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This paper studies inference in two-stage randomized experiments under covariate-adaptive randomization. In the initial stage of this experimental design, clusters (e.g., households, schools, or graph partitions) are stratified and randomly…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Jizhou Liu

Classical approaches to experimental design assume that intervening on one unit does not affect other units. There are many important settings, however, where this non-interference assumption does not hold, as when running experiments on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Stefan Wager , Kuang Xu

Automated scoring of student work at scale requires balancing accuracy against cost and latency. In "cascade" systems, small language models (LMs) handle easier scoring tasks while escalating harder ones to larger LMs -- but the challenge…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Tyler Burleigh

The problem of detecting a single anomalous process among multiple independent processes is considered. Under a constraint on the number of processes that can be probed simultaneously, the decision maker should decide which processes to…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-01-15 Fengfan Qin , Da Chen , Hui Feng , Qing Zhao , Tao Yang , Bo Hu

Federated learning has gained significant attention due to its groundbreaking ability to enable distributed learning while maintaining privacy constraints. However, as a consequence of data heterogeneity among decentralized devices, it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-02 Hangyu Zhu , Yuxiang Fan , Zhenping Xie

Various forms of disruption in transport systems perturb urban mobility in different ways. Passengers respond heterogeneously to such disruptive events based on numerous factors. This study takes a data-driven approach to explore…

Applications · Statistics 2023-07-04 Ali Shateri Benam , Angelo Furno , Nour-Eddin El Faouzi

We propose a new anytime hierarchical clustering method that iteratively transforms an arbitrary initial hierarchy on the configuration of measurements along a sequence of trees we prove for a fixed data set must terminate in a chain of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-04-15 Omur Arslan , Daniel E. Koditschek

UK electricity market changes provide opportunities to alter households' electricity usage patterns for the benefit of the overall electricity network. Work on clustering similar households has concentrated on daily load profiles and the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-04 Ian Dent , Tony Craig , Uwe Aickelin , Tom Rodden

Adapting large language models to individual users remains challenging due to the tension between fine-grained personalization and scalable deployment. We present CARD, a hierarchical framework that achieves effective personalization…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Yutong Song , Jiang Wu , Weijia Zhang , Chengze Shen , Shaofan Yuan , Weitao Lu , Jian Wang , Yu Wang , Nikil Dutt , Amir M. Rahmani

Test-time scaling is a promising new approach to language modeling that uses extra test-time compute to improve performance. Recently, OpenAI's o1 model showed this capability but did not publicly share its methodology, leading to many…

Computer experiments have become an indispensable alternative to complex physical and engineering experiments. The Kriging model is the most widely used surrogate model, with the core goal of minimizing the discrepancy between the surrogate…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-26 Ruonan Zheng , Min-Qian Liu , Yongdao Zhou , Xuan Chen

Recent studies concerning the point electricity price forecasting have shown evidence that the hourly German Intraday Continuous Market is weak-form efficient. Therefore, we take a novel, advanced approach to the problem. A probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-02 Michał Narajewski , Florian Ziel

Clinical decision-making often involves selecting tests that are costly, invasive, or time-consuming, motivating individualized, sequential strategies for what to measure and when to stop ascertaining. We study the problem of learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-16 Doudou Zhou , Yiran Zhang , Dian Jin , Yingye Zheng , Lu Tian , Tianxi Cai

In optimal experimental design, the objective is to select a limited set of experiments that maximizes information about unknown model parameters based on factor levels. This work addresses the generalized D-optimal design problem, allowing…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Aditya Pillai , Gabriel Ponte , Marcia Fampa , Jon Lee , and Mohit Singh , Weijun Xie

Design of experiments and estimation of treatment effects in large-scale networks, in the presence of strong interference, is a challenging and important problem. Most existing methods' performance deteriorates as the density of the network…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-15 Preetam Nandy , Kinjal Basu , Shaunak Chatterjee , Ye Tu

Experimental design is a process of obtaining a product with target property via experimentation. Bayesian optimization offers a sample-efficient tool for experimental design when experiments are expensive. Often, expert experimenters have…

Trace clustering has increasingly been applied to find homogenous process executions. However, current techniques have difficulties in finding a meaningful and insightful clustering of patients on the basis of healthcare data. The resulting…

Databases · Computer Science 2020-01-13 Xixi Lu , Seyed Amin Tabatabaei , Mark Hoogendoorn , Hajo A. Reijers

Deterministic simulations of the rate equations governing cluster dynamics in materials are limited by the number of equations to integrate. Stochastic simulations are limited by the high frequency of certain events. We propose a coupling…

Materials Science · Physics 2017-10-11 Pierre Terrier , Manuel Athènes , Thomas Jourdan , Gilles Adjanor , Gabriel Stoltz

Scaling large language models (LLMs) has driven significant advancements, yet it faces diminishing returns and escalating energy demands. This work explores how test-time compute (TTC) can serve as an energy-efficient complement to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-11 Yunho Jin , Gu-Yeon Wei , David Brooks

Federated Learning (FL) faces major challenges in real-world deployments due to statistical heterogeneity across clients and system heterogeneity arising from resource-constrained devices. While clustering-based approaches mitigate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Om Govind Jha , Harsh Shukla , Haroon R. Lone