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In this paper we determine bounds and exact asymptotics of the ruin probability for risk process with arrivals given by a linear marked Hawkes process. We consider the light-tailed and heavy-tailed case of the claim sizes. Main technique is…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-07 Zbigniew Palmowski , Simon Pojer , Stefan Thonhauser

Impropriety testing for complex-valued vector has been considered lately due to potential applications ranging from digital communications to complex media imaging. This paper provides new results for such tests in the asymptotic regime,…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-01-07 Florent Chatelain , Nicolas Le Bihan , Jonathan H. Manton

This paper considers a Cram\'er-Lundberg risk setting, where the components of the underlying model change over time. These components could be thought of as the claim arrival rate, the claim-size distribution, and the premium rate, but we…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Corina Constantinescu , Guusje Delsing , Michel Mandjes , Leonardo Rojas Nandayapa

We find the asymptotic distribution of the multi-dimensional multi-scale and kernel estimators for high-frequency financial data with microstructure. Sampling times are allowed to be asynchronous and endogenous. In the process, we show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-05 Markus Bibinger , Per A. Mykland

We revisit Schnieper's model, which decomposes incurred but not reported (IBNR) reserves into two components: reserves for newly reported claims (true IBNR) and reserves for changes over time in the estimated cost of already reported claims…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-13 Nicolas Baradel

We consider a complex-valued linear mixture model, under discrete weakly stationary processes. We recover latent components of interest, which have undergone a linear mixing. We study asymptotic properties of a classical unmixing estimator,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-12 Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

This paper investigates ruin probabilities for a two-dimensional fractional Brownian risk model with a proportional reinsurance scheme. We focus on joint and simultaneous ruin probabilities in a finite-time horizon. The risk processes of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-02 Krzysztof Kȩpczyński

We study a general risk measure called the generalized shortfall risk measure, which was first introduced in Mao and Cai (2018). It is proposed under the rank-dependent expected utility framework, or equivalently induced from the cumulative…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-12 Tiantian Mao , Gilles Stupfler , Fan Yang

This paper continues the examination of inventory control in which the inventory is modelled by a diffusion process and a long-term average cost criterion is used to make decisions. The class of such models under consideration have general…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-10 Kurt L. Helmes , Richard H. Stockbridge , Chao Zhu

In this paper we study a class of risk-sensitive Markovian control problems in discrete time subject to model uncertainty. We consider a risk-sensitive discounted cost criterion with finite time horizon. The used methodology is the one of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-04-15 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Tao Chen , Igor Cialenco

We evaluate priors by the second order asymptotic behavior of the corresponding estimators.Under certain regularity conditions, the risk differences between efficient estimators of parameters taking values in a domain D, an open connected…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-08 J. A. Hartigan

Identification-robust hypothesis tests are commonly based on the continuous updating GMM objective function. When the number of moment conditions grows proportionally with the sample size, the large-dimensional weighting matrix prohibits…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-10 Tom Boot , Johannes W. Ligtenberg

We propose improved standard errors and an asymptotic distribution theory for two-way clustered panels. Our proposed estimator and theory allow for arbitrary serial dependence in the common time effects, which is excluded by existing…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-15 Harold D Chiang , Bruce E Hansen , Yuya Sasaki

We consider the scheduling control problem for a family of unitary networks under heavy traffic, with general interarrival and service times, probabilistic routing and infinite horizon discounted linear holding cost. A natural…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Amarjit Budhiraja , Arka Prasanna Ghosh

M-estimation, aka empirical risk minimization, is at the heart of statistics and machine learning: Classification, regression, location estimation, etc. Asymptotic theory is well understood when the loss satisfies some smoothness…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Victor-Emmanuel Brunel

Extreme value theory offers a statistical framework for quantifying the risk of rare events, with the generalized Pareto (GP) distribution providing the canonical limit model for univariate threshold exceedances. In many applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-15 Mirco Lescart , Anna Kiriliouk , Philippe Naveau

We consider continuous time risk processes in which the claim sizes are dependent and non-identically distributed phase-type distributions. The class of distributions we propose is easy to characterize and allows to incorporate the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-28 Oscar Peralta , Matthieu Simon

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We consider a general $k$ dimensional discounted infinite server queues process (alternatively, an Incurred But Not Reported (IBNR) claim process) where the multivariate inputs (claims) are given by a $k$ dimensional finite state Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Landy Rabehasaina , Jae-Kyung Woo

Claim frequency data in insurance records the number of claims on insurance policies during a finite period of time. Given that insurance companies operate with multiple lines of insurance business where the claim frequencies on different…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-05 Pengcheng Zhang , David Pitt , Xueyuan Wu