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How does public debt matter for price stability? If it is useful for the private sector to insure idiosyncratic risk, even transitory government debt expansions can exert upward pressure on interest rates and create inflation. As I…

General Economics · Economics 2024-11-08 Matthias Hänsel

Do firm dynamics matter for the transmission of monetary policy? Empirically, the startup rate declines following a monetary contraction, while the exit rate increases, both of which reduce aggregate employment. I present a model that…

General Economics · Economics 2020-11-09 Matthew Read

Banks in the interbank network can not assess the true risks associated with lending to other banks in the network, unless they have full information on the riskiness of all the other banks. These risks can be estimated by using network…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-01-28 Stefan Thurner , Sebastian Poledna

A three-dimensional extension of the structural default model with firms' values driven by correlated diffusion processes is presented. Green's function based semi-analytical methods for solving the forward calibration problem and backward…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Alexander Lipton , Ioana Savescu

The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Tilman Dette , Scott Pauls , Daniel N. Rockmore

The proposed model is aimed to reveal important patterns in the behavior of a simplified financial system. The patterns could be detected as regular cycles consisting of debt bubbles and crises. Financial cycles have a well defined…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-19 Alexander Smirnov

Segregation is a growing concern around the world. One of its main manifestations is the creation of ghettos, whose inhabitants have difficult access to well-paid jobs, which are often located far from their homes. In order to study this…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-12-23 D. Ortega , E. Korutcheva

In the following study, we inquire into the financial inclusion from a demand side perspective. Utilizing IHDS round-1 (2004-05) and round-2 (2011-12), starting from a broad picture of demand side access to finance at the country level, we…

General Economics · Economics 2020-05-20 Vinay Reddy Venumuddala

We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-08 Diego Aparicio , Daniel Fraiman

A multi-dimensional extension of the structural default model with firms' values driven by diffusion processes with Marshall-Olkin-inspired correlation structure is presented. Semi-analytical methods for solving the forward calibration…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-15 Alexander Lipton , Ioana Savescu

As countries develop, the relative importance of agriculture declines and economic activity becomes spatially concentrated. We develop a model integrating structural change and regional disparities to jointly capture these phenomena. A key…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-06 Clement E. Bohr , Marti Mestieri , Frederic Robert-Nicoud

The lifetime behaviour of loans is notoriously difficult to model, which can compromise a bank's financial reserves against future losses, if modelled poorly. Therefore, we present a data-driven comparative study amongst three techniques in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-22 Arno Botha , Tanja Verster , Roland Breedt

We develop a novel stress-test framework to monitor systemic risk in financial systems. The modular structure of the framework allows to accommodate for a variety of shock scenarios, methods to estimate interbank exposures and mechanisms of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-23 Stefano Battiston , Marco D'Errico , Stefano Gurciullo , Guido Caldarelli

We study the relationship between foreign debt and GDP growth using a panel dataset of 50 countries from 1997 to 2015. We find that economic growth correlates positively with foreign debt and that the relationship is causal in nature by…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-08 Tomoo Kikuchi , Satoshi Tobe

We propose a minimal model of the secured interbank network able to shed light on recent money markets puzzles. We find that excess liquidity emerges due to the interactions between the reserves and liquidity ratio constraints; the…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-25 Victor Le Coz , Michael Benzaquen , Damien Challet

The importance of adequately modeling credit risk has once again been highlighted in the recent financial crisis. Defaults tend to cluster around times of economic stress due to poor macro-economic conditions, {\em but also} by directly…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-04 Sebastian Heise , Reimer Kuehn

In recent years, there has been significant growth of distributed energy resources (DERs) penetration in the power grid. The stochastic and intermittent features of variable DERs such as roof top photovoltaic (PV) bring substantial…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-03 Cunzhi Zhao , Xingpeng Li

This paper proposes a brand-new measure of energy efficiency at household level and explores how it is affected by access to credit. We calculate the energy and carbon intensity of the related sectors, which experience a substantial decline…

General Economics · Economics 2022-11-17 Jun Zhou , Zhichao Yin , Pengpeng Yue

This paper investigates how dispersion in banks' subjective inflation forecasts is a channel of the transmission of monetary policy to credit supply. We extend the Monti-Klein model of monopolistic banking by incorporating risk aversion,…

General Economics · Economics 2025-12-16 Eric Vansteenberghe

This paper studies inflation in small open economies with production networks. I show that the production network alters the elasticity of the consumer price index (CPI) to changes in sectoral technology, factor prices, and import prices.…

General Economics · Economics 2024-10-02 Alvaro Silva