English

Speed, Quality, and the Optimal Timing of Complex Decisions: Field Evidence

General Economics 2022-01-27 v1 Artificial Intelligence Economics Applications

Abstract

This paper presents an empirical investigation of the relation between decision speed and decision quality for a real-world setting of cognitively-demanding decisions in which the timing of decisions is endogenous: professional chess. Move-by-move data provide exceptionally detailed and precise information about decision times and decision quality, based on a comparison of actual decisions to a computational benchmark of best moves constructed using the artificial intelligence of a chess engine. The results reveal that faster decisions are associated with better performance. The findings are consistent with the predictions of procedural decision models like drift-diffusion-models in which decision makers sequentially acquire information about decision alternatives with uncertain valuations.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.2201.10808,
  title  = {Speed, Quality, and the Optimal Timing of Complex Decisions: Field Evidence},
  author = {Uwe Sunde and Dainis Zegners and Anthony Strittmatter},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:2201.10808},
  year   = {2022}
}