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This paper considers inference when there is a single treated cluster and a fixed number of control clusters, a setting that is common in empirical work, especially in difference-in-differences designs. We use the t-statistic and develop…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-11 Chun Pong Lau , Xinran Li

We propose a categorical approach for unsupervised variational acoustic clustering of audio data in the time-frequency domain. The consideration of a categorical distribution enforces sharper clustering even when data points strongly…

Audio and Speech Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-22 Luan Vinícius Fiorio , Ivana Nikoloska , Ronald M. Aarts

In finite-size scaling analyses of Monte Carlo simulations of second-order phase transitions one often needs an extended temperature range around the critical point. By combining the parallel tempering algorithm with cluster updates and an…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Elmar Bittner , Wolfhard Janke

This paper addresses aircraft delays, emphasizing their impact on safety and financial losses. To mitigate these issues, an innovative machine learning (ML)-enhanced landing scheduling methodology is proposed, aiming to improve automation…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Yutian Pang , Peng Zhao , Jueming Hu , Yongming Liu

Experimental evaluation is a major research methodology for investigating clustering algorithms and many other machine learning algorithms. For this purpose, a number of benchmark datasets have been widely used in the literature and their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-21 Tiantian Zhang , Li Zhong , Bo Yuan

Systematic differences in experimental materials, methods, measurements, and data handling between labs, over time, and among personnel can sabotage experimental reproducibility. Uncovering such differences can be difficult and time…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-18 Bert Gunter

The price clustering phenomenon manifesting itself as an increased occurrence of specific prices is widely observed and well-documented for various financial instruments and markets. In the literature, however, it is rarely incorporated…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-23 Vladimír Holý , Petra Tomanová

Change point analyses are concerned with identifying positions of an ordered stochastic process that undergo abrupt local changes of some underlying distribution. When multiple processes are observed, it is often the case that information…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-21 José J. Quinlan , Garritt L. Page , Luis M. Castro

Intermittent renewable energy resources like wind and solar pose great uncertainty of multiple time scales, from minutes to years, on the design and operation of power systems. Energy system optimization models have been developed to find…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-27 Yuheng Zhang , Vivian Cheng , Dharik S. Mallapragada , Jie Song , Guannan He

Businesses frequently run online controlled experiments (i.e., A/B tests) to learn about the effect of an intervention on multiple business metrics. To account for multiple hypothesis testing, multiple metrics are commonly aggregated into a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-22 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Randomized saturation designs are a family of designs which assign a possibly different treatment proportion to each cluster of a population at random. As a result, they generalize the well-known (stratified) completely randomized designs…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-21 Chencheng Cai , Jean Pouget-Abadie , Edoardo M. Airoldi

Data clustering is an instrumental tool in the area of energy resource management. One problem with conventional clustering is that it does not take the final use of the clustered data into account, which may lead to a very suboptimal use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-03 Chao Zhang , Samson Lasaulce , Martin Hennebel , Lucas Saludjian , Patrick Panciatici , H. Vincent Poor

Randomized experiments ensure robust causal inference that are critical to effective learning analytics research and practice. However, traditional randomized experiments, like A/B tests, are limiting in large scale digital learning…

Applications · Statistics 2019-02-04 Timothy NeCamp , Josh Gardner , Christopher Brooks

Multilevel Splitting is a Sequential Monte Carlo method to simulate realisations of a rare event as well as to estimate its probability. This article is concerned with the convergence and the fluctuation analysis of Adaptive Multilevel…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-21 Frederic Cerou , Arnaud Guyader

Predicting if passengers in a connecting flight will lose their connection is paramount for airline profitability. We present novel machine learning-based decision support models for the different stages of connection flight management,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-04 Marta Guimaraes , Claudia Soares , Rodrigo Ventura

The conclusions of randomized controlled trials may be biased when the outcome of one unit depends on the treatment status of other units, a problem known as interference. In this work, we study interference in the setting of one-sided…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-01 Jennifer Brennan , Vahab Mirrokni , Jean Pouget-Abadie

Online evaluation of machine learning models is typically conducted through A/B experiments. Sequential statistical tests are valuable tools for analysing these experiments, as they enable researchers to stop data collection early without…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Alexey Kurennoy , Majed Dodin , Tural Gurbanov , Ana Peleteiro Ramallo

Utilizing randomized experiments to evaluate the effect of short-term treatments on the short-term outcomes has been well understood and become the golden standard in industrial practice. However, as service systems become increasingly…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-10 Shuze Chen , David Simchi-Levi , Chonghuan Wang

We describe our framework, deployed at Facebook, that accounts for interference between experimental units through cluster-randomized experiments. We document this system, including the design and estimation procedures, and detail insights…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-17 Brian Karrer , Liang Shi , Monica Bhole , Matt Goldman , Tyrone Palmer , Charlie Gelman , Mikael Konutgan , Feng Sun

Online A/B testing is widely used in the internet industry to inform decisions on new feature roll-outs. For online marketplaces (such as advertising markets), standard approaches to A/B testing may lead to biased results when buyers…