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The presence of momentum in sports, where the outcome of a previous event affects a following event, is a belief often held by fans, and has been the subject of statistical study for many sports. This paper investigates the presence and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-05 Arjun Goyal , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

This paper presents an empirical investigation of the relation between decision speed and decision quality for a real-world setting of cognitively-demanding decisions in which the timing of decisions is endogenous: professional chess.…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-27 Uwe Sunde , Dainis Zegners , Anthony Strittmatter

Traffic prediction plays an essential role in intelligent transportation system. Accurate traffic prediction can assist route planing, guide vehicle dispatching, and mitigate traffic congestion. This problem is challenging due to the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-22 Xueyan Yin , Genze Wu , Jinze Wei , Yanming Shen , Heng Qi , Baocai Yin

Predicting the results of soccer matches is of great interest. This is not only due to the popularity of the sport and the joy of private "betting rounds", but also due to the large sports betting market. Where previously expert knowledge…

Applications · Statistics 2025-07-09 Mirko Fischer , Andreas Heuer

In this paper we describe an approach to resolve strategic games in which players can assume different types along the game. Our goal is to infer which type the opponent is adopting at each moment so that we can increase the player's odds.…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2014-04-02 Mario Benevides , Isaque Lima , Rafael Nader , Pedro Rougemont

Ranking athletes by their performance in competitions and tournaments is common in every popular sport and has significant benefits that contribute to both the organization and strategic aspects of competitions. Although rankings are…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-08-28 Bogdán Asztalos , Boldizsár Balázs , Gergely Palla , Tamás Vicsek

Machine Learning has become an integral part of engineering design and decision making in several domains, including sports. Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) have been the state-of-the-art methods for predicting outcomes of professional sports…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Abhinav Lalwani , Aman Saraiya , Apoorv Singh , Aditya Jain , Tirtharaj Dash

In pickleball doubles with conventional side-out scoring, points are scored only by the serving team. The serve alternates during a game, with each team serving until it has faulted twice, except at the beginning of the game, in which case…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-24 Daryl R. DeFord , Stewart N. Ethier

Individual sports competitions provide a natural setting for examining the relative importance of talent and luck/chance in achieving success. The belief that success is primarily due to individual abilities and hard work rather than…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-11-14 Chiara Zappalá , Alessio Emanuele Biondo , Alessandro Pluchino , Andrea Rapisarda

In this thesis, we develop various techniques for working with sets in machine learning. Each input or output is not an image or a sequence, but a set: an unordered collection of multiple objects, each object described by a feature vector.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-09 Yan Zhang

The predictive analysis of match outcomes and player momentum in professional tennis has long been a subject of scholarly debate. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach to game prediction by combining a multi-level fuzzy evaluation…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-15 Kechen Li , Jiaming Liu , Zhenyu Wu , Tianbo Ji

Service sports include two-player contests such as volleyball, badminton, and squash. We analyze four rules, including the Standard Rule (SR), in which a player continues to serve until he or she loses. The Catch-Up Rule (CR) gives the…

History and Overview · Mathematics 2018-08-22 Steven J. Brams , Mehmet S. Ismail , D. Marc Kilgour , Walter Stromquist

Bias is known to be an impediment to fair decisions in many domains such as human resources, the public sector, health care etc. Recently, hope has been expressed that the use of machine learning methods for taking such decisions would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-05 Jindong Gu , Daniela Oelke

A burgeoning paradigm in algorithm design is the field of algorithms with predictions, in which algorithms can take advantage of a possibly-imperfect prediction of some aspect of the problem. While much work has focused on using predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Mikhail Khodak , Maria-Florina Balcan , Ameet Talwalkar , Sergei Vassilvitskii

Human preference or taste within any domain is usually a difficult thing to identify or predict with high probability. In the domain of chess problem composition, the same is true. Traditional machine learning approaches tend to focus on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-11-26 Azlan Iqbal

I introduce a model of predictive scoring. A receiver wants to predict a sender's quality. An intermediary observes multiple features of the sender and aggregates them into a score. Based on the score, the receiver makes a decision. The…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-17 Ian Ball

We consider the problem of predicting human players' actions in repeated strategic interactions. Our goal is to predict the dynamic step-by-step behavior of individual players in previously unseen games. We study the ability of neural…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-11 Yoav Kolumbus , Gali Noti

This paper considers the impact of unforced errors in sport. Although the proposed methods are applicable to various sports, we demonstrate the approach in the context of professional tennis. The value of the approach is that we can provide…

Applications · Statistics 2024-07-30 Hashan Peiris , Nirodha Epasinghege Dona , Tim Swartz

Gauging an individual's skill level is crucial, as it inherently shapes their behavior. Quantifying skill, however, is challenging because it is latent to the observed actions. To explore skill understanding in human behavior, we focus on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Akihiro Kubota , Tomoya Hasegawa , Ryo Kawahara , Ko Nishino

Automated service classification plays a crucial role in service discovery, selection, and composition. Machine learning has been widely used for service classification in recent years. However, the performance of conventional machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-25 Yilong Yang , Nafees Qamar , Peng Liu , Katarina Grolinger , Weiru Wang , Zhi Li , Zhifang Liao