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This paper addresses important weaknesses in current methodology for the estimation of multivariate extreme event distributions. The estimation of the residual dependence index $\eta \in (0,1]$ is notoriously problematic. We introduce a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-05 Jennifer Israelsson , Emily Black , Claudia Neves , David Walshaw

We present a random walk model that exhibits asymptotic subdiffusive, diffusive, and superdiffusive behavior in different parameter regimes. This appears to be the first instance of a single random walk model leading to all three forms of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-19 Niraj Kumar , Upendra Harbola , Katja Lindenberg

In the paper, we investigate the asymptotic behaviors of the randomly weighted sums with upper tail asymptotically independent increments under new conditions without requiring moment assumptions on random weights.An application of the…

We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-08 Francesco Caravenna , Jacopo Corbetta

A number of models for generating statistical data in various fields of insurance, including life insurance, pensions, and general insurance have been considered. It is shown that the insurance statistics data, as a rule, are truncated and…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-16 Valery Baskakov , Anna Bartunova

Models based on assumptions of multivariate regular variation and hidden regular variation provide ways to describe a broad range of extremal dependence structures when marginal distributions are heavy tailed. Multivariate regular variation…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Janet E. Heffernan , Sidney I. Resnick

We consider a subcritical branching process in an i.i.d. random environment, in which one immigrant arrives at each generation. We consider the event $% \mathcal{A}_{i}(n)$ that all individuals alive at time $n$ are offspring of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-09 E. E. Dyakonova , V. A. Vatutin

A popular Bayesian nonparametric approach to survival analysis consists in modeling hazard rates as kernel mixtures driven by a completely random measure. In this paper we derive asymptotic results for linear and quadratic functionals of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Giovanni Peccati , Igor Prünster

We consider a Bayesian problem of estimating of probability of success in a series of conditionally independent trials with binary outcomes. We study the asymptotic behaviour of differential entropy for posterior probability density…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-07-30 Mark Kelbert , Pavel Mozgunov

This paper develops asymptotic theory for estimation of parameters in regression models for binomial response time series where serial dependence is present through a latent process. Use of generalized linear model (GLM) estimating…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-06 W. T. M. Dunsmuir , J. Y. He

We derive non-asymptotic bounds for the minimax risk of variable selection under expected Hamming loss in the Gaussian mean model in $\mathbb{R}^d$ for classes of $s$-sparse vectors separated from 0 by a constant $a > 0$. In some cases, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-15 Cristina Butucea , Mohamed Ndaoud , Natalia A. Stepanova , Alexandre B. Tsybakov

We study an unbiased, discrete time random walk on the nonnegative integers, with the origin absorbing. The process has a history-dependent step length: the walker takes steps of length v while in a region which has been visited before, and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-08-27 Ronald Dickman , Francisco Fontenele Araujo, , Daniel ben-Avraham

Right censored survival data collected on a cohort of prevalent cases with constant incidence are length-biased, and may be used to estimate the length-biased (i.e., prevalent-case) survival function. When the incidence rate is constant,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Masoud Asgharian , David B. Wolfson

In this paper, we build on the techniques developed in Albrecher et al. (2013), to generate initial-boundary value problems for ruin probabilities of surplus-dependent premium risk processes, under a renewal case scenario, Erlang (2) claim…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Corina Constantinescu , Zbigniew Palmowski , Jing Wang

A multi-class single-server queueing model with finite buffers, in which scheduling and admission of customers are subject to control, is studied in the moderate deviation heavy traffic regime. A risk-sensitive cost set over a finite time…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-05-02 Rami Atar , Asaf Cohen

If multiway cluster-robust standard errors are used routinely in applied economics, surprisingly few theoretical results justify this practice. This paper aims to fill this gap. We first prove, under nearly the same conditions as with…

Econometrics · Economics 2018-08-06 Laurent Davezies , Xavier D'Haultfoeuille , Yannick Guyonvarch

We consider a class of semiparametric regression models which are one-parameter extensions of the Cox [J. Roy. Statist. Soc. Ser. B 34 (1972) 187-220] model for right-censored univariate failure times. These models assume that the hazard…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Michael R. Kosorok , Bee Leng Lee , Jason P. Fine

We model the influence of sharing large exogeneous losses to the reinsurance market by a bipartite graph. Using Pareto-tailed claims and multivariate regular variation we obtain asymptotic results for the Value-at-Risk and the Conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-16 Oliver Kley , Claudia Kluppelberg , Gesine Reinert

This paper presents an axiomatic scheme for interest rate models in discrete time. We take a pricing kernel approach, which builds in the arbitrage-free property and provides a link to equilibrium economics. We require that the pricing…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-05 Lane P. Hughston , Andrea Macrina

In observational studies with time-to-event outcomes, the g-formula can be used to estimate a treatment effect in the presence of confounding factors. However, the asymptotic distribution of the corresponding stochastic process is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-04-26 Jasmin Rühl , Sarah Friedrich