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Reliable Large Language Models (LLMs) should abstain when confidence is insufficient. However, prior studies often treat refusal as a generic "I don't know'', failing to distinguish input-level ambiguity (data uncertainty) from capability…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Jingyi Ren , Ante Wang , Yunghwei Lai , Xiaolong Wang , Linlu Gong , Weitao Li , Weizhi Ma , Yang Liu

Latent Chain-of-Thought (Latent CoT) models promise efficient reasoning via continuous representations, yet exhibit puzzling performance inconsistencies: excelling at exploration (ProsQA: 97.0%) but failing at computation (GSM8K: 34.1%). We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Jiaxuan Zou , Yaozhong Xiong , Yong Liu

Large Language Models (LLMs) can produce surprisingly sophisticated estimates of their own uncertainty. However, it remains unclear to what extent this expressed confidence is tied to the reasoning, knowledge, or decision making of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Jiawei Wang , Yanfei Zhou , Siddartha Devic , Deqing Fu

Selective regression allows abstention from prediction if the confidence to make an accurate prediction is not sufficient. In general, by allowing a reject option, one expects the performance of a regression model to increase at the cost of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-18 Abhin Shah , Yuheng Bu , Joshua Ka-Wing Lee , Subhro Das , Rameswar Panda , Prasanna Sattigeri , Gregory W. Wornell

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated impressive capabilities in reasoning and prediction across different domains. Yet, their ability to infer temporal regularities from structured behavioral data remains underexplored. This paper…

The reinforcement fine-tuning area is undergoing an explosion papers largely on optimizing design choices. Though performance gains are often claimed, inconsistent conclusions also arise from time to time, making the progress illusive.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-02 Hong Xie , Xiao Hu , Tao Tan , Haoran Gu , Xin Li , Jianyu Han , Defu Lian , Enhong Chen

Recommender systems, while a powerful decision making tool, are often operationalized as black box models, such that their AI algorithms are not accessible or interpretable by human operators. This in turn can cause confusion and…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Divya Srivastava , Karen M. Feigh

Retrieval-augmented generation (RAG) improves large language models (LLMs) by incorporating external evidence, but it also introduces knowledge conflicts when retrieved contextual knowledge (CK) and parametric knowledge (PK) disagree or are…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-20 Xi Zhu , Ziqi Wang , Kai Mei , Wujiang Xu , Minghao Guo , Bangji Yang , Jiajun Fan , Dimitris N. Metaxas

Standard uncertainty estimation techniques, such as dropout, often struggle to clearly distinguish reliable predictions from unreliable ones. We attribute this limitation to noisy classifier weights, which, while not impairing overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Haripriya Harikumar , Santu Rana

We highlight a failure mode of large reasoning models on questions with insufficient information: models may recognize that a problem is under-specified, yet still continue reasoning and produce unsupported final answers instead of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Renjie Gu , Jiaxu Li , Yihao Wang , Yun Yue , Hansong Xiao , Yefei Chen , Yuan Wang , Chunxiao Guo , Pei Wei , Jinjie Gu , Yixin Cao

RL training of multi-turn LLM agents is inherently unstable, and reasoning quality directly determines task performance. Entropy is widely used to track reasoning stability. However, entropy only measures diversity within the same input,…

Long-horizon interactions require language models to manage accumulating information: when to update their state, when to preserve their state, and what to ignore. We study this challenge as \textbf{Contextual Belief Management (CBM)}:…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-05-29 Haoming Xu , Weihong Xu , Zongrui Li , Mengru Wang , Yunzhi Yao , Chiyu Wu , Jin Shang , Yu Gong , Shumin Deng

We examine multi-task benchmarks in machine learning through the lens of social choice theory. We draw an analogy between benchmarks and electoral systems, where models are candidates and tasks are voters. This suggests a distinction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Guanhua Zhang , Moritz Hardt

When applied to high-dimensional datasets, feature selection algorithms might still leave dozens of irrelevant variables in the dataset. Therefore, even after feature selection has been applied, classifiers must be prepared to the presence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-21 Danilo Vasconcellos Vargas , Hirotaka Takano , Junichi Murata

In this paper, we present a framework for trust-aware sequential decision-making in a human-robot team. We model the problem as a finite-horizon Markov Decision Process with a reward-based performance metric, allowing the robotic agent to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-06 Shreyas Bhat , Joseph B. Lyons , Cong Shi , X. Jessie Yang

In the context of individual-level causal inference, we study the problem of predicting whether someone will respond or not to a treatment based on their features and past examples of features, treatment indicator (e.g., drug/no drug), and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-04 Nathan Kallus

We study the problem of resilient strategies in the presence of uncertainty. Resilient strategies enable an agent to make decisions that are robust against disturbances. In particular, we are interested in those disturbances that are able…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Kush Grover , Markel Zubia , Debraj Chakraborty , Muqsit Azeem , Nils Jansen , Jan Kretinsky

Classifying publication venues into top-tier or non top-tier is quite subjective and can be debatable at times. In this paper, we propose ConfAssist, a novel assisting framework for conference categorization that aims to address the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-09-22 Mayank Singh , Tanmoy Chakraborty , Animesh Mukherjee , Pawan Goyal

Learning to rank is a key component of many e-commerce search engines. In learning to rank, one is interested in optimising the global ordering of a list of items according to their utility for users.Popular approaches learn a scoring…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Przemysław Pobrotyn , Tomasz Bartczak , Mikołaj Synowiec , Radosław Białobrzeski , Jarosław Bojar

Dialog response ranking is used to rank response candidates by considering their relation to the dialog history. Although researchers have addressed this concept for open-domain dialogs, little attention has been focused on task-oriented…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2018-11-29 Junki Ohmura , Maxine Eskenazi
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