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Time series forecasting has played a pivotal role across various industries, including finance, transportation, energy, healthcare, and climate. Due to the abundant seasonal information they contain, timestamps possess the potential to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-21 Chengsen Wang , Qi Qi , Jingyu Wang , Haifeng Sun , Zirui Zhuang , Jinming Wu , Jianxin Liao

Time series forecasting aims to model temporal dependencies among variables for future state inference, holding significant importance and widespread applications in real-world scenarios. Although deep learning-based methods have achieved…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-21 Zesen Wang , Lijuan Lan , Yonggang Li

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have borrowed the long context paradigm from natural language processing under the premise that feeding more history into the model improves forecast quality. But in stochastic domains, distant history…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Rishi Ahuja , Kumar Prateek , Simranjit Singh , Vijay Kumar

Online continual learning (OCL) methods adapt to changing environments without forgetting past knowledge. Similarly, online time series forecasting (OTSF) is a real-world problem where data evolve in time and success depends on both rapid…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-21 Edoardo Urettini , Daniele Atzeni , Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki , Antonio Carta

Time series forecasting is vital in diverse sectors such as energy and transportation, where non-stationary dynamics are deeply intertwined with external events in other modalities such as texts. However, incorporating natural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Yunfeng Ge , Ming Jin , Yiji Zhao , Hongyan Li , Bo Du , Chang Xu , Shirui Pan

Multivariate Time Series Forecasting plays a key role in many applications. Recent works have explored using Large Language Models for MTSF to take advantage of their reasoning abilities. However, many methods treat LLMs as end-to-end…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-09-19 Kuiye Ding , Fanda Fan , Yao Wang , Ruijie jian , Xiaorui Wang , Luqi Gong , Yishan Jiang , Chunjie Luo , Jianfeng Zhan

Large language models (LLMs) frequently achieve impressive scores on standardized benchmarks, yet accuracy alone offers a limited view of their capabilities. Evaluating open-source LLMs through leaderboards faces persistent issues like data…

Forecasting multiple future events within a given time horizon is essential for applications in finance, retail, social networks, and healthcare. Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPP) provide a principled framework to model both the timing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Ivan Karpukhin , Foma Shipilov , Andrey Savchenko

While previous research in multivariate time series forecasting has focused on developing complex holistic models, this work advocates for a shift toward a granular, component-level understanding of their impacts. We propose TSCOMP, the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-27 Shuang Liang , Chaochuan Hou , Xu Yao , Shiping Wang , Hailiang Huang , Songqiao Han , Minqi Jiang

Multivariate Long Sequence Time-series Forecasting (LSTF) has been a critical task across various real-world applications. Recent advancements focus on the application of transformer architectures attributable to their ability to capture…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Shubham Tanaji Kakde , Rony Mitra , Jasashwi Mandal , Manoj Kumar Tiwari

The performance of transformers for time-series forecasting has improved significantly. Recent architectures learn complex temporal patterns by segmenting a time-series into patches and using the patches as tokens. The patch size controls…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Yitian Zhang , Liheng Ma , Soumyasundar Pal , Yingxue Zhang , Mark Coates

Time series forecasting is an important challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, scientific simulations and industrial process analysis. In this work, we introduce LMS-AutoTSF, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Ibrahim Delibasoglu , Sanjay Chakraborty , Fredrik Heintz

In this paper, a method of prediction on continuous time series variables from the production or flow -- an LSTM algorithm based on multivariate tuning -- is proposed. The algorithm improves the traditional LSTM algorithm and converts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Hongzhi Wang , Yang Song , Shihan Tang

Recent advances in AI and ML applications have benefited from rapid progress in NLP research. Leaderboards have emerged as a popular mechanism to track and accelerate progress in NLP through competitive model development. While this has…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-01-02 Sebastin Santy , Prasanta Bhattacharya

Time-series forecasting aims to predict future values by modeling temporal dependencies in historical observations. It is a critical component of many real-world systems, where accurate forecasts improve operational efficiency and help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-15 Gamze Kirman Tokgoz , Onat Gungor , Tajana Rosing , Baris Aksanli

Given the significant potential of large language models (LLMs) in sequence modeling, emerging studies have begun applying them to time-series forecasting. Despite notable progress, existing methods still face two critical challenges: 1)…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-09 Pengfei Wang , Huanran Zheng , Qi'ao Xu , Silong Dai , Yiqiao Wang , Wenjing Yue , Wei Zhu , Tianwen Qian , Xiaoling Wang

Time series forecasting is crucial in several sectors, such as meteorology, retail, healthcare, and finance. Accurately forecasting future trends and patterns is crucial for strategic planning and making well-informed decisions. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-19 Nitin Sagar Boyeena , Begari Susheel Kumar

Mainstream methods for multivariate time-series forecasting largely follow the Direct-Mapping paradigm. They learn a unified mapping from history to the future in the observation space to fit value-level dependencies. However, real-world…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Fan Zhang , Shijun Chen , Hua Wang

This paper presents an advanced Federated Learning (FL) framework for forecasting complex spatiotemporal data, improving upon recent state-of-the-art models. In the proposed approach, the original Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) module within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-02 Thien Pham , Angelo Furno , Faïcel Chamroukhi , Latifa Oukhellou

Predictive benchmarking, the evaluation of machine learning models based on predictive performance and competitive ranking, is a central epistemic practice in machine learning research and an increasingly prominent method for scientific…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-28 Timo Freiesleben , Sebastian Zezulka