Related papers: A Laplace-based perspective on conditional mean ri…

In order to properly manage risk, practitioners must understand the aggregate risks they are exposed to. Additionally, to properly price policies and calculate bonuses the relative riskiness of individual business units must be well…

Extreme environmental events frequently exhibit spatial and temporal dependence. These data are often modeled using max stable processes (MSPs). MSPs are computationally prohibitive to fit for as few as a dozen observations, with supposed…

An integration of distributionally robust risk allocation into sampling-based motion planning algorithms for robots operating in uncertain environments is proposed. We perform non-uniform risk allocation by decomposing the distributionally…

We study the problem of fairly allocating indivisible goods when limited sharing is allowed, that is, each good may be allocated to up to $k$ agents, while incurring a cost for sharing. While classic maximin share (MMS) allocations may not…

We propose a method for inference in generalised linear mixed models (GLMMs) and several extensions of these models. First, we extend the GLMM by allowing the distribution of the random components to be non-Gaussian, that is, assuming an…

This work examines risk bounds for nonparametric distributional regression estimators. For convex-constrained distributional regression, general upper bounds are established for the continuous ranked probability score (CRPS) and the…

This paper proposes Distributed Model Predictive Covariance Steering (DiMPCS) for multi-agent control under stochastic uncertainty. The scope of our approach is to blend covariance steering theory, distributed optimization and model…

We propose a risk-averse statistical learning framework wherein the performance of a learning algorithm is evaluated by the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of losses rather than the expected loss. We devise algorithms based on stochastic…

Conditional mean embeddings (CMEs) have proven themselves to be a powerful tool in many machine learning applications. They allow the efficient conditioning of probability distributions within the corresponding reproducing kernel Hilbert…

We study high-dimensional rank regression when data are distributed across multiple machines and the loss is a non-additive U-statistic, as in convoluted rank regression (CRR). Classical communication-efficient surrogate likelihood (CSL)…

We address the problem of sharing risk among agents with preferences modelled by a general class of comonotonic additive and law-based functionals that need not be either monotone or convex. Such functionals are called distortion…

In this short note the theory for multivariate asset allocation with elliptically symmetric distributions of returns, as developed in the author's prior work, is specialized to the case of returns drawn from a multivariate Laplace…

Probabilistic regression models trained with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), can sometimes overestimate variance to an unacceptable degree. This is mostly problematic in the multivariate domain. While univariate models often optimize…

In this article, we develop a semiparametric Bayesian estimation and model selection approach for partially linear additive models in conditional quantile regression. The asymmetric Laplace distribution provides a mechanism for Bayesian…

In this paper we introduce a new coherent cumulative risk measure on $\mathcal{R}_L^p$, the space of c\`adl\`ag processes having Laplace transform. This new coherent risk measure turns out to be tractable enough within a class of models…

In this article, we present a novel inference framework for estimating the parameters of Continuous-State Branching Processes (CSBPs). We do so by leveraging their subordinator representation. Our method reformulates the estimation problem…

We revisit the recently introduced concept of return risk measures (RRMs) and extend it by incorporating risk management via multiple so-called eligible assets. The resulting new class of risk measures, termed multi-asset return risk…

We consider a generalization of the variance-gamma (generalized asymmetric Laplace) distribution, defined as a normal mean - variance mixture with a gamma mixing distribution. While this model is typically studied in the univariate setting,…

Covariance steering (CS) synthesizes a control policy which drives the state's mean and covariance matrix towards desired values. Offering tractable computation of a closed-loop policy which can obey chance constraints in uncertain…

In this paper, we consider isotropic and stationary max-stable, inverse max-stable and max-mixture processes $X=(X(s))\_{s\in\bR^2}$ and the damage function $\cD\_X^{\nu}= |X|^\nu$ with $0<\nu<1/2$. We study the quantitative behavior of a…