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In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Asymptotic normality of intermediate order statistics taken from univariate iid random variables is well-known. We generalize this result to random vectors in arbitrary dimension, where the order statistics are taken componentwise.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-21 Michael Falk , Florian Wisheckel

We propose a generalized debiased Lasso estimator based on a stability principle. When a single column of the design matrix is perturbed, the estimator admits a simple update formula that can be computed from the original solution. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jingbo Liu

In this paper, we consider a generalized multivariate regression problem where the responses are monotonic functions of linear transformations of predictors. We propose a semi-parametric algorithm based on the ordering of the responses…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-02-22 Milad Kharratzadeh , Mark Coates

We present a generic path-dependent importance sampling algorithm where the Girsanov induced change of probability on the path space is represented by a sequence of neural networks taking the past of the trajectory as an input. At each…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-08 Benjamin Virrion

Given $iid$ observations from an unknown absolute continuous distribution defined on some domain $\Omega$, we propose a nonparametric method to learn a piecewise constant function to approximate the underlying probability density function.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-03-13 Dangna Li , Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

Scientific research and engineering practice often require the modeling and decomposition of nonlinear systems. The Dynamic Mode Decomposition (DMD) is a novel Koopman-based technique that effectively dissects high-dimensional nonlinear…

A sample covariance matrix $\boldsymbol{S}$ of completely observed data is the key statistic in a large variety of multivariate statistical procedures, such as structured covariance/precision matrix estimation, principal component analysis,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Seongoh Park , Xinlei Wang , Johan Lim

We study the normalized eigenvalue counting measure d\sigma of matrices of long-range percolation model. These are (2n+1)\times (2n+1) random real symmetric matrices H=\{H(i,j)\}_{i,j} whose elements are independent random variables taking…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-06-30 Ayadi Slim

Motivated by applications to mathematical biology, we study the averaging problem for slow-fast systems, {\em in the case in which the fast dynamics is a stochastic process with multiple invariant measures}. We consider both the case in…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-17 B. D. Goddard , M. Ottobre , K. J. Painter , I. Souttar

We analyse the mixing profile of a random walk on a dynamic random permutation, focusing on the regime where the walk evolves much faster than the permutation. Two types of dynamics generated by random transpositions are considered: one…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-04-28 Luca Avena , Remco van der Hofstad , Frank den Hollander , Oliver Nagy

Using the concept of self-decomposable subordinators introduced in Gardini et al. [11], we build a new bivariate Normal Inverse Gaussian process that can capture stochastic delays. In addition, we also develop a novel path simulation scheme…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-11-10 Matteo Gardini , Piergiacomo Sabino , Emanuela Sasso

We consider a class of slow-fast processes on a connected complete Riemannian manifold $M$.The limiting dynamics as the scale separation goes to $\infty$ is governed by the averaging principle. Around this limit, we prove large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-11 Yanyan Hu , Richard C. Kraaij , Fubao Xi

We investigate the effective behaviour of a small transversal perturbation of order $\epsilon$ to a completely integrable stochastic Hamiltonian system, by which we mean a stochastic differential equation whose diffusion vector fields are…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-11 Xue-Mei Li

This paper focuses on systems of nonlinear second-order stochastic differential equations with multi-scales. The motivation for our study stems from mathematical physics and statistical mechanics, for examples, Langevin dynamics and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-08 Nhu N. Nguyen , George Yin

We consider the problem of estimating the mean vector of a p-variate normal $(\theta,\Sigma)$ distribution under invariant quadratic loss, $(\delta-\theta)'\Sigma^{-1}(\delta-\theta)$, when the covariance is unknown. We propose a new class…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-02-28 Didier Chételat , Martin T. Wells

This article is dedicated to the following class of problems. Start with an $N\times N$ Hermitian matrix randomly picked from a matrix ensemble - the reference matrix. Applying a rank-$t$ perturbation to it, with $t$ taking the values $1\le…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-12-30 Barbara Dietz , Holger Schanz , Uzy Smilansky , Hans Weidenmüller

Existing methods for the estimation of stable distribution parameters, such as those based on sample quantiles, sample characteristic functions or maximum likelihood generally assume an independent sample. Little attention has been paid to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-05-05 Adrian W. Barker

We present a large deviation principle at speed N for the largest eigenvalue of some additively deformed Wigner matrices. In particular this includes Gaussian ensembles with full-rank general deformation. For the non-Gaussian ensembles, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-03-22 Benjamin McKenna

We present a second-order estimator of the mean of a variable subject to missingness, under the missing at random assumption. The estimator improves upon existing methods by using an approximate second-order expansion of the parameter…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Iván Díaz , Marco Carone , Mark J. van der Laan