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This paper studies the synthesis of an active perception policy that maximizes the information leakage of the initial state in a stochastic system modeled as a hidden Markov model (HMM). Specifically, the emission function of the HMM is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-26 Chongyang Shi , Shuo Han , Michael Dorothy , Jie Fu

Tire degradation plays a critical role in Formula 1 race strategy, influencing both lap times and optimal pit-stop decisions. This paper introduces a Bayesian state-space modeling framework for estimating the latent degradation dynamics of…

Applications · Statistics 2025-12-02 Cole Cappello , Andrew Hoegh

Lane determination and lane sequence determination are important components for many Connected and Automated Vehicle (CAV) applications. Lane determination has been solved using Hidden Markov Model (HMM) among other methods. The existing…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-13 Mike Stas , Wang Hu , Jay A. Farrell

The objective is to study an on-line Hidden Markov model (HMM) estimation-based Q-learning algorithm for partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) on finite state and action sets. When the full state observation is available,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-25 Hyung-Jin Yoon , Donghwan Lee , Naira Hovakimyan

There is an increase in interest to model driving maneuver patterns via the automatic unsupervised clustering of naturalistic sequential kinematic driving data. The patterns learned are often used in transportation research areas such as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Matthew Aguirre , Wenbo Sun , Jionghua , Jin , Yang Chen

The framework of mixed observable Markov decision processes (MOMDP) models many robotic domains in which some state variables are fully observable while others are not. In this work, we identify a significant subclass of MOMDPs defined by…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Hai Nguyen , Zhihan Yang , Andrea Baisero , Xiao Ma , Robert Platt , Christopher Amato

In applications of offline reinforcement learning to observational data, such as in healthcare or education, a general concern is that observed actions might be affected by unobserved factors, inducing confounding and biasing estimates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Andrew Bennett , Nathan Kallus

The agent learns to organize decision behavior to achieve a behavioral goal, such as reward maximization, and reinforcement learning is often used for this optimization. Learning an optimal behavioral strategy is difficult under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Kazuki Takahashi , Tomoki Fukai , Yutaka Sakai , Takashi Takekawa

We make a methodological contribution by introducing a new dimension of traffic conflict severity: the probability that a driver is in a defensive state. This behavioural probability reflects an internal response to perceived risk and is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-06-27 Rulla Al-Haideri , Karim Ismail , Bilal Farooq , Adam Weiss

In most real-world reinforcement learning applications, state information is only partially observable, which breaks the Markov decision process assumption and leads to inferior performance for algorithms that conflate observations with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-12 Hongming Zhang , Tongzheng Ren , Chenjun Xiao , Dale Schuurmans , Bo Dai

Given a nonparametric Hidden Markov Model (HMM) with two states, the question of constructing efficient multiple testing procedures is considered, treating one of the states as an unknown null hypothesis. A procedure is introduced, based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-12 Kweku Abraham , Ismael Castillo , Elisabeth Gassiat

Formula 1 performance is a combination of the car's ability and the driver's ability. While a given race or season can tell you how well a car and driver performed jointly, isolating the individual impact of the driver and constructor…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-04 Saurabh Rane

This paper presents a new and flexible prognostics framework based on a higher order hidden semi-Markov model (HOHSMM) for systems or components with unobservable health states and complex transition dynamics. The HOHSMM extends the basic…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-14 Ying Liao , Yisha Xiang , Min Wang

We consider an energy harvesting (EH) transmitter communicating with a receiver through an EH relay. The harvested energy is used for data transmission, including the circuit energy consumption. As in practical scenarios, the system state,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-04-09 Andrea Ortiz , Hussein Al-Shatri , Tobias Weber , Anja Klein

We study reinforcement learning with function approximation for large-scale Partially Observable Markov Decision Processes (POMDPs) where the state space and observation space are large or even continuous. Particularly, we consider Hilbert…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-27 Masatoshi Uehara , Ayush Sekhari , Jason D. Lee , Nathan Kallus , Wen Sun

POMDPs capture a broad class of decision making problems, but hardness results suggest that learning is intractable even in simple settings due to the inherent partial observability. However, in many realistic problems, more information is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-07 Jonathan N. Lee , Alekh Agarwal , Christoph Dann , Tong Zhang

This work pioneers regret analysis of risk-sensitive reinforcement learning in partially observable environments with hindsight observation, addressing a gap in theoretical exploration. We introduce a novel formulation that integrates…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Tonghe Zhang , Yu Chen , Longbo Huang

The authors present a cyber-physical systems study on the estimation of driver behavior in autonomous vehicles and vehicle safety systems. Extending upon previous work, the approach described is suitable for the long term estimation and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2017-01-25 Vijay Gadepally , Ashok Krishnamurthy

Deep reinforcement learning has demonstrated remarkable achievements across diverse domains such as video games, robotic control, autonomous driving, and drug discovery. Common methodologies in partially-observable domains largely lean on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-15 Michael Lanier , Ying Xu , Nathan Jacobs , Chongjie Zhang , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

In a mixed-traffic scenario where both autonomous vehicles and human-driving vehicles exist, a timely prediction of driving intentions of nearby human-driving vehicles is essential for the safe and efficient driving of an autonomous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Shiwen Liu , Kan Zheng , Long Zhao , Pingzhi Fan
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