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Multivariate extreme value statistical analysis is concerned with observations on several variables which are thought to possess some degree of tail-dependence. In areas such as the modeling of financial and insurance risks, or as the…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-31 Alexis Bienvenüe , Christian Y. Robert

Statistical extreme value theory is concerned with the use of asymptotically motivated models to describe the extreme values of a process. A number of commonly used models are valid for observed data that exceed some high threshold.…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-10 J. Lee , Y. Fan , S. A. Sisson

Using the superstatistics method, we propose an extension of the random matrix theory to cover systems with mixed regular-chaotic dynamics. Unlike most of the other works in this direction, the ensembles of the proposed approach are basis…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. Y. Abul-Magd

Extreme value theory provides rigorous theory and statistical tools for extrapolation in machine learning, particularly in settings where traditional methods struggle due to data scarcity in the tails. A broad range of tasks benefit from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Sebastian Engelke , Nicola Gnecco , Anne Sabourin

We study limit laws for return time processes defined on infinite conservative ergodic measure preserving dynamical systems. Especially for the critical cases with purely atomic limiting distribution we derive distorted processes posessing…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Marc Kesseböhmer , Mehdi Slassi

How is the irreversibility of a high-dimensional chaotic system controlled by the heterogeneity in the non-reciprocal interactions among its elements? In this paper, we address this question using a stochastic model of random recurrent…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-02-18 Tuan Pham , Albert Alonso , Karel Proesmans

Statistical modelling of spatial extreme events has gained increasing attention over the last few decades with max-stable processes, and more recently $r$-Pareto processes, becoming the reference tools for the statistical analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-02 Peng Zhong , Scott A. Sisson , Boris Beranger

In this paper we study aspects of the ergodic theory of the geodesic flow on a non-compact negatively curved manifold. It is a well known fact that every continuous potential on a compact metric space has a maximizing measure.…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-01-07 Felipe Riquelme , Anibal Velozo

Maximum-type statistics of certain functions of the sample covariance matrix of high-dimensional vector time series are studied to statistically confirm or reject the null hypothesis that a data set has been collected under normal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-13 Ansgar Steland

We provide some asymptotic theory for the largest eigenvalues of a sample covariance matrix of a p-dimensional time series where the dimension p = p_n converges to infinity when the sample size n increases. We give a short overview of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-27 Richard Davis , Johannes Heiny , Thomas Mikosch , Xiaolei Xie

In classical extreme value theory probabilities of extreme events are estimated assuming all the components of a random vector to be in a domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution. In contrast, the conditional extreme value…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-08-30 Bikramjit Das , Sidney I. Resnick

We investigate the distribution and multiple occurrences of extreme events stochastic processes constructed by sampling the solution of a Stochastic Differential Equation on $\mathbb{R}^n$. We do so by studying the action of an annealead…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-20 F. Flandoli , S. Galatolo , P. Giulietti , S. Vaienti

We study a particle immersed in a heat bath, in the presence of an external force which decays at least as rapidly as $1/x$, for example a particle interacting with a surface through a Lennard-Jones or a logarithmic potential. As time…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-01-09 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

A finite dimensional abstract approximation and convergence theory is developed for estimation of the distribution of random parameters in infinite dimensional discrete time linear systems with dynamics described by regularly dissipative…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-15 Melike Sirlanci , Susan E. Luczak , I. Gary Rosen

We study the invariant measures and fluctuation limits of discrete-time harness processes in one spatial dimension. We construct one essential ergodic (under spatial shifts) invariant measure of the increment process derived from harness…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-10 Yun Zhai

We investigate quantitative recurrence in systems having an infinite measure. We extend the Ornstein-Weiss theorem for a general class of infinite systems estimating return time in decreasing sequences of cylinders. Then we restrict to a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-11-11 Stefano Galatolo , Dong Han Kim , Kyewon Koh Park

We provide formulas to compute the coefficients entering the affine scaling needed to get a non-degenerate function for the asymptotic distribution of the maxima of some kind of observable computed along the orbit of a randomly perturbed…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2017-07-26 Davide Faranda , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Pierre Guiraud , Sandro Vaienti

In multivariate extreme value analysis, the nature of the extremal dependence between variables should be considered when selecting appropriate statistical models. Interest often lies with determining which subsets of variables can take…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-19 Emma S. Simpson , Jennifer L. Wadsworth , Jonathan A. Tawn

We revisit the model of heteroscedastic extremes initially introduced by Einmahl et al. (JRSSB, 2016) to describe the evolution of a non stationary sequence whose extremes evolve over time and adapt it into a general extreme quantile…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Benjamin Bobbia , Clément Dombry , Davit Varron

Extremes play a special role in Anomaly Detection. Beyond inference and simulation purposes, probabilistic tools borrowed from Extreme Value Theory (EVT), such as the angular measure, can also be used to design novel statistical learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-01 Nicolas Goix , Anne Sabourin , Stéphan Clémençon