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We consider a discrete-time temporally-homogeneous conservative Markov process. We show that extremality of reversible measure implies extremality of invariant measure. Using analogue of Dirichlet form, we modify a proof that in stochastic…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2023-12-25 Hiroki Yagisita

We consider the problems of parameter estimation for several models of threshold ergodic diffusion processes in the asymptotics of large samples. These models are the direct continuous time analogues of the well-known in time series…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-19 Yury A. Kutoyants

Multivariate extreme-value analysis is concerned with the extremes in a multivariate random sample, that is, points of which at least some components have exceptionally large values. Mathematical theory suggests the use of max-stable models…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-03 Johan Segers

In ergodic physical systems, time-averaged quantities converge (for large times) to their ensemble-averaged values. Large deviation theory describes rare events where these time averages differ significantly from the corresponding ensemble…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-20 Robert L. Jack

In a wide variety of situations, anomalies in the behaviour of a complex system, whose health is monitored through the observation of a random vector X = (X1,. .. , X d) valued in R d , correspond to the simultaneous occurrence of extreme…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-18 Maël Chiapino , Stéphan Clémençon , Vincent Feuillard , Anne Sabourin

We study the factorised steady state of a general class of mass transport models in which mass, a conserved quantity, is transferred stochastically between sites. Condensation in such models is exhibited when above a critical mass density…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-09-25 Martin R. Evans , Satya N. Majumdar

We establish a theory for multivariate extreme value analysis of dynamical systems. Namely, we provide conditions adapted to the dynamical setting which enable the study of dependence between extreme values of the components of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Romain Aimino , Ana Cristina Moreira Freitas , Jorge Milhazes Freitas , Mike Todd

Motivated by observations that suggest the presence of extremely massive clusters at uncomfortably high redshifts for the standard cosmological model to explain, we develop a theoretical framework for the study of the most massive haloes,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2011-11-28 Ian Harrison , Peter Coles

Extreme value analysis for time series is often based on the block maxima method, in particular for environmental applications. In the classical univariate case, the latter is based on fitting an extreme-value distribution to the sample of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-20 Axel Bücher , Erik Haufs

In this manuscript, we consider finitely many maps, all of which are defined on a smooth compact measure space, with at least one map in the collection having degree strictly bigger than 1. Working with random dynamics generated by this…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-08-26 Thirupathi Perumal , Shrihari Sridharan

A coagulation process is studied in a set of random masses, in which two randomly chosen masses and the smallest mass of the set multiplied by some fixed parameter $\omega\in [-1,1]$ are iteratively added. Besides masses (or primary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 Róbert Juhász

Inspired by "quantum graphity" models for spacetime, a statistical model of graphs is proposed to explore possible realizations of emergent manifolds. Graphs with given numbers of vertices and edges are considered, governed by a very…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-04-09 Si Chen , Steven S. Plotkin

Under general multivariate regular variation conditions, the extreme Value-at-Risk of a portfolio can be expressed as an integral of a known kernel with respect to a generally unknown spectral measure supported on the unit simplex. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-09 Robert Yuen , Stilian Stoev , Dan Cooley

We report measurements that show extreme events in the statistics of resonant radiation emitted from spatiotemporal light bullets. We trace the origin of these extreme events back to instabilities leading to steep gradients in the temporal…

This paper presents a new model for characterising temporal dependence in exceedances above a threshold. The model is based on the class of trawl processes, which are stationary, infinitely divisible stochastic processes. The model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-19 Ragnhild C. Noven , Almut E. D. Veraart , Axel Gandy

We present a novel statistical treatment, the "metastatistics of extreme events", for calculating the frequency of extreme events. This approach, which is of general validity, is the proper statistical framework to address the problem of…

Applications · Statistics 2012-11-14 Massimiliano Ignaccolo , Marco Marani

We propose some new results on the comparison of the minimum or maximum order statistic from a random number of non-identical random variables. Under the non-identical set-up, with certain conditions, we prove that random minimum (maximum)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-08 Amarjit Kundu , Shovan Chowdhury , Bidhan Modok

We argue that the transition to turbulence is controlled by large amplitude events that follow extreme distribution theory. The theory suggests an explanation for recent observations of the turbulent state lifetime which exhibit…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Nigel Goldenfeld , Nicholas Guttenberg , Gustavo Gioia

Extreme value theory is part and parcel of any study of order statistics in one dimension. Our aim here is to consider such large sample theory for the maximum distance to the origin, and the related maximum "interpoint distance," in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-30 Sreenivasa Rao Jammalamadaka , Svante Janson

For an ergodic hyperbolic measure $\omega$ of a $C^{1+{\alpha}}$ diffeomorphism, there is an $\omega$ full-measured set $\tilde\Lambda$ such that every nonempty, compact and connected subset $V$ of $\mathbb{M}_{inv}(\tilde\Lambda)$…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-07 Chao Liang , Wenxiang Sun , Xueting Tian