible monthly macroeconomic database for Korea designed for data-rich policy analysis and cross-country comparison. KRED contains 125 monthly series from ECOS, KOSIS, and…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-01 Changryong Baek , Seunghyun Moon , Seunghyeon Lee

This paper shows that utilizing information on the extensive margin of financially constrained households can narrow down the set of admissible preferences in a large class of macroeconomic models. Estimates based on Spanish aggregate data…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-02-21 Andreas Tryphonides

The relationship between micro-structure and macro-structure of complex systems using information geometry has been dealt by several authors. From this perspective, we are going to apply it as a geometrical structure connecting both…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2013-10-17 M. E. Kahil

This study uses Vector Autoregression (VAR) Methodology as well as Vector Error Correction (VEC) Methodology to examine the existence and direction of causality between economic growth and IMF lending for Ukraine. The paper examines the IMF…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-08 Roman Kononenko

The COVID-19 pandemic presents challenges to both public health and the economy. Our objective is to examine how household expenditure, a significant component of private demand, reacts to changes in mobility. This investigation is crucial…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-07 Taekwon Hong , Wenbin Lu , Shu Yang , Pulak Ghosh

We propose a diffusion process to describe the global dynamic evolution of credit operations at a national level given observed operations at a subnational level in a sovereign country. Empirical analysis with a unique dataset from…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-07 Leno S. Rocha , Frederico S. A. Rocha , Thársis T. P. Souza

The 2008 financial crisis illustrated the need for a thorough, functional understanding of systemic risk in strongly interconnected financial structures. Dynamic processes on complex networks being intrinsically difficult, most recent…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-05 Matteo Smerlak , Brady Stoll , Agam Gupta , James S. Magdanz

In line with the recent policy discussion on the use of macroprudential measures to respond to cross-border risks arising from capital flows, this paper tries to quantify to what extent macroprudential policies (MPPs) have been able to…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-09-15 Markus Eller , Niko Hauzenberger , Florian Huber , Helene Schuberth , Lukas Vashold

Several structural results for the set of competitive equilibria in trading networks with frictions are established: The lattice theorem, the rural hospitals theorem, the existence of side-optimal equilibria, and a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-07-01 Jan Christoph Schlegel

One of the major barriers for the retailers is to understand the consumption elasticity they can expect from their contracted demand response (DR) clients. The current trend of DR products provided by retailers are not consumer-specific,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-26 Kamalanathan Ganesan , João Tomé Saraiva , Ricardo J. Bessa

Vector autoregression is an essential tool in empirical macroeconomics and finance for understanding the dynamic interdependencies among multivariate time series. In this study, we expand the scope of vector autoregression by incorporating…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-21 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

In economic literature, economic complexity is typically approximated on the basis of an economy's gross export structure. However, in times of ever increasingly integrated global value chains, gross exports may convey an inaccurate image…

General Economics · Economics 2020-12-11 Philipp Koch

The emerging system at the European level can be conceptualized as a pattern of relations among member states that tends to be reproduced despite disturbances in individual trajectories. The Markov property is used as an indicator of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-01-26 Loet Leydesdorff , Nienke Oomes

The aim of this article is to present elements and discuss the potential of a research program at the intersection between mathematics and heterodox economics, which we call Criticial Mathematical Economics (CME). We propose to focus on the…

General Economics · Economics 2025-04-08 Johannes Buchner

We consider a dynamical model of distress propagation on complex networks, which we apply to the study of financial contagion in networks of banks connected to each other by direct exposures. The model that we consider is an extension of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-05 Marco Bardoscia , Fabio Caccioli , Juan Ignacio Perotti , Gianna Vivaldo , Guido Caldarelli

Interbank markets are often characterised in terms of a core-periphery network structure, with a highly interconnected core of banks holding the market together, and a periphery of banks connected mostly to the core but not internally. This…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-18 Sadamori Kojaku , Giulio Cimini , Guido Caldarelli , Naoki Masuda

We study the frictions in the patterns of trades in the Euro money market. We characterize the structure of lending relations during the period of recent financial turmoil. We use network-topology method on data from overnight transactions…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-24 Caterina Liberati , Massimiliano Marzo , Paolo Zagaglia , Paola Zappa

This study develops a statistical model that integrates economic agglomeration theory and power-law distributions of city sizes to project future population distribution on 1-km grid cells. We focus on Japan -- a country at the forefront of…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-14 Tomoya Mori , Daisuke Murakami